Current weather · Sep 29, 10:04 PM CDT

30.8870, -90.0490

74°

Mostly ClearFeels like 74° · Humidity 84%NWS forecast for this hour; no recent station reportForecast by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge · grid 67,129
High
93°
Low
65°
Rain today
0%
Sunrise
6:53 AM
Sunset
6:48 PM

Hour by hour

NWS forecast grid

Scroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.

Every hour as a table48 hours
TimeWeatherTemperatureFeels likeDew pointHumidityChanceAmountSnowDirWindGustSky coverThunderPressureVisibilityCeiling
Tue 10 PM74°74°69°84%0%SSE2 mph8 mph15%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 11 PM72°72°69°90%0%SSE1 mph7 mph4%—10 mi-100 ft
Wed 12 AM71°71°68°90%0%SSE0 mph6 mph1%—10 mi-100 ft
Wed 1 AM70°70°68°93%0%N0 mph3 mph6%—10 mi-100 ft
Wed 2 AM69°69°68°97%0%N0 mph3 mph7%—10 mi-100 ft
Wed 3 AM68°68°68°100%0%N0 mph3 mph5%—10 mi-100 ft
Wed 4 AM68°68°68°100%0%N0 mph3 mph6%—10 mi-100 ft
Wed 5 AM67°67°67°100%0%N0 mph3 mph12%—10 mi-100 ft
Wed 6 AM67°67°67°100%0%E1 mph5 mph14%—8 mi-100 ft
Wed 7 AM66°66°66°100%0%E1 mph5 mph20%—7 mi-100 ft
Wed 8 AM68°68°68°100%0%E2 mph7 mph11%—10 mi-100 ft
Wed 9 AM73°73°72°97%0%E3 mph8 mph16%—10 mi-100 ft
Wed 10 AM82°87°73°74%0%ESE5 mph10 mph15%—10 mi-100 ft
Wed 11 AM86°93°73°65%0%SE6 mph12 mph14%—10 mi-100 ft
Wed 12 PM89°97°73°59%0%SE7 mph13 mph8%—10 mi-100 ft
Wed 1 PM90°97°72°56%0%SE7 mph13 mph14%—10 mi-100 ft
Wed 2 PM90°97°72°56%0%SE9 mph14 mph17%—10 mi-100 ft
Wed 3 PM91°99°72°54%0%SE10 mph15 mph11%—10 mi-100 ft
Wed 4 PM90°96°71°54%1%SE10 mph15 mph19%1%—10 mi-100 ft
Wed 5 PM89°95°71°56%1%SE10 mph16 mph18%1%—10 mi-100 ft
Wed 6 PM86°91°71°61%0%SE10 mph16 mph6%—10 mi-100 ft
Wed 7 PM81°85°71°72%0%SE9 mph16 mph3%—10 mi-100 ft
Wed 8 PM78°78°72°82%0%SE8 mph16 mph5%—10 mi-100 ft
Wed 9 PM76°76°72°87%0%SE6 mph15 mph5%—10 mi-100 ft
Wed 10 PM75°75°72°90%0%SE5 mph13 mph4%—10 mi-100 ft
Wed 11 PM73°73°72°97%0%SE3 mph12 mph7%——
Thu 12 AM73°73°72°97%0%ESE2 mph10 mph18%——
Thu 1 AM72°72°72°100%0%ESE2 mph9 mph37%——
Thu 2 AM72°72°72°100%7%ESE2 mph8 mph34%——
Thu 3 AM71°71°71°100%1%ESE2 mph8 mph20%——
Thu 4 AM71°71°71°100%3%E2 mph8 mph22%1%——
Thu 5 AM71°71°71°100%6%E2 mph9 mph29%1%——
Thu 6 AM71°71°71°100%11%E2 mph9 mph21%1%——
Thu 7 AM71°71°71°100%14%E3 mph9 mph11%4%——
Thu 8 AM73°73°73°100%14%ESE5 mph12 mph12%4%——
Thu 9 AM77°77°75°94%14%ESE7 mph14 mph13%4%——
Thu 10 AM83°91°76°80%14%SE9 mph15 mph14%9%——
Thu 11 AM86°96°76°72%14%SE10 mph16 mph18%9%——
Thu 12 PM88°99°76°68%14%SSE12 mph16 mph22%9%——
Thu 1 PMChance of light rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms89°99°75°64%53%0.00 inSSE12 mph17 mph26%22%——
Thu 2 PMChance of light rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms89°99°75°64%53%0.00 inSSE13 mph18 mph27%22%——
Thu 3 PMChance of light rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms89°99°75°64%53%0.00 inSSE14 mph20 mph28%22%——
Thu 4 PMChance of light rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms88°98°75°66%53%0.00 inSSE14 mph20 mph29%23%——
Thu 5 PMChance of light rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms85°93°74°70%53%0.00 inSSE13 mph18 mph26%23%——
Thu 6 PMChance of light rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms82°88°74°77%53%0.00 inSE12 mph17 mph22%23%——
Thu 7 PM79°79°73°82%11%SE9 mph16 mph19%10%——
Thu 8 PM77°77°73°88%11%SE8 mph15 mph19%10%——
Thu 9 PM76°76°73°90%11%SE6 mph13 mph20%10%——

The next 16 days

NWS grid published Sep 29, 2:02 PM CDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 11, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16
  1. TodaySep 2993°65°Mostly Clear0%wind 3 mph · gusts 9 mph
  2. WedSep 3092°71°Sunny1%wind 10 mph · gusts 16 mph
  3. ThuOct 191°71°Sunny then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms53%0.01 inwind 14 mph · gusts 20 mph
  4. FriOct 290°71°Showers And Thunderstorms83%0.31 inwind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
  5. SatOct 387°71°Showers And Thunderstorms88%1.40 inwind 7 mph · gusts 14 mph
  6. SunOct 485°69°Showers And Thunderstorms82%1.36 inwind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
  7. MonOct 582°65°Chance Rain Showers49%0.84 inwind 12 mph · gusts 21 mph
  8. TueOct 682°65°Chance Showers And Thunderstorms31%0.54 inwind 10 mph · gusts 18 mph
  9. WedOct 782°63°National Blend29%0.53 inwind 14 mph · gusts 21 mph
  10. ThuOct 882°63°National Blend21%0.54 inwind 12 mph · gusts 20 mph
  11. FriOct 984°61°National Blend18%0.60 inwind 12 mph · gusts 20 mph
  12. SatOct 10~75°65°Model mean0.42 in
  13. SunOct 11~75°65°Model mean0.06 in
  14. MonOct 12~73°58°Model mean
  15. TueOct 13~77°59°Model mean0.08 in
  16. WedOct 14~80°57°Model mean

Right now

NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow
  • Feels like74°
  • WindSSE 2 mphgusts 8 mph
  • Radar over this pointno reading
  • Humidity84%
  • Dew point69°
  • Pressure—
  • UV index—
  • Air quality—
  • Visibility10 mi
  • Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset · set
  • Moonrise8:34 PMMoonset 10:00 AM
  • Moon phaseWaning gibbous90% lit

The National Blend of Models

NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Sep 29, 7:00 PM CDT

NOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.

  1. TodaySep 29—66°NWS grid 93° / 65°rain 0%wind 3 mph · gusts 9 mph
  2. WedSep 3092°71°NWS grid 92° / 71°rain 5%wind 12 mph · gusts 17 mph
  3. ThuOct 191°72°NWS grid 91° / 71°rain 68%thunder 22%0.17 inwind 14 mph · gusts 20 mph
  4. FriOct 290°72°NWS grid 90° / 71°rain 87%thunder 40%0.93 inwind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
  5. SatOct 387°71°NWS grid 87° / 71°rain 90%thunder 40%1.39 inwind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
  6. SunOct 484°68°NWS grid 85° / 69°rain 84%thunder 36%1.71 inwind 6 mph · gusts 13 mph
  7. MonOct 582°65°NWS grid 82° / 65°rain 49%thunder 20%1.09 inwind 13 mph · gusts 21 mph
  8. TueOct 682°64°NWS grid 82° / 65°rain 34%thunder 15%1.08 inwind 12 mph · gusts 18 mph
  9. WedOct 782°63°Beyond the NWS gridrain 29%thunder 15%0.53 inwind 14 mph · gusts 21 mph
  10. ThuOct 882°63°Beyond the NWS gridrain 21%0.54 inwind 12 mph · gusts 20 mph
  11. FriOct 984°61°Beyond the NWS gridrain 18%0.60 inwind 12 mph · gusts 20 mph
  12. SatOct 1082°—Beyond the NWS gridrain 16%wind 12 mph · gusts 18 mph
59°77°95°WedThuFriSatSunMonTue

BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly

The models, side by side

HRRR Sep 29, 7:00 PM CDT · GFS Sep 29, 1:00 PM CDT · GEFS Sep 29, 1:00 PM CDT · ECMWF Sep 29, 7:00 AM CDT · ECMWF AI Sep 29, 7:00 AM CDT

Each line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.

59°77°95°WedThuFriSatSunMonTue

DayNWS gridHRRRGFSGEFSECMWFECMWF AI
Today Sep 2993° 65°~83° 76°~93° 79°~96° 76°89° 64°~91° 64°
Wed Sep 3092° 71°93° 68°93° 68°91° 67°88° 69°0.02 in~90° 67°
Thu Oct 191° 71°0.01 in90° 71°0.02 in93° 71°90° 71°0.03 in83° 72°0.13 in~88° 73°0.07 in
Fri Oct 290° 71°0.31 in—89° 71°0.37 in88° 71°0.28 in83° 73°0.19 in~83° 75°0.70 in
Sat Oct 387° 71°1.40 in—74° 71°0.54 in83° 73°0.50 in85° 73°0.48 in~79° 75°1.07 in
Sun Oct 485° 69°1.36 in—72° 69°1.61 in78° 72°0.72 in82° 71°0.85 in~80° 74°0.80 in
Mon Oct 582° 65°0.84 in—76° 68°0.03 in76° 70°0.56 in~80° 72°0.10 in~81° 74°0.24 in
Tue Oct 682° 65°0.54 in—67° 63°0.13 in77° 66°0.30 in~81° 66°0.01 in~80° 70°0.03 in
Wed Oct 7——69° 62°0.04 in75° 66°0.68 in~79° 67°~75° 67°0.01 in
Thu Oct 8——78° 59°75° 64°0.46 in~77° 60°~80° 67°0.02 in
Fri Oct 9——78° 58°~77° 64°0.06 in~75° 62°~79° 69°0.23 in
Sat Oct 10——~67° 62°0.31 in—~81° 60°~76° 72°0.94 in
Sun Oct 11——~60° 57°0.09 in—~82° 64°~83° 73°0.08 in
Mon Oct 12——~73° 53°—~79° 65°0.02 in~67° 56°
Tue Oct 13——~78° 55°—~83° 72°0.25 in~71° 49°
Wed Oct 14——~80° 57°—~73° 71°0.02 in~59° 57°

A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.

ECMWF ensemble meteogram

ECMWF ensemble meteogram for this place: box plots of cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and temperature from the 51 ensemble members for ten days.
Rendered by ECMWF from its 51-member ensemble, in metric units: each box spans the middle half of the members, the whiskers the rest, the line the control run. A forecast, not an observation. © ECMWF, CC BY 4.0.

The next 90 days

NOAA GHCN normals and records at Bogalusa (BXA) · Climate Prediction Center outlooks

No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.

The forecast reaches Wed Oct 14, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.

Climate Prediction Center (CPC) temperature lean50%40%warmer 50% · Oct 202633% chance above normal · Oct to Dec20°40°60°80°100°TodayOct 1Nov 1Dec 1

Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normalCPC near normal or equal chances

Week ofNormalWarmest on recordColdest on recordTemperature leanPrecipitation lean
Sep 29—98° (1953)40° (1967)50% chance above normal · Oct 202633% chance above normal · Oct 2026
Oct 6—94° (1954)36° (1932)40% chance above normal · days 6 to 1050% chance above normal · days 6 to 10
Oct 13—92° (2005)32° (1943)50% chance above normal · Oct 202633% chance above normal · Oct 2026
Oct 20—93° (1939)31° (1989)50% chance above normal · Oct 202633% chance above normal · Oct 2026
Oct 27—92° (1939)27° (1952)50% chance above normal · Oct 202633% chance above normal · Oct 2026
Nov 3—89° (1934)25° (1966)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 10—88° (1935)22° (1940)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 17—86° (1958)22° (1937)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 24—85° (1973)21° (1976)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 1—85° (1941)20° (1935)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 8—85° (1943)9° (1962)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 15—83° (1971)18° (1975)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 22—86° (1942)6° (1989)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec

Health and activities

Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollen

None of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.

The sun is down, so each rating says which span it is for: tomorrow’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.

Health

  • Arthritisnext 24 hModeratehumid
  • Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Common coldtomorrowLowmild
  • FlutomorrowLowmild
  • Migrainenext 24 hModerateheat
  • Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
  • Heat stresstomorrowVery highheat
  • SunburntomorrowLowweak sun
  • Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
  • SleepingtonightVery goodhumid

Outdoors

  • RunningtomorrowFairhot
  • HikingtomorrowVery goodhot
  • BikingtomorrowVery goodhot
  • GolftomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • FishingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • Boating and paddlingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • Beach and pooltomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • CampingtonightIdealfine conditions
  • StargazingtonightGoodbright moon

Travel

  • Air travelnext 24 hIdealclear skies
  • Drivingnext 24 hIdealclear roads

Home and garden

  • Lawn mowingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • GardeningtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • Outdoor entertainingtomorrowVery goodhot
  • Drying laundry outsidetomorrowVery goodhumid
  • Painting and outdoor projectstomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • FrosttonightLowmild

Pests

  • MosquitoestomorrowVery highwarm
  • TickstomorrowHighwarm
  • Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
  • Outdoor peststomorrowHighwarm

Stargazing

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moon

Tonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated fair.

Night ofRatingDarkClear hoursClear and moonlessMoon litTransparency (est.)DewStrongest wind
TuesdayFair8:08 PM to 5:33 AM9 of 10None87%Poor7 h2 mph
WednesdayFair8:07 PM to 5:34 AM6 of 101 h from 8:00 PM79%Poor8 h8 mph
ThursdayFair8:05 PM to 5:34 AM3 of 102 h from 8:00 PM70%Poor9 h8 mph
FridayPoor8:04 PM to 5:35 AM0 of 10None60%10 h5 mph
SaturdayPoor8:03 PM to 5:36 AM0 of 10None50%10 h2 mph
SundayPoor8:02 PM to 5:36 AM0 of 10None39%10 h5 mph
MondayPoor8:00 PM to 5:37 AM0 of 10None29%9 h8 mph

Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.

Golden hour and blue hour

Computed from the sun and moon positions
DayBlue hour, morningGolden hour, morningGolden hour, eveningBlue hour, evening
Tue6:29 AM to 6:38 AM6:38 AM to 7:25 AM6:16 PM to 7:02 PM7:02 PM to 7:12 PM
Wed6:29 AM to 6:39 AM6:39 AM to 7:25 AM6:15 PM to 7:01 PM7:01 PM to 7:11 PM
Thu6:30 AM to 6:39 AM6:39 AM to 7:26 AM6:13 PM to 7:00 PM7:00 PM to 7:09 PM
Fri6:30 AM to 6:40 AM6:40 AM to 7:27 AM6:12 PM to 6:59 PM6:59 PM to 7:08 PM
Sat6:31 AM to 6:40 AM6:40 AM to 7:27 AM6:11 PM to 6:58 PM6:58 PM to 7:07 PM
Sun6:32 AM to 6:41 AM6:41 AM to 7:28 AM6:09 PM to 6:56 PM6:56 PM to 7:06 PM
Mon6:32 AM to 6:42 AM6:42 AM to 7:28 AM6:08 PM to 6:55 PM6:55 PM to 7:04 PM
NESWSRSSMRMS
  • SR Sunrise 6:53 AM, 92° E
  • SS Sunset 6:48 PM, 267° W
  • MR Moonrise 8:34 PM, 63° ENE
  • MS Moonset 10:00 AM, 294° WNW
  • Waning gibbous, 90% lit

Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.

Drone flying

NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107

This hour: no-fly (low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)). Next good stretch: Thu 7 AM to 11 AM, 4 hours.

Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:23 AM to sunrise 6:53 AM, and sunset 6:48 PM to 7:18 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.

Tue
Wed12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Thu12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Caution No-fly

HourVerdictWind (mph)400 ft est. (mph)Gust (mph)RainVisibilityCloud allowsTempKpWhy
Tue 10 PMNo-fly29150%10 miup to 0 ft74°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 11 PMNo-fly15100%10 miup to 0 ft72°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 12 AMNo-fly0060%10 miup to 0 ft71°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 1 AMNo-fly0030%10 miup to 0 ft70°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 2 AMNo-fly0030%10 miup to 0 ft69°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 3 AMNo-fly0030%10 miup to 0 ft68°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 4 AMNo-fly0030%10 miup to 0 ft68°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 5 AMNo-fly0030%10 miup to 0 ft67°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 6 AMNo-fly1580%8 miup to 0 ft67°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 7 AMNo-fly1150%7 miup to 0 ft66°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Wed 8 AMNo-fly2370%10 miup to 0 ft68°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Wed 9 AMNo-fly3490%10 miup to 0 ft73°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Wed 10 AMNo-fly55110%10 miup to 0 ft82°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Wed 11 AMNo-fly67130%10 miup to 0 ft86°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Wed 12 PMNo-fly78140%10 miup to 0 ft89°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Wed 1 PMNo-fly78140%10 miup to 0 ft90°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Wed 2 PMNo-fly911160%10 miup to 0 ft90°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Wed 3 PMNo-fly1012170%10 miup to 0 ft91°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Wed 4 PMNo-fly1013181%10 miup to 0 ft90°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Wed 5 PMNo-fly1013191%10 miup to 0 ft89°low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit
Wed 6 PMNo-fly1013190%10 miup to 0 ft86°low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit, civil twilight: lighting required (107.29)
Wed 7 PMNo-fly922290%10 miup to 0 ft81°gusts near or over your limit, low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 8 PMNo-fly819270%10 miup to 0 ft78°gusts near or over your limit, low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 9 PMNo-fly623320%10 miup to 0 ft76°gusts near or over your limit, low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)

Flight restrictions nearby

Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.

Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.

Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.

Spraying and field work

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast

Hours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.

Spraying windows

  • Wed 10 AM to 3 PM 5 hours, every hour within the rules
Tue
Wed12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Thu12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Fri12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Marginal No

Field days

DayDaytimeChance of rainRainLowest humidityStrongest windDry days in a rowHay drying
TuesdayDry0%0.00 in46%3 mph2 d
WednesdayDry1%0.00 in54%10 mph1 d
ThursdayShowers possible53%0.01 in64%14 mph
FridayWet83%0.31 in70%8 mph
SaturdayWet88%1.40 in75%7 mph
SundayWet82%1.36 in74%6 mph
MondayWet46%0.84 in74%12 mph
TuesdayWet31%0.54 in69%10 mph

Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.

Solunar times

Computed from the moon’s position

The best-rated day this week is Tuesday, rated fair.

DayRatingMajor periodsMinor periodsMoonSunrise, sunset
Tue Fair1:52 AM to 3:52 AM2:19 PM to 4:19 PM9:30 AM to 10:30 AM8:04 PM to 9:04 PM 90%6:53 AM, 6:48 PM
Wed Poor2:48 AM to 4:48 AM3:18 PM to 5:18 PM10:40 AM to 11:40 AM8:52 PM to 9:52 PM 82%6:53 AM, 6:46 PM
Thu Fair3:48 AM to 5:48 AM4:19 PM to 6:19 PM11:49 AM to 12:49 PM9:49 PM to 10:49 PM 73%6:54 AM, 6:45 PM
Fri Fair4:51 AM to 6:51 AM5:22 PM to 7:22 PM12:53 PM to 1:53 PM10:53 PM to 11:53 PM 64%6:54 AM, 6:44 PM
Sat Fair5:53 AM to 7:53 AM6:24 PM to 8:24 PM1:50 PM to 2:50 PM 53%6:55 AM, 6:43 PM
Sun Fair6:53 AM to 8:53 AM7:22 PM to 9:22 PM12:01 AM to 1:01 AM2:38 PM to 3:38 PM 43%6:56 AM, 6:42 PM
Mon Fair7:49 AM to 9:49 AM8:15 PM to 10:15 PM1:10 AM to 2:10 AM3:19 PM to 4:19 PM 32%6:56 AM, 6:40 PM

Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index

Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.

In words

NWS forecast periods, as issued
  1. Tonight66° · 0 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 66. Southeast wind around 0 mph.

  2. Wednesday92° · 1% · SE 0–10 mph

    Sunny. High near 92, with temperatures falling to around 89 in the afternoon. Southeast wind 0 to 10 mph.

  3. Wednesday Night71° · 7% · SE 0–10 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 71. Southeast wind 0 to 10 mph.

  4. Thursday91° · 53% · SE 0–15 mph

    A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Sunny, with a high near 91. Southeast wind 0 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

  5. Thursday Night71° · 53% · SE 0–10 mph

    A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 71. Southeast wind 0 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

  6. Friday90° · 83% · E 0–10 mph

    A chance of rain showers between 7am and 10am, then showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. East wind 0 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

  7. Friday Night71° · 83% · E 0–5 mph

    Showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. East wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

  8. Saturday87° · 88% · E 0–5 mph

    Showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. East wind 0 to 5 mph.

  9. Saturday Night71° · 88% · E 0–5 mph

    Showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. East wind 0 to 5 mph.

  10. Sunday85° · 82% · NE 0–5 mph

    Showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 85. Northeast wind 0 to 5 mph.

  11. Sunday Night69° · 82% · NE 0–5 mph

    Showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Northeast wind 0 to 5 mph.

  12. Monday82° · 46% · NE 5–10 mph

    A chance of rain showers before 1pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 82. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

  13. Monday Night65° · 46% · NE 5–10 mph

    A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.

  14. Tuesday82° · 31% · NE 5–10 mph

    A slight chance of rain showers before 1pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 82. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.

The forecaster’s discussion

NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge · issued Sep 29, 6:44 PM CDT

Written by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.

KEY Messages

Updated at 637 PM CDT Tue Sep 29 2026

Scattered to locally numerous showers and a few storms will return to the area Thursday afternoon. One or two storms could become strong, producing gusty winds, frequent lightning and brief periods of heavy rainfall.

Confidence is increasing that widespread rain and embedded thunderstorms will affect the area Friday through at least Sunday. While specific rainfall totals are still uncertain, heavy rain and at least localized flash flooding will be a threat. Residents should continue to monitor the forecast for updates regarding this threat.

Short Term

1250 PM CDT Tue Sep 29 2026

(Now through Thursday)

Weather will remain fairly quiet through tomorrow as mid/upper ridging continues to suppress convection.

Expect to see a rather quick increase in atmospheric moisture beginning Thursday as deeper tropical moisture begins to move into the area. At the same time, the mid/upper ridging will begin to break down as an upper trough moves through the plains states toward the Mississippi Valley.

This will allow for scattered to locally numerous showers to develop mainly during the afternoon hours as daytime heating will be necessary to break through the remaining cap. That being said, we can't rule out a couple thunderstorms, and any storms that do break through the cap will be capable of producing gusty winds, lightning and and brief periods of heavy rainfall.

Temperatures will remain warmer than normal through the period.

Long Term

1250 PM CDT Tue Sep 29 2026

(Friday through Monday)

Friday through Monday look to be quite active weather-wise. Generally speaking, a tropical wave will be moving northwestward out of the Caribbean and toward the northern Gulf coast. At the same time, the previously mentioned upper trough will move into the middle mississippi valley before flattening and lifting northeastward. This will force a slow-moving cold front toward the area as well. These two systems will interact resulting in widespread rainfall with embedded thunderstorms across the local area mainly from late Friday through Sunday, with the most intense rain tapering off by Monday.

To put the forecast moisture availability in perspective, most guidance indicates precipitable water values will be approaching 2.5 inches across much of the area by late Friday with similar values Saturday and Sunday. PW values like these are well above the 90th percentile for this time of year and nearing the daily maximum observed values for the Oct 2-4 time frame. This will result in prime conditions for efficient rainfall processes, and in fact the model forecast sounding profiles are basically moist adiabatic from the surface to the tropopause.

Heaviest rain will likely occur Saturday into Sunday when instantaneous rates of over 4 inches per hour will be possible in the heaviest storms. Rainfall rates like these, even over short periods can easily overwhelm drainage capacity in urban and other poor drainage areas. Currently we are highlighting a slight risk of excessive rainfall/flash flooding for Saturday, but if confidence continues to increase in this threat, would not be overly surprised to see that threat level increase to moderate. Expect to see a slight risk introduced for Sunday when Sunday becomes "day 5" tomorrow as well.

Current storm totals for the Friday through Sunday period are forecast in the 3-6" range, but this comes with a big caveat that there will likely be pockets of higher totals. The upper end potential is really tough to nail down at this point given the several days lead time, but it certainly wouldn't be out of the question for a couple places to be approaching the 10" mark over the three-day period.

If there's any good news to gleam, it's that rivers across the region are at base flow or lower right now and thus storage capacity is high. Current ensemble guidance is generally indicating a 10% or lower chance of reaching minor flood stage at any given river forecast point. Wouldn't be surprised to see those probabilities come up in a few places as the forecast itself becomes clearer and the range of possibilities therefore decreases. But for now, this appears to be more of a flash flood concern than a significant river flood concern.

Aviation

637 PM CDT Tue Sep 29 2026

(00Z TAFS)

VFR conditions are prevailing at all terminals with light, generally southeasterly winds. Increasing gulf moisture into the area will promote more SCT towering cu development along lake and seabreezes through midday to afternoon hours with a pop- up shower or storm possible, but too unlikely to impact terminals to deserve a PROB30 line at this range. Southeasterly winds will increase during the daytime to around or below 12 knots at most coastal terminals.

Marine

1250 PM CDT Tue Sep 29 2026

Onshore flow will become dominant again today around around 10 knots. As the week progresses, the pressure gradient will tighten causing winds to begin strengthening to 15 to 20 knots by Thursday or Thursday night. Showers and some thunderstorms will begin to increase in coverage toward the end of the week as well as a tropical wave moves through the northern gulf and interacts with an approaching weak cold front.

LIX Watches / Warnings / Advisories

LA...None. GM...None. MS...None. GM...None.

The outlooks beyond

SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this point

The national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.

Severe weather

  1. Day 1 · Tue Sep 29No risk area
  2. Day 2 · Wed Sep 30No risk area
  3. Day 3 · Thu Oct 1General Thunderstorms Risk
  4. Day 4 · Fri Oct 2No risk area
  5. Day 5 · Sat Oct 3No risk area
  6. Day 6 · Sun Oct 4No risk area
  7. Day 7 · Mon Oct 5No risk area
  8. Day 8 · Tue Oct 6No risk area

Rainfall

  1. Day 1 · Tue Sep 29Under 0.01 in
  2. Day 2 · Wed Sep 300.01 in
  3. Day 3 · Thu Oct 10.75 in
  4. Day 4-5 · Oct 2–Oct 32.50 in
  5. Day 6-7 · Oct 4–Oct 51.25 in

The rainfall forecast on the map, days 1 to 7

Flash flood risk

  1. Day 1 · Tue Sep 29Below marginal
  2. Day 2 · Wed Sep 30Below marginal
  3. Day 3 · Thu Oct 1Below marginal
  4. Day 4 · Fri Oct 2Marginal
  5. Day 5 · Sat Oct 3Slight

Six to fourteen days

  1. Days 6–10 · Temperature40% chance above normalOct 5–Oct 9
  2. Days 6–10 · Precipitation50% chance above normalOct 5–Oct 9
  3. Days 8–14 · TemperatureNear normal most likelyOct 7–Oct 13
  4. Days 8–14 · Precipitation40% chance above normalOct 7–Oct 13

Hazards, 3 to 14 days

  1. Oct 2–Oct 6Heavy Rain

Drought

  1. Drought Monitor, map of Sep 22D1 Moderate drought
  2. Outlook for Sep 2026Drought persists

Drought in this county: the map, the record since 2000 and the outlook

Frost and climate

NOAA 1991-2020 normals, Tylertown 5ESE

The last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around March 15 and the first fall freeze around November 16: a growing season of about 245 days.

One fall in ten brings a freeze by October 31; one spring in ten still has one after April 8.

Climate of 30.89, -90.05: normals, records and every month

Everything else on the grid

NWS forecast grid · 31 elements

The forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.

ElementTueWedThuFriSatSunMonTue
HeatRisk max2 · Moderate2 · Moderate2 · Moderate2 · Moderate2 · Moderate2 · Moderate1 · Minor1 · Minor
Wet bulb globe temperature max86°86°86°86°84°83°80°79°
Heat index max97°99°99°100°96°93°86°85°
Chance of thunder max0%1%23%41%41%36%20%17%
Cloud ceiling min-100 ft-100 ft
Visibility min10 mi7 mi
Mixing height max7,100 ft5,700 ft4,500 ft
Transport wind max9 mph12 mph14 mph
Twenty-foot wind max3 mph9 mph13 mph
Atmospheric dispersion index max2954
Low visibility risk max610

Against the record

NOAA GHCN · Bogalusa (BXA) · 12 mi away

Each forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.

DayForecastNormalRecord highRecord low
Tue Sep 2993° / 65°—98° (1953)40° (1967)
Wed Sep 3092° / 71°—96° (1953)40° (1967)
Thu Oct 191° / 71°—93° (1938)40° (1967)
Fri Oct 290° / 71°—95° (1955)41° (1984)
Sat Oct 387° / 71°—95° (1952)41° (1984)
Sun Oct 485° / 69°—91° (1941)41° (1974)
Mon Oct 582° / 65°—94° (1986)41° (1974)
Tue Oct 682° / 65°—94° (1954)36° (1932)

Sun and moon

DayCivil twilightSunriseSunsetCivil twilightDaylightMoon
Tue6:29 AM6:53 AM6:48 PM7:12 PM11 h 55 min Waning gibbous · 90% lit
Wed6:29 AM6:53 AM6:46 PM7:11 PM11 h 53 min Waning gibbous · 82% lit
Thu6:30 AM6:54 AM6:45 PM7:09 PM11 h 51 min Waning gibbous · 73% lit
Fri6:30 AM6:54 AM6:44 PM7:08 PM11 h 50 min Waning gibbous · 64% lit
Sat6:31 AM6:55 AM6:43 PM7:07 PM11 h 48 min Last quarter · 53% lit
Sun6:32 AM6:56 AM6:42 PM7:06 PM11 h 46 min Last quarter · 43% lit
Mon6:32 AM6:56 AM6:40 PM7:04 PM11 h 44 min Waning crescent · 32% lit
Tue6:33 AM6:57 AM6:39 PM7:03 PM11 h 42 min Waning crescent · 23% lit

Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).

What is here

Seven days
The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
Hour by hour
Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
Everything else on the grid
The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
The discussion
The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
Beyond the week
The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
Against the record
Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
The next 90 days
The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.

Common questions

Where does this forecast come from?

From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.

How far ahead does it go?

The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.

Why is this different from the app on my phone?

Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.

What is a place’s address here?

Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.

What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from