Current weather · Sep 28, 2:52 PM CDT

32.3620, -87.8750

84°

SunnyFeels like 82° · Humidity 28%NWS forecast for this hour; no recent station reportForecast by NWS NWS Birmingham, Alabama · grid 23,31
High
85°
Low
58°
Rain today
1%
Sunrise
6:44 AM
Sunset
6:40 PM

Hour by hour

NWS forecast grid

Scroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.

Every hour as a table48 hours
TimeWeatherTemperatureFeels likeDew pointHumidityChanceAmountSnowDirWindGustSky coverThunderPressureVisibilityCeiling
Mon 2 PM84°82°47°28%1%N3 mph5 mph15%1%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 3 PM85°83°47°27%1%N3 mph5 mph11%1%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 4 PM85°83°47°27%1%N3 mph5 mph10%1%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 5 PM83°81°46°27%1%N3 mph5 mph10%1%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 6 PM80°79°48°33%1%N1 mph1 mph12%1%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 7 PM75°75°50°41%1%N1 mph2 mph17%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 8 PM70°70°53°55%1%N1 mph1 mph19%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 9 PM68°68°53°59%1%N0 mph5 mph17%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 10 PM66°66°53°63%1%NNE1 mph6 mph10%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 11 PM64°64°53°67%1%NNE0 mph5 mph8%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 12 AM63°63°51°65%1%NE0 mph5 mph6%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 1 AM62°62°51°67%1%NE1 mph5 mph5%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 2 AM61°61°51°70%1%ENE0 mph5 mph4%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 3 AM60°60°51°72%1%ENE0 mph5 mph3%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 4 AM59°59°52°78%1%ENE0 mph5 mph4%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 5 AM58°58°51°77%1%ENE0 mph3 mph5%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 6 AM58°58°50°75%1%ENE0 mph3 mph4%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 7 AM57°57°52°83%1%ENE0 mph3 mph4%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 8 AM62°62°53°72%1%ENE1 mph5 mph2%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 9 AM67°67°54°63%1%E1 mph5 mph4%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 10 AM74°74°54°50%1%E2 mph5 mph4%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 11 AM79°79°54°42%1%ESE2 mph5 mph4%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 12 PM84°83°53°34%1%E2 mph5 mph3%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 1 PM87°85°52°30%1%ENE2 mph6 mph3%1%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 2 PM87°85°52°30%1%ENE2 mph6 mph4%1%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 3 PM89°86°51°27%1%ENE3 mph7 mph4%1%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 4 PM87°85°51°29%1%ENE3 mph7 mph4%1%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 5 PM86°84°51°30%1%ENE3 mph7 mph5%1%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 6 PM82°81°54°38%1%NE2 mph7 mph6%1%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 7 PM74°74°54°50%0%NE1 mph7 mph9%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 8 PM71°71°54°55%0%NE1 mph6 mph6%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 9 PM69°69°53°57%0%E1 mph6 mph4%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 10 PM67°67°53°61%0%E1 mph7 mph3%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 11 PM66°66°53°63%0%E1 mph6 mph2%——
Wed 12 AM64°64°52°65%0%E1 mph6 mph1%——
Wed 1 AM64°64°52°65%0%ESE1 mph6 mph1%——
Wed 2 AM62°62°52°70%0%ESE0 mph5 mph1%——
Wed 3 AM61°61°53°75%0%ESE0 mph5 mph1%——
Wed 4 AM61°61°53°75%0%ESE0 mph5 mph1%——
Wed 5 AM60°60°55°84%0%ESE0 mph5 mph1%——
Wed 6 AM59°59°55°87%0%E1 mph5 mph1%——
Wed 7 AM59°59°55°87%0%E1 mph5 mph3%——
Wed 8 AM63°63°58°84%0%ESE2 mph6 mph0%——
Wed 9 AM70°70°60°71%0%ESE2 mph6 mph4%——
Wed 10 AM77°77°62°60%0%SE2 mph6 mph8%——
Wed 11 AM81°82°63°54%0%SE3 mph7 mph6%——
Wed 12 PM85°86°64°50%0%SE5 mph8 mph5%——
Wed 1 PM88°89°64°45%0%SE6 mph9 mph3%——

The next 16 days

NWS grid published Sep 28, 1:26 PM CDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 11, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16
  1. TodaySep 2885°58°Sunny1%wind 3 mph
  2. TueSep 2989°59°Sunny1%wind 3 mph
  3. WedSep 3091°66°Sunny0%wind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
  4. ThuOct 191°68°Sunny12%wind 12 mph
  5. FriOct 289°69°Showers And Thunderstorms Likely55%0.41 inwind 8 mph
  6. SatOct 386°69°Showers And Thunderstorms Likely64%0.84 inwind 8 mph
  7. SunOct 483°67°Showers And Thunderstorms Likely68%1.35 inwind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
  8. MonOct 579°67°50%0.64 inwind 12 mph
  9. TueOct 680°64°National Blend38%0.49 inwind 8 mph
  10. WedOct 780°62°National Blend33%0.30 inwind 8 mph
  11. ThuOct 881°59°National Blend14%0.20 inwind 9 mph
  12. FriOct 9~81°57°Model mean
  13. SatOct 10~78°57°Model mean
  14. SunOct 11~80°56°Model mean
  15. MonOct 12~83°57°Model mean
  16. TueOct 13~88°63°Model mean

Right now

NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow
  • Feels like82°
  • WindN 3 mph
  • Radar over this pointno reading
  • Humidity28%
  • Dew point47°
  • Pressure—
  • UV index—
  • Air quality—
  • Visibility10 mi
  • Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset
  • Moonrise7:41 PMMoonset 8:45 AM
  • Moon phaseWaning gibbous95% lit

The National Blend of Models

NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Sep 28, 7:00 AM CDT

NOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.

  1. TodaySep 2888°58°NWS grid 85° / 58°rain 4%wind 5 mph
  2. TueSep 2990°61°NWS grid 89° / 59°rain 2%wind 3 mph
  3. WedSep 3092°68°NWS grid 91° / 66°rain 0%wind 8 mph
  4. ThuOct 191°69°NWS grid 91° / 68°rain 14%thunder 13%0.02 inwind 12 mph
  5. FriOct 290°70°NWS grid 89° / 69°rain 58%thunder 19%0.31 inwind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
  6. SatOct 388°69°NWS grid 86° / 69°rain 66%thunder 25%0.87 inwind 9 mph
  7. SunOct 485°68°NWS grid 83° / 67°rain 67%thunder 22%0.93 inwind 9 mph
  8. MonOct 583°65°NWS grid 79° / 67°rain 50%thunder 12%0.82 inwind 10 mph · gusts 17 mph
  9. TueOct 680°64°Beyond the NWS gridrain 38%0.49 inwind 8 mph
  10. WedOct 780°62°Beyond the NWS gridrain 33%0.30 inwind 8 mph
  11. ThuOct 881°59°Beyond the NWS gridrain 14%0.20 inwind 9 mph
50°73°95°TueWedThuFriSatSunMon

BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly

The models, side by side

HRRR Sep 28, 7:00 AM CDT · GFS Sep 28, 7:00 AM CDT · GEFS Sep 28, 7:00 AM CDT · ECMWF Sep 27, 7:00 PM CDT · ECMWF AI Sep 28, 7:00 AM CDT

Each line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.

50°73°95°TueWedThuFriSatSunMon

DayNWS gridHRRRGFSGEFSECMWFECMWF AI
Today Sep 2885° 58°88° 60°88° 62°87° 63°86° 63°~85° 61°
Tue Sep 2989° 59°91° 61°91° 62°90° 61°89° 65°~88° 59°
Wed Sep 3091° 66°70° 61°93° 65°91° 64°91° 63°~91° 62°
Thu Oct 191° 68°—92° 68°91° 68°0.02 in90° 71°0.03 in~90° 70°0.02 in
Fri Oct 289° 69°0.41 in—74° 71°0.97 in86° 71°0.17 in92° 72°0.07 in~83° 75°0.61 in
Sat Oct 386° 69°0.84 in—80° 72°0.76 in84° 72°0.28 in76° 73°0.87 in~82° 76°0.61 in
Sun Oct 483° 67°1.35 in—80° 71°0.26 in81° 72°0.44 in~82° 72°1.85 in~85° 76°0.51 in
Mon Oct 579° 67°0.64 in—85° 64°77° 69°0.43 in~85° 70°~80° 72°0.08 in
Tue Oct 6——84° 67°76° 63°0.19 in~82° 69°~78° 60°
Wed Oct 7——79° 65°73° 62°0.44 in~78° 66°~77° 60°
Thu Oct 8——~68° 59°~62° 60°0.06 in~79° 58°~79° 64°
Fri Oct 9——~79° 54°—~83° 57°~82° 60°
Sat Oct 10——~81° 57°—~70° 57°~84° 58°
Sun Oct 11——~83° 56°—~73° 50°~84° 61°
Mon Oct 12——~88° 59°—~79° 52°~83° 61°
Tue Oct 13——~88° 63°——~69° 65°

A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.

ECMWF ensemble meteogram

ECMWF ensemble meteogram for this place: box plots of cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and temperature from the 51 ensemble members for ten days.
Rendered by ECMWF from its 51-member ensemble, in metric units: each box spans the middle half of the members, the whiskers the rest, the line the control run. A forecast, not an observation. © ECMWF, CC BY 4.0.

The next 90 days

NOAA GHCN normals and records at Demopolis (DYA) · Climate Prediction Center outlooks

No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.

The forecast reaches Tue Oct 13, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.

Climate Prediction Center (CPC) temperature lean40%warmer 50% · Oct 202633% chance above normal · Oct to Dec0°20°40°60°80°100°TodayOct 1Nov 1Dec 1

Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normalCPC near normal or equal chances

Week ofNormalWarmest on recordColdest on recordTemperature leanPrecipitation lean
Sep 2881° / 57°99° (2019)37° (1984)50% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 579° / 56°100° (1954)31° (1999)40% chance above normal · days 6 to 1060% chance above normal · days 6 to 10
Oct 1279° / 52°93° (1953)30° (1977)50% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 1976° / 51°90° (2016)16° (1989)50% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 2672° / 50°88° (2024)24° (1952)50% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Nov 269° / 44°88° (2016)20° (1966)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 968° / 41°84° (1986)14° (2013)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 1665° / 40°87° (2005)14° (2013)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 2363° / 39°83° (1973)17° (1970)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 3062° / 36°82° (1991)17° (1976)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 761° / 36°82° (1951)5° (1962)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 1459° / 35°82° (1971)5° (1962)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 2157° / 37°81° (1990)4° (1989)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec

Health and activities

Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollen

None of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.

Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.

Health

  • Arthritisnext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Common coldtodayModeratedry air
  • FlutodayModeratedry air
  • Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
  • Heat stresstodayLowmild
  • SunburntodayLowweak sun
  • Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
  • SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night

Outdoors

  • RunningtodayGoodhot
  • HikingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • BikingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • GolftodayIdealfine conditions
  • FishingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Boating and paddlingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Beach and pooltodayIdealfine conditions
  • CampingtonightIdealfine conditions
  • StargazingtonightGoodbright moon

Travel

  • Air travelnext 24 hIdealclear skies
  • Drivingnext 24 hIdealclear roads

Home and garden

  • Lawn mowingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • GardeningtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Outdoor entertainingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Drying laundry outsidetodayIdealfine conditions
  • Painting and outdoor projectstodayIdealfine conditions
  • FrosttonightLowmild

Pests

  • MosquitoestodayHighwarm
  • TickstodayModeratewarm
  • Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
  • Outdoor peststodayHighwarm

Stargazing

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moon

Tonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated fair.

Night ofRatingDarkClear hoursClear and moonlessMoon litTransparency (est.)DewStrongest wind
MondayFair8:02 PM to 5:23 AM9 of 9None93%Good1 mph
TuesdayFair8:00 PM to 5:23 AM9 of 9None87%Good1 mph
WednesdayFair7:59 PM to 5:24 AM9 of 91 h from 8:00 PM79%Poor7 h5 mph
ThursdayPoor7:57 PM to 5:25 AM0 of 9None70%8 h6 mph
FridayPoor7:56 PM to 5:25 AM0 of 9None60%8 h5 mph
SaturdayPoor7:55 PM to 5:26 AM0 of 9None50%9 h3 mph
SundayPoor7:54 PM to 5:27 AM0 of 9None39%9 h5 mph

Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.

Golden hour and blue hour

Computed from the sun and moon positions
DayBlue hour, morningGolden hour, morningGolden hour, eveningBlue hour, evening
Mon6:19 AM to 6:29 AM6:29 AM to 7:16 AM6:08 PM to 6:55 PM6:55 PM to 7:04 PM
Tue6:20 AM to 6:29 AM6:29 AM to 7:17 AM6:06 PM to 6:54 PM6:54 PM to 7:03 PM
Wed6:20 AM to 6:30 AM6:30 AM to 7:17 AM6:05 PM to 6:52 PM6:52 PM to 7:02 PM
Thu6:21 AM to 6:31 AM6:31 AM to 7:18 AM6:04 PM to 6:51 PM6:51 PM to 7:01 PM
Fri6:22 AM to 6:31 AM6:31 AM to 7:19 AM6:02 PM to 6:50 PM6:50 PM to 6:59 PM
Sat6:22 AM to 6:32 AM6:32 AM to 7:20 AM6:01 PM to 6:49 PM6:49 PM to 6:58 PM
Sun6:23 AM to 6:33 AM6:33 AM to 7:20 AM6:00 PM to 6:47 PM6:47 PM to 6:57 PM
NESWSRSSMRMS
  • SR Sunrise 6:44 AM, 92° E
  • SS Sunset 6:40 PM, 268° W
  • MR Moonrise 7:41 PM, 69° ENE
  • MS Moonset 8:45 AM, 288° WNW
  • Waning gibbous, 95% lit

Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.

Drone flying

NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107

This hour: no-fly (low cloud limits height (107.51)). Next good stretch: Wed 7 AM to 6 PM, 11 hours.

Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:14 AM to sunrise 6:44 AM, and sunset 6:40 PM to 7:10 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.

Mon6 PM
Tue12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Wed12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Caution No-fly

HourVerdictWind (mph)400 ft est. (mph)Gust (mph)RainVisibilityCloud allowsTempKpWhy
Mon 2 PMNo-fly3451%10 miup to 0 ft84°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Mon 3 PMNo-fly3451%10 miup to 0 ft85°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Mon 4 PMNo-fly3451%10 miup to 0 ft85°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Mon 5 PMNo-fly3451%10 miup to 0 ft83°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Mon 6 PMNo-fly1111%10 miup to 0 ft80°low cloud limits height (107.51), civil twilight: lighting required (107.29)
Mon 7 PMNo-fly1561%10 miup to 0 ft75°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 8 PMNo-fly1551%10 miup to 0 ft70°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 9 PMNo-fly0051%10 miup to 0 ft68°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 10 PMNo-fly1591%10 miup to 0 ft66°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 11 PMNo-fly0051%10 miup to 0 ft64°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 12 AMNo-fly0051%10 miup to 0 ft63°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 1 AMNo-fly1581%10 miup to 0 ft62°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 2 AMNo-fly0051%10 miup to 0 ft61°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 3 AMNo-fly0051%10 miup to 0 ft60°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 4 AMNo-fly0051%10 miup to 0 ft59°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 5 AMNo-fly0031%10 miup to 0 ft58°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 6 AMNo-fly0031%10 miup to 0 ft58°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 7 AMNo-fly0031%10 miup to 0 ft57°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Tue 8 AMNo-fly1151%10 miup to 0 ft62°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Tue 9 AMNo-fly1151%10 miup to 0 ft67°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Tue 10 AMNo-fly2351%10 miup to 0 ft74°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Tue 11 AMNo-fly2351%10 miup to 0 ft79°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Tue 12 PMNo-fly2351%10 miup to 0 ft84°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Tue 1 PMNo-fly2361%10 miup to 0 ft87°low cloud limits height (107.51)

Flight restrictions nearby

Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.

Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.

Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.

Spraying and field work

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast

Hours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.

Spraying windows

  • Wed 11 AM to 10 PM 11 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
  • Thu 6 PM to 9 PM 3 hours, every hour within the rules
Mon6 PM
Tue12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Wed12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Thu12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Marginal No

Field days

DayDaytimeChance of rainRainLowest humidityStrongest windDry days in a rowHay drying
MondayDry1%0.00 in27%3 mph4 d
TuesdayDry1%0.00 in27%3 mph3 d
WednesdayDry0%0.00 in41%7 mph2 dGood
ThursdayDry12%0.00 in50%12 mph1 dGood
FridayWet55%0.41 in57%8 mph
SaturdayWet64%0.84 in67%8 mph
SundayWet68%1.35 in74%7 mph
MondayWet50%0.64 in69%12 mph

Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.

Solunar times

Computed from the moon’s position

The best-rated day this week is Monday, rated good.

DayRatingMajor periodsMinor periodsMoonSunrise, sunset
Mon Good12:51 AM to 2:51 AM1:16 PM to 3:16 PM8:15 AM to 9:15 AM7:11 PM to 8:11 PM 95%6:44 AM, 6:40 PM
Tue Fair1:43 AM to 3:43 AM2:10 PM to 4:10 PM9:24 AM to 10:24 AM7:51 PM to 8:51 PM 90%6:44 AM, 6:39 PM
Wed Poor2:39 AM to 4:39 AM3:09 PM to 5:09 PM10:35 AM to 11:35 AM8:39 PM to 9:39 PM 82%6:45 AM, 6:37 PM
Thu Fair3:39 AM to 5:39 AM4:10 PM to 6:10 PM11:44 AM to 12:44 PM9:35 PM to 10:35 PM 73%6:46 AM, 6:36 PM
Fri Fair4:42 AM to 6:42 AM5:13 PM to 7:13 PM12:49 PM to 1:49 PM10:39 PM to 11:39 PM 64%6:46 AM, 6:35 PM
Sat Fair5:44 AM to 7:44 AM6:15 PM to 8:15 PM1:45 PM to 2:45 PM 53%6:47 AM, 6:34 PM
Sun Fair6:44 AM to 8:44 AM7:13 PM to 9:13 PM11:48 PM to 12:48 AM2:33 PM to 3:33 PM 43%6:48 AM, 6:32 PM

Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index

Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.

In words

NWS forecast periods, as issued
  1. This Afternoon85° · 1% · N 5 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 85. North wind around 5 mph.

  2. Tonight57° · 1% · 0 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 57. Northeast wind around 0 mph.

  3. Tuesday89° · 1% · E 0–5 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 89. East wind 0 to 5 mph.

  4. Tuesday Night59° · 1% · 0 mph

    Clear, with a low around 59. East wind around 0 mph.

  5. Wednesday91° · SE 0–5 mph

    Sunny. High near 91, with temperatures falling to around 87 in the afternoon. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.

  6. Wednesday Night66° · SE 0–5 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 66.

  7. Thursday91° · 12% · SE 5–10 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 91.

  8. Thursday Night68° · 12% · SE 0–10 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 68.

  9. Friday89° · 55% · SE 0–10 mph

    A slight chance of rain showers between 7am and 1pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

  10. Friday Night69° · 55% · E 0–5 mph

    Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

  11. Saturday86° · 64% · SE 0–10 mph

    Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

  12. Saturday Night69° · 64% · SE 0–5 mph

    Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

  13. Sunday83° · 68% · E 0–5 mph

    A chance of rain showers before 1pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 83. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

  14. Sunday Night67° · 68% · NE 0–5 mph

    Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

The forecaster’s discussion

NWS NWS Birmingham, Alabama · issued Sep 28, 12:42 PM CDT

Written by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.

KEY Messages

1241 PM CDT MON SEP 28 2026

Dry conditions and comfortable mornings will persist through mid-week

Low to medium rain/storm chances return late Friday through the weekend as a cold front approaches and stalls.

Discussion

1241 PM CDT MON SEP 28 2026

(This afternoon through Sunday)

Water vapor imagery this morning reveals an upper trough cutting across the Tennessee Valley and an upper level ridge out to our west. If we look closely, we can see a shortwave rotating along the western periphery of the trough. This feature will move through the area over the next couple of days. However, the lack of sufficient moisture will keep us dry for the next several days. Similar to yesterday, the KBMX radar is picking up some light shower activity. It is very unlikely that any of this precipitation will make it to the surface as we have much drier air in the low levels per the 12Z KBMX sounding.

Low to medium chances for showers and storms return to the forecast late in the week as a stout upper trough moves across the Plains. An associated cold front will head our way late in the work week, eventually working through the region over the weekend. The exact timing remains uncertain at this time as there are some signs of it stalling over the first half of the weekend before pushing through. Regardless, we are looking at low to medium chances for showers and storms returning to the forecast Friday afternoon and continuing into early next week as southerly flow ushers a healthy plume of tropical moisture across the southeast. Forecast soundings hint at a skinny CAPE profile and a warm cloud depth up to 15kft, suggesting locally heavy rainfall is likely with any shower or storm over the weekend. Rainfall amounts are likely to range from 2-3" Friday through the weekend with a low (15-20%) chance for amounts of 3" per the latest LREF.

We kick off a warming trend this week with highs rebounding into the low 90s by Wednesday. Drier air in place will help us maintain our cooler mornings with lows dropping down into the mid 50s to around 60 degrees through mid week. As we head into the late stages of the work week, a moist southerly flow will bump out overnight lows up into the upper 60s to low 70s. Increased rain chances/cloud cover will help knock a few degrees off our highs next weekend.

95/Castillo

Aviation

1241 PM CDT MON SEP 28 2026

(18Z TAFS)

VFR conditions and light winds around 5 knots are expected through this TAF cycle.

95/Castillo

Fire Weather

Dry weather will persist through the first half of this week with light winds keeping overall concerns low. Afternoon minimum relative humidity values will drop into the middle 20 to lower 30 percent range through Tuesday as the drying trend continues. Humidity values slowly start to increase starting Wednesday. Rain chances return for the latter part of the week into next weekend.

Preliminary Point Temps / Pops

Gadsden 53 86 56 91 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 52 87 58 91 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 57 87 61 91 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 57 91 60 93 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 55 88 59 91 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 58 86 62 88 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 58 87 61 91 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 58 88 61 90 / 0 0 0 0

BMX Watches / Warnings / Advisories

None.

The outlooks beyond

SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this point

The national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.

Severe weather

  1. Day 1 · Mon Sep 28No risk area
  2. Day 2 · Tue Sep 29No risk area
  3. Day 3 · Wed Sep 30No risk area
  4. Day 4 · Thu Oct 1No risk area
  5. Day 5 · Fri Oct 2No risk area
  6. Day 6 · Sat Oct 3No risk area
  7. Day 7 · Sun Oct 4No risk area
  8. Day 8 · Mon Oct 5No risk area

Rainfall

  1. Day 1 · Mon Sep 28Under 0.01 in
  2. Day 2 · Tue Sep 29Under 0.01 in
  3. Day 3 · Wed Sep 30Under 0.01 in
  4. Day 4-5 · Oct 1–Oct 21.00 in
  5. Day 6-7 · Oct 3–Oct 42.00 in

The rainfall forecast on the map, days 1 to 7

Six to fourteen days

  1. Days 6–10 · Temperature40% chance above normalOct 4–Oct 8
  2. Days 6–10 · Precipitation60% chance above normalOct 4–Oct 8
  3. Days 8–14 · TemperatureNear normal most likelyOct 6–Oct 12
  4. Days 8–14 · Precipitation40% chance above normalOct 6–Oct 12

Hazards, 3 to 14 days

  1. Oct 3–Oct 4Heavy Rain

Drought

  1. Drought Monitor, map of Sep 22D1 Moderate drought

Drought in this county: the map, the record since 2000 and the outlook

Frost and climate

NOAA 1991-2020 normals, Demopolis L&d

The last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around March 16 and the first fall freeze around November 14: a growing season of about 241 days.

One fall in ten brings a freeze by October 31; one spring in ten still has one after April 3.

Climate of 32.36, -87.88: normals, records and every month

Everything else on the grid

NWS forecast grid · 29 elements

The forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.

ElementMonTueWedThuFriSatSunMon
HeatRisk max1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor
Wet bulb globe temperature max74°78°82°84°83°81°80°77°
Heat index max83°86°93°95°94°92°87°79°
Chance of thunder max1%1%0%12%20%23%23%12%
Cloud ceiling min-100 ft-100 ft
Visibility min10 mi10 mi
Mixing height max5,300 ft6,100 ft8,100 ft400 ft
Transport wind max7 mph7 mph9 mph7 mph
Twenty-foot wind max2 mph2 mph6 mph9 mph7 mph7 mph6 mph9 mph
Dispersion index max3530773
Low visibility risk max3479
Stability max6666

Against the record

NOAA GHCN · Demopolis (DYA) · 8.4 mi away

Each forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.

DayForecastNormalRecord highRecord low
Mon Sep 2885° / 58°82° / 61°97° (1954)42° (2010)
Tue Sep 2989° / 59°82° / 59°97° (1954)41° (1962)
Wed Sep 3091° / 66°81° / 58°94° (1978)38° (1967)
Thu Oct 191° / 68°81° / 57°95° (1954)38° (1967)
Fri Oct 289° / 69°82° / 58°96° (1954)37° (1984)
Sat Oct 386° / 69°82° / 59°97° (2019)37° (1984)
Sun Oct 483° / 67°81° / 57°99° (2019)37° (1984)
Mon Oct 579° / 67°82° / 58°96° (1954)31° (1999)

Sun and moon

DayCivil twilightSunriseSunsetCivil twilightDaylightMoon
Mon6:19 AM6:44 AM6:40 PM7:04 PM11 h 56 min Waning gibbous · 95% lit
Tue6:20 AM6:44 AM6:39 PM7:03 PM11 h 55 min Waning gibbous · 90% lit
Wed6:20 AM6:45 AM6:37 PM7:02 PM11 h 52 min Waning gibbous · 82% lit
Thu6:21 AM6:46 AM6:36 PM7:01 PM11 h 50 min Waning gibbous · 73% lit
Fri6:22 AM6:46 AM6:35 PM6:59 PM11 h 49 min Waning gibbous · 64% lit
Sat6:22 AM6:47 AM6:34 PM6:58 PM11 h 47 min Last quarter · 53% lit
Sun6:23 AM6:48 AM6:32 PM6:57 PM11 h 44 min Last quarter · 43% lit
Mon6:24 AM6:48 AM6:31 PM6:55 PM11 h 43 min Waning crescent · 32% lit

Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).

What is here

Seven days
The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
Hour by hour
Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
Everything else on the grid
The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
The discussion
The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
Beyond the week
The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
Against the record
Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
The next 90 days
The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.

Common questions

Where does this forecast come from?

From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.

How far ahead does it go?

The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.

Why is this different from the app on my phone?

Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.

What is a place’s address here?

Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.

What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from