Current weather · Sep 26, 4:15 AM CDT

32.0770, -96.4910

71°

Partly CloudyFeels like 71° · Humidity 66%NWS forecast for this hour; no recent station reportForecast by NWS Fort Worth/Dallas, TX · grid 100,73
High
93°
Low
71°
Rain today
1%
Sunrise
7:17 AM
Sunset
7:17 PM

Hour by hour

NWS forecast grid

Scroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.

Every hour as a table48 hours
TimeWeatherTemperatureFeels likeDew pointHumidityChanceAmountSnowDirWindGustSky coverThunderPressureVisibilityCeiling
Sat 4 AM71°71°59°66%0%SSE2 mph3 mph47%—10 mi-100 ft
Sat 5 AM70°70°59°68%0%SSE2 mph3 mph44%—10 mi-100 ft
Sat 6 AM69°69°59°70%0%SSE2 mph3 mph59%—10 mi25,000 ft
Sat 7 AM69°69°60°73%0%SE2 mph3 mph61%—10 mi25,000 ft
Sat 8 AM70°70°60°71%0%SSE2 mph3 mph68%—10 mi25,000 ft
Sat 9 AM74°74°61°64%0%SSE2 mph5 mph61%—10 mi25,000 ft
Sat 10 AM79°79°62°56%1%S3 mph6 mph54%—10 mi-100 ft
Sat 11 AM84°84°61°46%1%S3 mph6 mph56%—10 mi-100 ft
Sat 12 PM86°86°61°43%1%S3 mph7 mph64%—10 mi25,000 ft
Sat 1 PM89°89°60°38%1%S3 mph7 mph67%—10 mi25,000 ft
Sat 2 PM91°90°59°34%1%S3 mph7 mph60%—10 mi25,000 ft
Sat 3 PM91°90°59°34%1%SE3 mph7 mph61%—10 mi25,000 ft
Sat 4 PM92°91°58°32%1%SE3 mph7 mph60%—10 mi25,000 ft
Sat 5 PM91°90°58°33%1%ESE3 mph7 mph59%—10 mi25,000 ft
Sat 6 PM90°89°59°35%1%SE3 mph7 mph49%—10 mi-100 ft
Sat 7 PM87°87°60°40%1%ESE3 mph5 mph34%—10 mi-100 ft
Sat 8 PM82°83°61°49%1%SE3 mph5 mph28%—10 mi-100 ft
Sat 9 PM80°81°62°54%1%SE3 mph6 mph18%—10 mi-100 ft
Sat 10 PM78°78°62°58%1%SSE5 mph7 mph13%—10 mi-100 ft
Sat 11 PM77°77°61°58%1%SSE5 mph7 mph11%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 12 AM77°77°62°60%1%SSE5 mph7 mph16%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 1 AM75°75°63°66%1%S3 mph7 mph23%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 2 AM74°74°64°71%1%S3 mph7 mph24%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 3 AM73°73°64°73%1%S3 mph7 mph18%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 4 AM72°72°65°79%2%SSW5 mph7 mph16%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 5 AM72°72°66°81%2%SSW5 mph8 mph16%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 6 AM71°71°67°87%2%SSW5 mph7 mph15%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 7 AM71°71°66°84%9%SSW5 mph7 mph17%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 8 AM73°73°67°81%9%SSW5 mph7 mph23%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 9 AM76°76°68°76%9%SSW5 mph7 mph20%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 10 AM81°84°68°65%2%SSW5 mph8 mph17%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 11 AM86°89°67°53%2%S6 mph8 mph20%——
Sun 12 PM88°90°66°48%2%S5 mph7 mph24%——
Sun 1 PM91°93°65°42%0%S5 mph7 mph24%——
Sun 2 PM93°95°64°39%0%S3 mph7 mph33%——
Sun 3 PM93°94°63°37%0%SSE3 mph6 mph45%——
Sun 4 PM93°94°62°36%2%SSE3 mph6 mph50%——
Sun 5 PM94°95°62°35%2%SSE3 mph6 mph42%——
Sun 6 PM92°93°63°38%2%SSE3 mph6 mph36%——
Sun 7 PM89°90°63°42%9%SE2 mph5 mph32%——
Sun 8 PM87°88°63°45%9%SSE2 mph5 mph15%——
Sun 9 PM84°85°63°49%9%SSE2 mph6 mph20%——
Sun 10 PM82°83°63°53%9%SE3 mph7 mph24%——
Sun 11 PM81°82°63°54%9%SSE3 mph7 mph26%——
Mon 12 AM80°81°63°56%9%SSE5 mph7 mph28%——
Mon 1 AM79°79°63°58%10%SSE5 mph7 mph29%——
Mon 2 AM78°78°63°60%10%S5 mph7 mph28%——
Mon 3 AM77°77°63°62%10%S5 mph8 mph27%——

The next 16 days

NWS grid published Sep 26, 1:26 AM CDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 10, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16
  1. TodaySep 2693°71°Partly Sunny1%wind 5 mph
  2. SunSep 2795°74°Mostly Sunny9%wind 6 mph
  3. MonSep 2895°74°Mostly Sunny10%wind 7 mph
  4. TueSep 2995°73°Partly Sunny20%0.08 inwind 12 mph · gusts 20 mph
  5. WedSep 3090°70°Chance Rain Showers49%2.10 inwind 16 mph · gusts 29 mph
  6. ThuOct 186°68°Chance Rain Showers55%1.33 inwind 10 mph · gusts 18 mph
  7. FriOct 286°68°Chance Rain Showers38%0.31 inwind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
  8. SatOct 387°69°35%0.34 inwind 5 mph
  9. SunOct 485°66°National Blend37%0.21 inwind 9 mph · gusts 16 mph
  10. MonOct 580°62°National Blend32%0.44 inwind 10 mph · gusts 17 mph
  11. TueOct 6~72°58°Model mean
  12. WedOct 7~75°56°Model mean
  13. ThuOct 8~78°58°Model mean
  14. FriOct 9~75°57°Model mean
  15. SatOct 10~78°56°Model mean
  16. SunOct 11~77°56°Model mean

Right now

NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow
  • Feels like71°
  • WindSSE 2 mph
  • Radar over this pointno reading
  • Humidity66%
  • Dew point59°
  • Pressure—
  • UV index—
  • Air quality—
  • Visibility10 mi
  • Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset · not yet up
  • Moonrise7:12 PMMoonset 7:11 AM
  • Moon phaseFull moon100% lit

The National Blend of Models

NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Sep 26, 1:00 AM CDT

NOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.

  1. TodaySep 2694°71°NWS grid 93° / 71°rain 2%wind 5 mph
  2. SunSep 2795°74°NWS grid 95° / 74°rain 7%thunder 14%wind 6 mph
  3. MonSep 2896°74°NWS grid 95° / 74°rain 10%thunder 18%wind 7 mph
  4. TueSep 2995°73°NWS grid 95° / 73°rain 30%0.13 inwind 12 mph · gusts 20 mph
  5. WedSep 3090°70°NWS grid 90° / 70°rain 50%thunder 28%2.47 inwind 16 mph · gusts 28 mph
  6. ThuOct 186°68°NWS grid 86° / 68°rain 55%thunder 38%1.27 inwind 10 mph · gusts 18 mph
  7. FriOct 286°68°NWS grid 86° / 68°rain 39%thunder 25%0.27 inwind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
  8. SatOct 388°70°NWS grid 87° / 69°rain 36%thunder 13%0.42 inwind 5 mph
  9. SunOct 485°66°Beyond the NWS gridrain 37%0.21 inwind 9 mph · gusts 16 mph
  10. MonOct 580°62°Beyond the NWS gridrain 32%0.44 inwind 10 mph · gusts 17 mph
  11. TueOct 680°—Beyond the NWS gridrain 15%0.12 inwind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
68°82°95°SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly

The models, side by side

HRRR Sep 26, 1:00 AM CDT · GFS Sep 25, 7:00 PM CDT · GEFS Sep 25, 7:00 PM CDT · ECMWF Sep 25, 7:00 PM CDT · ECMWF AI Sep 25, 7:00 PM CDT

Each line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.

59°82°104°SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

DayNWS gridHRRRGFSGEFSECMWFECMWF AI
Today Sep 2693° 71°93° 67°91° 71°94° 70°93° 73°~89° 70°
Sun Sep 2795° 74°96° 73°96° 71°96° 72°95° 76°0.01 in~88° 73°0.09 in
Mon Sep 2895° 74°~83° 83°99° 74°96° 74°84° 74°0.22 in~88° 74°0.14 in
Tue Sep 2995° 73°0.08 in—94° 73°95° 73°0.11 in94° 76°~91° 75°
Wed Sep 3090° 70°2.10 in—96° 74°0.35 in87° 75°0.70 in96° 76°~91° 76°0.02 in
Thu Oct 186° 68°1.33 in—86° 75°1.06 in83° 74°1.20 in95° 79°0.26 in~82° 77°0.83 in
Fri Oct 286° 68°0.31 in—88° 73°1.60 in83° 71°0.45 in~80° 76°0.57 in~82° 75°0.38 in
Sat Oct 387° 69°0.34 in—86° 73°0.06 in86° 71°0.09 in~79° 73°1.63 in~82° 73°0.15 in
Sun Oct 4——85° 73°0.41 in84° 71°0.09 in~77° 71°0.31 in~83° 71°0.03 in
Mon Oct 5——69° 62°80° 66°0.06 in~74° 65°~78° 68°
Tue Oct 6——~67° 50°—~74° 61°~76° 63°
Wed Oct 7——~73° 52°—~75° 58°~78° 59°
Thu Oct 8——~74° 56°—~76° 60°~83° 57°
Fri Oct 9——~60° 52°—~77° 59°~87° 60°
Sat Oct 10——~65° 45°—~79° 60°~90° 63°
Sun Oct 11——~77° 56°———

A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.

ECMWF ensemble meteogram

ECMWF ensemble meteogram for this place: box plots of cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and temperature from the 51 ensemble members for ten days.
Rendered by ECMWF from its 51-member ensemble, in metric units: each box spans the middle half of the members, the whiskers the rest, the line the control run. A forecast, not an observation. © ECMWF, CC BY 4.0.

The next 90 days

NOAA GHCN normals and records at Corsicana (CRS) · Climate Prediction Center outlooks

No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.

The forecast reaches Sun Oct 11, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.

Climate Prediction Center (CPC) temperature lean40%warmer 40% · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct to Dec20°40°60°80°100°TodayOct 1Nov 1Dec 1

Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normalCPC near normal or equal chances

Week ofNormalWarmest on recordColdest on recordTemperature leanPrecipitation lean
Sep 2685° / 62°108° (2005)46° (2000)no outlookno outlook
Oct 383° / 62°96° (2019)40° (2000)near normal most likely · days 8 to 1440% chance above normal · days 8 to 14
Oct 1081° / 60°98° (2024)42° (2000)40% chance above normal · Oct 202633% chance above normal · Oct 2026
Oct 1780° / 56°93° (2023)39° (2022)40% chance above normal · Oct 202633% chance above normal · Oct 2026
Oct 2473° / 52°93° (2024)32° (2017)40% chance above normal · Oct 202633% chance above normal · Oct 2026
Oct 3172° / 51°88° (2017)30° (2019)equal chances · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 774° / 51°87° (2005)21° (2019)equal chances · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 1470° / 47°88° (2025)24° (2018)equal chances · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 2165° / 44°84° (1999)26° (2003)equal chances · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 2864° / 41°84° (2005)23° (2006)equal chances · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 558° / 40°84° (2021)18° (2005)equal chances · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 1261° / 40°81° (2021)21° (2000)equal chances · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 1961° / 37°85° (2010)13° (2022)equal chances · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec

Health and activities

Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollen

None of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.

Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.

Health

  • Arthritisnext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Common coldtodayLowmild
  • FlutodayLowmild
  • Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
  • Heat stresstodayModerateheat
  • SunburntodayLowweak sun
  • Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
  • SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night

Outdoors

  • RunningtodayFairhot
  • HikingtodayVery goodhot
  • BikingtodayVery goodhot
  • GolftodayIdealfine conditions
  • FishingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Boating and paddlingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Beach and pooltodayIdealfine conditions
  • CampingtonightIdealfine conditions
  • StargazingtonightPoormostly cloudy

Travel

  • Air travelnext 24 hIdealclear skies
  • Drivingnext 24 hIdealclear roads

Home and garden

  • Lawn mowingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • GardeningtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Outdoor entertainingtodayVery goodhot
  • Drying laundry outsidetodayIdealfine conditions
  • Painting and outdoor projectstodayIdealfine conditions
  • FrosttonightLowmild

Pests

  • MosquitoestodayHighwarm
  • TickstodayModeratewarm
  • Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
  • Outdoor peststodayHighwarm

Stargazing

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moon

Tonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated fair.

Night ofRatingDarkClear hoursClear and moonlessMoon litTransparency (est.)DewStrongest wind
SaturdayFair8:38 PM to 5:56 AM7 of 9None100%Good5 mph
SundayPoor8:37 PM to 5:57 AM1 of 9None98%Good5 mph
MondayPoor8:36 PM to 5:57 AM0 of 9None93%7 mph
TuesdayPoor8:34 PM to 5:58 AM0 of 9None87%2 h12 mph
WednesdayPoor8:33 PM to 5:59 AM0 of 9None79%4 h9 mph
ThursdayPoor8:32 PM to 5:59 AM0 of 9None70%7 h3 mph
FridayPoor8:30 PM to 6:00 AM0 of 10None60%5 h3 mph

Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.

Golden hour and blue hour

Computed from the sun and moon positions
DayBlue hour, morningGolden hour, morningGolden hour, eveningBlue hour, evening
Sat6:52 AM to 7:02 AM7:02 AM to 7:49 AM6:45 PM to 7:32 PM7:32 PM to 7:42 PM
Sun6:53 AM to 7:02 AM7:02 AM to 7:50 AM6:44 PM to 7:31 PM7:31 PM to 7:40 PM
Mon6:54 AM to 7:03 AM7:03 AM to 7:50 AM6:42 PM to 7:29 PM7:29 PM to 7:39 PM
Tue6:54 AM to 7:04 AM7:04 AM to 7:51 AM6:41 PM to 7:28 PM7:28 PM to 7:38 PM
Wed6:55 AM to 7:04 AM7:04 AM to 7:52 AM6:40 PM to 7:27 PM7:27 PM to 7:36 PM
Thu6:56 AM to 7:05 AM7:05 AM to 7:52 AM6:38 PM to 7:26 PM7:26 PM to 7:35 PM
Fri6:56 AM to 7:06 AM7:06 AM to 7:53 AM6:37 PM to 7:24 PM7:24 PM to 7:34 PM
NESWSRSSMRMS
  • SR Sunrise 7:17 AM, 91° E
  • SS Sunset 7:17 PM, 269° W
  • MR Moonrise 7:12 PM, 83° E
  • MS Moonset 7:11 AM, 273° W
  • Full moon, 100% lit

Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.

Drone flying

NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107

This hour: no-fly (low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)). Next good stretch: Sat 8 AM to 10 AM, 2 hours.

Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:47 AM to sunrise 7:17 AM, and sunset 7:17 PM to 7:47 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.

Sat6 AM12 PM6 PM
Sun12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Mon12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Caution No-fly

HourVerdictWind (mph)400 ft est. (mph)Gust (mph)RainVisibilityCloud allowsTempKpWhy
Sat 4 AMNo-fly29100%10 miup to 0 ft71°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 5 AMNo-fly29100%10 miup to 0 ft70°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 6 AMCaution2670%10 mi400 ft69°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 7 AMCaution2340%10 mi400 ft69°civil twilight: lighting required (107.29)
Sat 8 AMGood2340%10 mi400 ft70°nothing against it
Sat 9 AMGood2350%10 mi400 ft74°nothing against it
Sat 10 AMNo-fly3461%10 miup to 0 ft79°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sat 11 AMNo-fly3461%10 miup to 0 ft84°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sat 12 PMGood3481%10 mi400 ft86°nothing against it
Sat 1 PMGood3481%10 mi400 ft89°nothing against it
Sat 2 PMGood3481%10 mi400 ft91°nothing against it
Sat 3 PMGood3481%10 mi400 ft91°nothing against it
Sat 4 PMGood3481%10 mi400 ft92°nothing against it
Sat 5 PMGood3481%10 mi400 ft91°nothing against it
Sat 6 PMNo-fly3481%10 miup to 0 ft90°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sat 7 PMNo-fly314151%10 miup to 0 ft87°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 8 PMNo-fly314151%10 miup to 0 ft82°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 9 PMNo-fly314161%10 miup to 0 ft80°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 10 PMNo-fly518211%10 miup to 0 ft78°low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 11 PMNo-fly518211%10 miup to 0 ft77°low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 12 AMNo-fly518211%10 miup to 0 ft77°low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 1 AMNo-fly314171%10 miup to 0 ft75°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 2 AMNo-fly314171%10 miup to 0 ft74°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 3 AMNo-fly314171%10 miup to 0 ft73°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)

Flight restrictions nearby

Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.

Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.

Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.

Spraying and field work

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast

Hours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.

Spraying windows

  • Sat 10 AM to 1 PM 3 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
  • Sat 7 PM to Sun 6 AM 11 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
  • Sun 7 AM to 2 PM 7 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
  • Sun 10 PM to Mon 1 PM 15 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
  • Mon 5 PM to Tue 11 AM 18 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
Sat6 AM12 PM6 PM
Sun12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Mon12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Tue12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Marginal No

Field days

DayDaytimeChance of rainRainLowest humidityStrongest windDry days in a rowHay drying
SaturdayDry1%0.00 in32%3 mph3 d
SundayDry9%0.00 in35%6 mph2 dGood
MondayDry10%0.00 in38%6 mph1 dGood
TuesdayShowers possible20%0.08 in44%12 mph
WednesdayWet49%2.10 in58%16 mph
ThursdayWet55%1.33 in61%10 mph
FridayWet38%0.31 in61%6 mph
SaturdayWet35%0.34 in61%5 mph

Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.

Solunar times

Computed from the moon’s position

The best-rated day this week is Saturday, rated best.

DayRatingMajor periodsMinor periodsMoonSunrise, sunset
Sat Best11:53 PM to 1:53 AM12:15 PM to 2:15 PM6:41 AM to 7:41 AM6:42 PM to 7:42 PM 100%7:17 AM, 7:17 PM
Sun Best12:38 AM to 2:38 AM1:02 PM to 3:02 PM7:44 AM to 8:44 AM7:12 PM to 8:12 PM 99%7:17 AM, 7:16 PM
Mon Good1:27 AM to 3:27 AM1:52 PM to 3:52 PM8:50 AM to 9:50 AM7:47 PM to 8:47 PM 95%7:18 AM, 7:15 PM
Tue Fair2:19 AM to 4:19 AM2:46 PM to 4:46 PM9:59 AM to 10:59 AM8:27 PM to 9:27 PM 90%7:19 AM, 7:13 PM
Wed Poor3:15 AM to 5:15 AM3:45 PM to 5:45 PM11:10 AM to 12:10 PM9:15 PM to 10:15 PM 82%7:19 AM, 7:12 PM
Thu Fair4:15 AM to 6:15 AM4:46 PM to 6:46 PM12:19 PM to 1:19 PM10:12 PM to 11:12 PM 73%7:20 AM, 7:11 PM
Fri Fair5:18 AM to 7:18 AM5:49 PM to 7:49 PM1:24 PM to 2:24 PM11:16 PM to 12:16 AM 64%7:21 AM, 7:09 PM

Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index

Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.

In words

NWS forecast periods, as issued
  1. Overnight69° · 0 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. South southeast wind around 0 mph.

  2. Saturday93° · 1% · SSE 0–5 mph

    Partly sunny. High near 93, with temperatures falling to around 91 in the afternoon. South southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.

  3. Saturday Night71° · 2% · SSE 5 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 71. South southeast wind around 5 mph.

  4. Sunday95° · 9% · S 5 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 95. South wind around 5 mph.

  5. Sunday Night74° · 10% · SSE 0–5 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. South southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.

  6. Monday95° · 10% · S 5 mph

    Mostly sunny. High near 95, with temperatures falling to around 92 in the afternoon. South wind around 5 mph.

  7. Monday Night74° · 5% · SSE 5 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. South southeast wind around 5 mph.

  8. Tuesday95° · 7% · SSE 5–10 mph

    Partly sunny, with a high near 95. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

  9. Tuesday Night73° · 29% · SSE 10 mph

    A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. South southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

  10. Wednesday90° · 49% · S 10–15 mph

    A chance of rain showers before 1pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 90. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

  11. Wednesday Night70° · 50% · S 5–10 mph

    A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

  12. Thursday86° · 55% · S 10 mph

    A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

  13. Thursday Night68° · 55% · SSE 5 mph

    A chance of rain showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

  14. Friday86° · 38% · SSE 5 mph

    A chance of rain showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

The forecaster’s discussion

NWS Fort Worth/Dallas, TX · issued Sep 26, 1:38 AM CDT

Written by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.

KEY Messages

Above normal temperatures will continue through the weekend with highs generally in the 90s.

A few thunderstorms may develop near Southeast OK or far Western North Texas this afternoon, but most of North and Central Texas will remain dry.

Confidence continues to increase in a wetter pattern Tuesday through the middle of the week.

Short Term

126 AM CDT Sat Sep 26 2026

(Today and tonight)

The upper-level pattern continues to undergo a gradual transition early this morning as the persistent ridge is suppressed farther south and troughing advances into the Plains. This will result in a more zonal flow regime across North and Central Texas today before northwest flow becomes established by Sunday.

For today, a shortwave moving east across the Southern Plains will provide an increase in large-scale ascent through the afternoon. The better overlap of forcing, instability, and deep-layer shear should remain across Southeast Oklahoma and portions of northwest Texas, where isolated to scattered thunderstorms may develop during peak heating. Some of this activity may approach our far northwestern counties, but most of the forecast area should remain dry.

Any storm that does develop near the northwest portion of the area will reside within a moderately unstable and sufficiently sheared environment for a stronger updraft or two. Marginally severe hail or a strong wind gust cannot be ruled out, but sparse coverage and the displacement of the better forcing should keep the overall severe threat low.

Elsewhere, southerly to southeasterly winds will persist beneath a steady stream of high cirrus. Temperatures will once again climb into the lower and middle 90s. Humidity will remain manageable enough that heat index values should generally remain close to the actual air temperature.

Any convection near the northwest counties should weaken this evening with decreasing instability. Another weak disturbance moving through the increasingly northwesterly flow may support renewed convection upstream across Oklahoma late tonight. There is some potential for showers or storms to approach the Red River toward daybreak Sunday, but confidence in how far south this activity survives remains low.

Long Term

126 AM CDT Sat Sep 26 2026

(Sunday through Friday)

Sunday will begin with a weak shortwave moving through the developing northwest flow aloft. This feature, along with any remnant outflow from overnight convection, may support a few showers and thunderstorms during the morning hours across North Texas. Coverage and duration will depend heavily on the organization of upstream convection, with decreasing probabilities farther south toward Central Texas.

Any morning activity should become less organized with time, though a remnant boundary could serve as a focus for isolated redevelopment Sunday afternoon. Otherwise, temperatures will remain above normal with highs generally in the middle 90s.

A brief period of weak ridging will follow Sunday`s disturbance and persist into Monday ahead of a much more substantial pattern change to our west. This should allow temperatures to climb another degree or two Monday, with mid and upper 90s more common across much of North and Central Texas.

Attention then turns toward the eastern Pacific and an amplifying trough over the western CONUS. Hurricane Polo is forecast to move toward Baja California early next week before rapidly weakening as it encounters the terrain of northwest Mexico. While Polo itself will lose its tropical characteristics, a substantial plume of tropical moisture is expected to survive and become drawn northeastward toward the Southern Plains.

At the same time, the approaching western trough will provide both additional moisture transport and increasingly favorable ascent. Rain chances should begin increasing from west to east Tuesday afternoon as leading disturbances encounter the deepening moisture plume, with the more widespread rainfall currently favored Tuesday night into Wednesday.

Confidence is increasing that a broad area of beneficial rainfall will affect the Southern Plains during the middle of the week. The largest remaining uncertainty is how the upper trough ultimately interacts with the tropical moisture. Ensemble clustering generally supports a slower trough lingering near the Four Corners, which would maintain ascent and rich moisture across the region for a longer period and favor greater rainfall totals. A faster and more progressive trough remains possible and would still produce rain, but would shorten the window for heavier or more widespread precipitation.

Thus, confidence is considerably higher in the occurrence of rain than in specific rainfall amounts or where the heaviest axis will ultimately develop. These details should become clearer as the trough and tropical moisture plume become better sampled over the next few days.

Troughing may linger across the region beyond Wednesday, so low rain chances will continue through the latter half of the week. Confidence decreases substantially during this portion of the forecast and will remain dependent on how quickly the upper trough progresses east.

Increasing cloud cover and precipitation should also bring a welcome decline in temperatures during the middle and latter portions of the week, with readings trending closer to late-September normals.

Aviation

126 AM CDT Sat Sep 26 2026

(06Z TAFS)

VFR conditions will prevail through the period.

Light southeast to south winds will continue overnight and through Saturday, generally around 10 kt or less. High cirrus will stream across the region with occasional mid-level clouds, but no ceiling or visibility restrictions are expected.

Thunderstorms developing this afternoon should remain northwest of the D10 terminals, generating no direct impacts to the D10 airspace.

Another round of convection may develop upstream across Oklahoma Saturday night and move southeast toward North Texas late in the period. Confidence in whether this activity can reach the D10 terminals remains low, but trends will continue to be monitored as this is just outside of the KDFW extended forecast.

No significant impacts are currently anticipated at KACT.

Spotter Information Statement

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Preliminary Point Temps / Pops

Dallas-Ft. Worth 93 75 94 76 / 0 10 20 10 Waco 94 72 96 74 / 0 0 10 10 Paris 90 68 92 71 / 0 10 20 20 Denton 93 72 95 73 / 0 10 20 10 McKinney 92 70 94 72 / 0 10 20 20 Dallas 94 75 95 77 / 0 0 20 10 Terrell 93 70 95 73 / 0 0 20 10 Corsicana 93 70 95 73 / 0 0 10 10 Temple 94 70 96 73 / 0 0 0 10 Mineral Wells 94 71 96 71 / 10 10 10 10

FWD Watches / Warnings / Advisories

None.

The outlooks beyond

SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this point

The national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.

Severe weather

  1. Day 1 · Sat Sep 26No risk area
  2. Day 2 · Sun Sep 27General Thunderstorms Risk
  3. Day 3 · Mon Sep 28General Thunderstorms Risk
  4. Day 4 · Tue Sep 29No risk area
  5. Day 5 · Wed Sep 30No risk area
  6. Day 6 · Thu Oct 1No risk area
  7. Day 7 · Fri Oct 2No risk area
  8. Day 8 · Sat Oct 3No risk area

Rainfall

  1. Day 1 · Sat Sep 26Under 0.01 in
  2. Day 2 · Sun Sep 27Under 0.01 in
  3. Day 3 · Mon Sep 28Under 0.01 in
  4. Day 4-5 · Sep 29–Sep 302.50 in
  5. Day 6-7 · Oct 1–Oct 21.00 in

The rainfall forecast on the map, days 1 to 7

Flash flood risk

  1. Day 1 · Sat Sep 26Below marginal
  2. Day 2 · Sun Sep 27Below marginal
  3. Day 3 · Mon Sep 28Below marginal
  4. Day 4 · Tue Sep 29Marginal
  5. Day 5 · Wed Sep 30Slight

Six to fourteen days

  1. Days 6–10 · Temperature40% chance above normalOct 1–Oct 5
  2. Days 6–10 · Precipitation50% chance above normalOct 1–Oct 5
  3. Days 8–14 · TemperatureNear normal most likelyOct 3–Oct 9
  4. Days 8–14 · Precipitation40% chance above normalOct 3–Oct 9

Hazards, 3 to 14 days

  1. Sep 28–Oct 2Severe Drought
  2. Sep 30–Oct 1Heavy Rain

Drought

  1. Drought Monitor, map of Sep 22D2 Severe drought
  2. Outlook for Sep 2026Drought persists

Drought in this county: the map, the record since 2000 and the outlook

Frost and climate

NOAA 1991-2020 normals, Corsicana

The last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around March 14 and the first fall freeze around November 16: a growing season of about 246 days.

One fall in ten brings a freeze by November 1; one spring in ten still has one after April 4.

Climate of 32.08, -96.49: normals, records and every month

Everything else on the grid

NWS forecast grid · 27 elements

The forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.

ElementSatSunMonTueWedThuFriSat
HeatRisk max1 · Minor2 · Moderate2 · Moderate2 · Moderate2 · Moderate1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor
Wet bulb globe temperature max81°85°84°85°84°81°82°83°
Heat index max91°95°97°99°99°92°90°92°
Chance of thunder max0%0%0%5%28%28%19%16%
Cloud ceiling min-100 ft-100 ft
Visibility min10 mi10 mi
Mixing height max5,500 ft6,500 ft7,900 ft7,600 ft4,700 ft4,000 ft3,500 ft3,100 ft
Transport wind max10 mph12 mph14 mph16 mph21 mph18 mph13 mph9 mph
Twenty-foot wind max3 mph5 mph6 mph9 mph13 mph8 mph6 mph0 mph

Against the record

NOAA GHCN · Corsicana (CRS) · 6.2 mi away

Each forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.

DayForecastNormalRecord highRecord low
Sat Sep 2693° / 71°88° / 64°108° (2005)46° (2000)
Sun Sep 2795° / 74°89° / 65°97° (2005)50° (2000)
Mon Sep 2895° / 74°88° / 64°99° (2005)49° (2010)
Tue Sep 2995° / 73°85° / 62°100° (2011)48° (2020)
Wed Sep 3090° / 70°87° / 62°96° (2019)50° (1999)
Thu Oct 186° / 68°87° / 62°96° (2019)50° (1999)
Fri Oct 286° / 68°86° / 63°96° (2014)52° (2022)
Sat Oct 387° / 69°87° / 63°95° (2019)52° (2010)

Sun and moon

DayCivil twilightSunriseSunsetCivil twilightDaylightMoon
Sat6:52 AM7:17 AM7:17 PM7:42 PM12 h 0 min Full moon · 100% lit
Sun6:53 AM7:17 AM7:16 PM7:40 PM11 h 59 min Waning gibbous · 99% lit
Mon6:54 AM7:18 AM7:15 PM7:39 PM11 h 57 min Waning gibbous · 95% lit
Tue6:54 AM7:19 AM7:13 PM7:38 PM11 h 54 min Waning gibbous · 90% lit
Wed6:55 AM7:19 AM7:12 PM7:36 PM11 h 53 min Waning gibbous · 82% lit
Thu6:56 AM7:20 AM7:11 PM7:35 PM11 h 51 min Waning gibbous · 73% lit
Fri6:56 AM7:21 AM7:09 PM7:34 PM11 h 48 min Waning gibbous · 64% lit
Sat6:57 AM7:21 AM7:08 PM7:32 PM11 h 47 min Last quarter · 53% lit

Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).

What is here

Seven days
The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
Hour by hour
Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
Everything else on the grid
The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
The discussion
The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
Beyond the week
The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
Against the record
Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
The next 90 days
The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.

Common questions

Where does this forecast come from?

From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.

How far ahead does it go?

The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.

Why is this different from the app on my phone?

Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.

What is a place’s address here?

Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.

What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from