Current weather · Oct 1, 7:45 AM CDT
30.2210, -93.3110
77°
- High
- 91°
- Low
- 75°
- Rain today
- 48%
- Sunrise
- 7:07 AM
- Sunset
- 6:58 PM
Hour by hour
NWS forecast gridScroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.
Every hour as a table48 hours
| Time | Weather | Temperature | Feels like | Dew point | Humidity | Chance | Amount | Snow | Dir | Wind | Gust | Sky cover | Thunder | Pressure | Visibility | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 7 AM | Slight chance of light rain showers | 77° | 77° | 74° | 90% | 18% | ESE | 6 mph | 12 mph | 45% | 9% | — | 9 mi | |||
| Thu 8 AM | Slight chance of light rain showers | 78° | 78° | 75° | 91% | 21% | ESE | 7 mph | 13 mph | 38% | 9% | — | 9 mi | |||
| Thu 9 AM | Chance of light rain showers | 81° | 87° | 76° | 85% | 28% | SE | 7 mph | 14 mph | 43% | 9% | — | 10 mi | |||
| Thu 10 AM | Chance of light rain showers | 85° | 94° | 76° | 75% | 41% | SSE | 9 mph | 15 mph | 34% | 14% | — | 10 mi | |||
| Thu 11 AM | Chance of light rain showers | 86° | 95° | 75° | 70% | 42% | SSE | 10 mph | 17 mph | 65% | 14% | — | 10 mi | 7,200 ft | ||
| Thu 12 PM | Chance of light rain showers | 88° | 97° | 74° | 63% | 37% | SSE | 12 mph | 18 mph | 55% | 14% | — | 10 mi | |||
| Thu 1 PM | Chance of thunderstorms and chance of light rain showers | 89° | 98° | 74° | 61% | 47% | 0.00 in | S | 12 mph | 18 mph | 56% | 25% | — | 10 mi | ||
| Thu 2 PM | Chance of thunderstorms and chance of light rain showers | 89° | 97° | 73° | 59% | 48% | 0.00 in | S | 12 mph | 20 mph | 51% | 25% | — | 10 mi | ||
| Thu 3 PM | Chance of thunderstorms and chance of light rain showers | 90° | 98° | 73° | 58% | 41% | 0.00 in | S | 12 mph | 21 mph | 43% | 25% | — | 10 mi | ||
| Thu 4 PM | Slight chance of thunderstorms and slight chance of light rain showers | 89° | 98° | 74° | 61% | 24% | 0.00 in | S | 12 mph | 20 mph | 41% | 18% | — | 10 mi | ||
| Thu 5 PM | Slight chance of thunderstorms and slight chance of light rain showers | 89° | 98° | 74° | 61% | 18% | 0.00 in | SSE | 12 mph | 20 mph | 43% | 18% | — | 10 mi | ||
| Thu 6 PM | Slight chance of thunderstorms and slight chance of light rain showers | 87° | 95° | 74° | 65% | 16% | 0.00 in | S | 9 mph | 17 mph | 39% | 16% | — | 10 mi | ||
| Thu 7 PM | 84° | 92° | 75° | 74% | 2% | SSE | 7 mph | 14 mph | 43% | 2% | — | 10 mi | ||||
| Thu 8 PM | 83° | 90° | 75° | 77% | 3% | SSE | 6 mph | 14 mph | 35% | 3% | — | 10 mi | ||||
| Thu 9 PM | 81° | 87° | 75° | 82% | 4% | SE | 6 mph | 13 mph | 44% | 4% | — | 10 mi | ||||
| Thu 10 PM | 81° | 87° | 75° | 82% | 2% | SE | 6 mph | 12 mph | 43% | 2% | — | 10 mi | ||||
| Thu 11 PM | 80° | 85° | 75° | 85% | 0% | SE | 5 mph | 12 mph | 30% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Fri 12 AM | 79° | 79° | 75° | 88% | 4% | SE | 5 mph | 12 mph | 31% | 4% | — | 10 mi | ||||
| Fri 1 AM | 79° | 79° | 75° | 88% | 12% | ESE | 5 mph | 10 mph | 30% | 12% | — | 9 mi | ||||
| Fri 2 AM | Slight chance of light rain showers | 79° | 79° | 76° | 91% | 15% | ESE | 3 mph | 9 mph | 29% | 12% | — | 8 mi | |||
| Fri 3 AM | 78° | 78° | 75° | 91% | 9% | ESE | 3 mph | 8 mph | 34% | 9% | — | 8 mi | ||||
| Fri 4 AM | 77° | 77° | 75° | 94% | 14% | E | 3 mph | 8 mph | 30% | 14% | — | 7 mi | ||||
| Fri 5 AM | 77° | 77° | 75° | 94% | 9% | E | 3 mph | 8 mph | 30% | 9% | — | 6 mi | ||||
| Fri 6 AM | 77° | 77° | 75° | 94% | 11% | E | 3 mph | 8 mph | 38% | 11% | — | 5 mi | ||||
| Fri 7 AM | 75° | 75° | 75° | 100% | 8% | 0.01 in | ENE | 3 mph | 8 mph | 64% | 8% | — | 6 mi | 2,900 ft | ||
| Fri 8 AM | 77° | 77° | 76° | 97% | 7% | 0.01 in | E | 5 mph | 8 mph | 55% | 7% | — | 7 mi | |||
| Fri 9 AM | Slight chance of light rain showers | 79° | 79° | 78° | 97% | 15% | 0.01 in | E | 3 mph | 8 mph | 25% | 9% | — | 9 mi | ||
| Fri 10 AM | Chance of light rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms | 82° | 91° | 78° | 88% | 25% | 0.01 in | E | 5 mph | 9 mph | 37% | 19% | — | 10 mi | ||
| Fri 11 AM | Chance of light rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms | 84° | 94° | 77° | 80% | 39% | 0.01 in | E | 6 mph | 10 mph | 38% | 19% | — | 10 mi | ||
| Fri 12 PM | Chance of light rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms | 87° | 98° | 76° | 70% | 36% | 0.01 in | E | 6 mph | 9 mph | 54% | 19% | — | 10 mi | ||
| Fri 1 PM | Light rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms | 87° | 96° | 75° | 68% | 62% | 0.03 in | ESE | 6 mph | 9 mph | 74% | 36% | — | 10 mi | 3,100 ft | |
| Fri 2 PM | Light rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms | 88° | 98° | 75° | 66% | 62% | 0.03 in | E | 5 mph | 9 mph | 81% | 36% | — | 10 mi | 3,400 ft | |
| Fri 3 PM | Light rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms | 89° | 100° | 76° | 66% | 55% | 0.03 in | E | 5 mph | 9 mph | 61% | 36% | — | 10 mi | 4,100 ft | |
| Fri 4 PM | Chance of thunderstorms and chance of light rain showers | 88° | 99° | 76° | 68% | 46% | 0.03 in | ESE | 3 mph | 8 mph | 63% | 36% | — | 10 mi | 5,200 ft | |
| Fri 5 PM | Light rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms | 87° | 98° | 76° | 70% | 68% | 0.03 in | ESE | 3 mph | 7 mph | 60% | 36% | — | — | 6,200 ft | |
| Fri 6 PM | Light rain showers and chance of thunderstorms | 85° | 94° | 76° | 75% | 76% | 0.03 in | E | 3 mph | 6 mph | 65% | 36% | — | — | 7,400 ft | |
| Fri 7 PM | Chance of light rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms | 82° | 90° | 77° | 85% | 32% | 0.00 in | E | 2 mph | 5 mph | 43% | 22% | — | — | ||
| Fri 8 PM | Chance of light rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms | 80° | 87° | 77° | 91% | 32% | 0.00 in | ESE | 1 mph | 5 mph | 41% | 22% | — | — | ||
| Fri 9 PM | Chance of light rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms | 79° | 79° | 77° | 94% | 32% | 0.00 in | E | 1 mph | 5 mph | 51% | 22% | — | — | ||
| Fri 10 PM | Chance of light rain showers | 78° | 78° | 76° | 94% | 32% | 0.00 in | NE | 2 mph | 5 mph | 61% | 10% | — | — | ||
| Fri 11 PM | Chance of light rain showers | 77° | 77° | 76° | 97% | 32% | 0.00 in | NE | 2 mph | 5 mph | 62% | 10% | — | — | ||
| Sat 12 AM | Chance of light rain showers | 77° | 77° | 75° | 94% | 32% | 0.00 in | NE | 2 mph | 6 mph | 63% | 10% | — | — | ||
| Sat 1 AM | Slight chance of light rain showers | 76° | 76° | 75° | 97% | 20% | 0.00 in | NE | 2 mph | 6 mph | 64% | 8% | — | — | ||
| Sat 2 AM | Slight chance of light rain showers | 75° | 75° | 75° | 100% | 20% | 0.00 in | NE | 2 mph | 7 mph | 67% | 8% | — | — | ||
| Sat 3 AM | Slight chance of light rain showers | 75° | 75° | 75° | 100% | 20% | 0.00 in | NE | 3 mph | 7 mph | 69% | 8% | — | — | ||
| Sat 4 AM | Slight chance of light rain showers | 75° | 75° | 75° | 100% | 20% | 0.00 in | NE | 3 mph | 8 mph | 72% | 7% | — | — | ||
| Sat 5 AM | Slight chance of light rain showers | 74° | 74° | 74° | 100% | 20% | 0.00 in | NE | 5 mph | 9 mph | 73% | 7% | — | — | ||
| Sat 6 AM | Slight chance of light rain showers | 74° | 74° | 74° | 100% | 20% | 0.00 in | NE | 5 mph | 10 mph | 75% | 7% | — | — |
The next 16 days
NWS grid published Oct 1, 6:45 AM CDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 10, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16- TodayOct 191°75°Chance Rain Showers then Chance Showers And Thunderstormswind 12 mph · gusts 21 mph
- FriOct 290°73°Showers And Thunderstorms Likelywind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
- SatOct 387°70°Showers And Thunderstormswind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
- SunOct 483°69°Showers And Thunderstorms Likelywind 7 mph · gusts 14 mph
- MonOct 583°67°Chance Rain Showerswind 10 mph · gusts 20 mph
- TueOct 684°66°Sunnywind 10 mph · gusts 18 mph
- WedOct 785°66°Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showerswind 9 mph · gusts 17 mph
- ThuOct 884°67°wind 10 mph · gusts 20 mph
- FriOct 985°66°National Blendwind 10 mph · gusts 18 mph
- SatOct 1085°67°National Blendwind 9 mph · gusts 16 mph
- SunOct 11~84°70°Model mean
- MonOct 12~82°68°Model mean
- TueOct 13~76°61°Model mean
- WedOct 14~78°56°Model mean
- ThuOct 15~77°53°Model mean
- FriOct 16~79°58°Model mean
Right now
NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow- Feels like77°
- WindESE 6 mphgusts 12 mph
- Radar over this pointno reading
- Humidity90%
- Dew point74°
- Pressure—
- UV index—
- Air quality—
- Visibility9 mi
- Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset
- Moonrise10:34 PMMoonset 12:30 PM
- Moon phaseWaning gibbous73% lit
The National Blend of Models
NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Oct 1, 1:00 AM CDTNOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.
- TodayOct 191°75°NWS grid 91° / 75°wind 12 mph · gusts 21 mph
- FriOct 290°73°NWS grid 90° / 73°wind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
- SatOct 387°70°NWS grid 87° / 70°wind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
- SunOct 483°69°NWS grid 83° / 69°wind 7 mph · gusts 14 mph
- MonOct 583°67°NWS grid 83° / 67°wind 12 mph · gusts 20 mph
- TueOct 684°67°NWS grid 84° / 66°wind 10 mph · gusts 18 mph
- WedOct 785°67°NWS grid 85° / 66°wind 9 mph · gusts 17 mph
- ThuOct 885°67°NWS grid 84° / 67°wind 10 mph · gusts 20 mph
- FriOct 985°66°Beyond the NWS gridwind 10 mph · gusts 18 mph
- SatOct 1085°67°Beyond the NWS gridwind 9 mph · gusts 16 mph
- SunOct 1186°—Beyond the NWS gridwind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly
The models, side by side
HRRR Oct 1, 1:00 AM CDT · GFS Oct 1, 1:00 AM CDT · GEFS Oct 1, 1:00 AM CDT · ECMWF Sep 30, 7:00 PM CDT · ECMWF AI Sep 30, 7:00 PM CDTEach line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.
| Day | NWS grid | HRRR | GFS | GEFS | ECMWF | ECMWF AI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today Oct 1 | 91° 75°0.01 in | 91° 74° | 88° 74°0.31 in | 88° 75°0.16 in | ~82° 80°0.10 in | ~89° 84°0.06 in |
| Fri Oct 2 | 90° 73°0.21 in | 90° 74° | 92° 74°0.18 in | 91° 74°0.14 in | 89° 76°0.09 in | ~89° 77°0.22 in |
| Sat Oct 3 | 87° 70°0.52 in | ~79° 78° | 89° 73°0.27 in | 86° 74°0.45 in | ~78° 75°0.22 in | ~88° 77°0.44 in |
| Sun Oct 4 | 83° 69°0.88 in | — | 78° 74°0.08 in | 80° 74°0.83 in | 87° 74°0.11 in | ~82° 75°0.34 in |
| Mon Oct 5 | 83° 67°0.35 in | — | 84° 71°0.01 in | 78° 72°0.21 in | ~87° 77° | ~85° 71°0.02 in |
| Tue Oct 6 | 84° 66° | — | 88° 69° | 82° 69°0.11 in | 87° 69° | ~86° 67° |
| Wed Oct 7 | 85° 66°0.03 in | — | 81° 68° | 82° 67°0.19 in | ~85° 68° | ~86° 67° |
| Thu Oct 8 | 84° 67°0.03 in | — | 84° 65° | 80° 67°0.12 in | ~84° 65° | ~86° 67° |
| Fri Oct 9 | — | — | 84° 68°0.04 in | 81° 67°0.39 in | ~84° 63° | ~78° 63° |
| Sat Oct 10 | — | — | 73° 68°3.12 in | 79° 66°0.38 in | ~84° 65° | ~67° 66°0.07 in |
| Sun Oct 11 | — | — | ~83° 76°0.23 in | ~67° 67° | ~82° 63° | ~87° 72° |
| Mon Oct 12 | — | — | ~75° 70°0.05 in | — | ~86° 65° | ~85° 69° |
| Tue Oct 13 | — | — | ~73° 54° | — | ~89° 73° | ~68° 55° |
| Wed Oct 14 | — | — | ~76° 51° | — | ~87° 70°0.32 in | ~71° 47° |
| Thu Oct 15 | — | — | ~78° 56° | — | ~73° 72°1.31 in | ~76° 49° |
| Fri Oct 16 | — | — | ~79° 58° | — | — | — |
A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.
ECMWF ensemble meteogram
The next 90 days
NOAA GHCN normals and records at Sulphur (UXL) · Climate Prediction Center outlooksNo forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.
The forecast reaches Fri Oct 16, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.
Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normalCPC near normal or equal chances
| Week of | Normal | Warmest on record | Coldest on record | Temperature lean | Precipitation lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1 | 86° / 65° | 96° (2019) | 43° (1984) | 33% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | 60% chance above normal · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 8 | 83° / 62° | 93° (2025) | 41° (1976) | near normal most likely · days 8 to 14 | 33% chance above normal · days 8 to 14 |
| Oct 15 | 80° / 59° | 93° (2024) | 32° (1989) | 33% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | 60% chance above normal · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 22 | 78° / 57° | 89° (2003) | 36° (1999) | 33% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | 60% chance above normal · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 29 | 76° / 55° | 88° (2023) | 30° (1993) | equal chances · Oct to Dec | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 5 | 73° / 51° | 87° (1989) | 28° (1991) | equal chances · Oct to Dec | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 12 | 72° / 50° | 85° (1964) | 25° (1969) | equal chances · Oct to Dec | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 19 | 70° / 49° | 84° (1986) | 28° (1969) | equal chances · Oct to Dec | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 26 | 70° / 49° | 83° (1985) | 23° (1976) | equal chances · Oct to Dec | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 3 | 64° / 46° | 82° (1978) | 24° (2006) | equal chances · Oct to Dec | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 10 | 66° / 46° | 82° (2007) | 18° (1962) | equal chances · Oct to Dec | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 17 | 64° / 45° | 81° (2021) | 11° (1989) | equal chances · Oct to Dec | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 24 | 64° / 44° | 81° (2015) | 12° (1989) | equal chances · Oct to Dec | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
Health and activities
Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollenNone of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.
Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.
Health
- Arthritisnext 24 hModeratehumid
- Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
- Common coldtodayLowmild
- FlutodayLowmild
- Migrainenext 24 hModerateheat
- Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
- Heat stresstodayVery highheat
- SunburntodayLowweak sun
- Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
- SleepingtonightFairwarm night
Outdoors
- RunningtodayPoorhot
- HikingtodayFairchance of rain
- BikingtodayGoodchance of rain
- GolftodayGoodchance of rain
- FishingtodayIdealfine conditions
- Boating and paddlingtodayGoodwind
- Beach and pooltodayGoodchance of rain
- CampingtonightVery goodchance of rain
- StargazingtonightFairpartly cloudy
Travel
- Air travelnext 24 hIdealclear skies
- Drivingnext 24 hIdealclear roads
Home and garden
- Lawn mowingtodayGoodchance of rain
- GardeningtodayGoodchance of rain
- Outdoor entertainingtodayFairchance of rain
- Drying laundry outsidetodayFairchance of rain
- Painting and outdoor projectstodayFairchance of rain
- FrosttonightLowmild
Pests
- MosquitoestodayVery highwarm
- TickstodayHighwarm
- Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
- Outdoor peststodayHighwarm
Stargazing
Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moonTonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated poor.
| Night of | Rating | Dark | Clear hours | Clear and moonless | Moon lit | Transparency (est.) | Dew | Strongest wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thursday | Poor | 8:18 PM to 5:48 AM | 0 of 10 | None | 70% | 4 h | 6 mph | |
| Friday | Poor | 8:17 PM to 5:48 AM | 0 of 10 | None | 60% | 10 h | 5 mph | |
| Saturday | Poor | 8:16 PM to 5:49 AM | 0 of 10 | None | 49% | 10 h | 6 mph | |
| Sunday | Poor | 8:14 PM to 5:50 AM | 0 of 10 | None | 39% | 10 h | 9 mph | |
| Monday | Poor | 8:13 PM to 5:50 AM | 0 of 10 | None | 29% | 9 mph | ||
| Tuesday | Good | 8:12 PM to 5:51 AM | 5 of 10 | 5 h from 8:00 PM | 20% | Fair | 3 h | 7 mph |
| Wednesday | Poor | 8:11 PM to 5:51 AM | 0 of 10 | None | 12% | 7 h | 8 mph |
Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.
Golden hour and blue hour
Computed from the sun and moon positions| Day | Blue hour, morning | Golden hour, morning | Golden hour, evening | Blue hour, evening |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu | 6:43 AM to 6:52 AM | 6:52 AM to 7:39 AM | 6:27 PM to 7:13 PM | 7:13 PM to 7:22 PM |
| Fri | 6:43 AM to 6:53 AM | 6:53 AM to 7:39 AM | 6:25 PM to 7:12 PM | 7:12 PM to 7:21 PM |
| Sat | 6:44 AM to 6:53 AM | 6:53 AM to 7:40 AM | 6:24 PM to 7:11 PM | 7:11 PM to 7:20 PM |
| Sun | 6:45 AM to 6:54 AM | 6:54 AM to 7:40 AM | 6:23 PM to 7:09 PM | 7:09 PM to 7:19 PM |
| Mon | 6:45 AM to 6:54 AM | 6:54 AM to 7:41 AM | 6:22 PM to 7:08 PM | 7:08 PM to 7:18 PM |
| Tue | 6:46 AM to 6:55 AM | 6:55 AM to 7:42 AM | 6:21 PM to 7:07 PM | 7:07 PM to 7:16 PM |
| Wed | 6:46 AM to 6:56 AM | 6:56 AM to 7:42 AM | 6:19 PM to 7:06 PM | 7:06 PM to 7:15 PM |
- SR Sunrise 7:07 AM, 93° E
- SS Sunset 6:58 PM, 266° W
- MR Moonrise 10:34 PM, 57° ENE
- MS Moonset 12:30 PM, 302° WNW
- Waning gibbous, 73% lit
Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.
Drone flying
NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107This hour: fly with caution (civil twilight: lighting required (107.29)). Next good stretch: Thu 8 AM to 10 AM, 2 hours.
Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:37 AM to sunrise 7:07 AM, and sunset 6:58 PM to 7:28 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.
| Thu | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Sat | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM |
Good Caution No-fly
| Hour | Verdict | Wind (mph) | 400 ft est. (mph) | Gust (mph) | Rain | Visibility | Cloud allows | Temp | Kp | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 7 AM | Caution | 6 | 7 | 13 | 18% | 9 mi | 77° | civil twilight: lighting required (107.29) | ||
| Thu 8 AM | Good | 7 | 9 | 15 | 21% | 9 mi | 78° | nothing against it | ||
| Thu 9 AM | Good | 7 | 9 | 16 | 28% | 10 mi | 81° | nothing against it | ||
| Thu 10 AM | Caution | 9 | 11 | 17 | 41% | 10 mi | 85° | chance of rain, thunderstorms possible | ||
| Thu 11 AM | Caution | 10 | 13 | 20 | 42% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 86° | gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible | |
| Thu 12 PM | Caution | 12 | 17 | 24 | 37% | 10 mi | 88° | gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible | ||
| Thu 1 PM | No-fly | 12 | 17 | 24 | 47% | 10 mi | 89° | thunderstorms possible, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain | ||
| Thu 2 PM | No-fly | 12 | 17 | 25 | 48% | 10 mi | 89° | gusts near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible, chance of rain | ||
| Thu 3 PM | No-fly | 12 | 15 | 24 | 41% | 10 mi | 90° | thunderstorms possible, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain | ||
| Thu 4 PM | No-fly | 12 | 17 | 25 | 24% | 10 mi | 89° | gusts near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible | ||
| Thu 5 PM | No-fly | 12 | 17 | 25 | 18% | 10 mi | 89° | gusts near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible | ||
| Thu 6 PM | Caution | 9 | 12 | 20 | 16% | 10 mi | 87° | gusts near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible, civil twilight: lighting required (107.29) | ||
| Thu 7 PM | Caution | 7 | 17 | 23 | 2% | 10 mi | 84° | gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Thu 8 PM | No-fly | 6 | 23 | 31 | 3% | 10 mi | 83° | gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Thu 9 PM | No-fly | 6 | 23 | 30 | 4% | 10 mi | 81° | gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Thu 10 PM | No-fly | 6 | 23 | 29 | 2% | 10 mi | 81° | gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Thu 11 PM | No-fly | 5 | 18 | 25 | 0% | 10 mi | 80° | gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Fri 12 AM | No-fly | 5 | 18 | 25 | 4% | 10 mi | 79° | gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Fri 1 AM | Caution | 5 | 18 | 24 | 12% | 9 mi | 79° | wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Fri 2 AM | Caution | 3 | 14 | 19 | 15% | 8 mi | 79° | gusts near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Fri 3 AM | Caution | 3 | 14 | 18 | 9% | 8 mi | 78° | gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Fri 4 AM | Caution | 3 | 14 | 18 | 14% | 7 mi | 77° | gusts near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Fri 5 AM | Caution | 3 | 14 | 18 | 9% | 6 mi | 77° | gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Fri 6 AM | Caution | 3 | 14 | 18 | 11% | 5 mi | 77° | gusts near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) |
Flight restrictions nearby
Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.
Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.
Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.
Spraying and field work
Worked out from the NWS hourly forecastHours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.
Spraying windows
- Thu 7 PM to Fri 12 AM 5 hours, every hour within the rules
- Mon 7 PM to Tue 3 AM 8 hours, every hour within the rules
- Tue 4 PM to Wed 1 AM 9 hours, every hour within the rules
- Wed 4 PM to 11 PM 7 hours, every hour within the rules
| Thu | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Sat | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Sun | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM |
Good Marginal No
Field days
| Day | Daytime | Chance of rain | Rain | Lowest humidity | Strongest wind | Dry days in a row | Hay drying |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thursday | Showers possible | 48% | 0.01 in | 58% | 12 mph | ||
| Friday | Showers possible | 76% | 0.21 in | 66% | 6 mph | ||
| Saturday | Wet | 85% | 0.52 in | 74% | 8 mph | ||
| Sunday | Wet | 63% | 0.88 in | 82% | 7 mph | ||
| Monday | Wet | 31% | 0.35 in | 67% | 10 mph | ||
| Tuesday | Dry | 7% | 0.00 in | 57% | 10 mph | 3 d | |
| Wednesday | Dry | 15% | 0.03 in | 57% | 9 mph | 2 d | |
| Thursday | Dry | 9% | 0.03 in | 57% | 10 mph | 1 d |
Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.
Solunar times
Computed from the moon’s positionThe best-rated day this week is Thursday, rated fair.
| Day | Rating | Major periods | Minor periods | Moon | Sunrise, sunset |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu | Fair | 4:02 AM to 6:02 AM4:33 PM to 6:33 PM | 12:00 PM to 1:00 PM10:04 PM to 11:04 PM | 73% | 7:07 AM, 6:58 PM |
| Fri | Fair | 5:04 AM to 7:04 AM5:36 PM to 7:36 PM | 1:04 PM to 2:04 PM11:08 PM to 12:08 AM | 64% | 7:07 AM, 6:57 PM |
| Sat | Fair | 6:07 AM to 8:07 AM6:37 PM to 8:37 PM | 2:01 PM to 3:01 PM | 53% | 7:08 AM, 6:56 PM |
| Sun | Fair | 7:07 AM to 9:07 AM7:35 PM to 9:35 PM | 12:17 AM to 1:17 AM2:50 PM to 3:50 PM | 43% | 7:09 AM, 6:55 PM |
| Mon | Fair | 8:03 AM to 10:03 AM8:29 PM to 10:29 PM | 1:25 AM to 2:25 AM3:32 PM to 4:32 PM | 32% | 7:09 AM, 6:54 PM |
| Tue | Poor | 8:54 AM to 10:54 AM9:19 PM to 11:19 PM | 2:33 AM to 3:33 AM4:07 PM to 5:07 PM | 23% | 7:10 AM, 6:52 PM |
| Wed | Fair | 9:43 AM to 11:43 AM10:06 PM to 12:06 AM | 3:37 AM to 4:37 AM4:39 PM to 5:39 PM | 15% | 7:10 AM, 6:51 PM |
Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index
Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.
In words
NWS forecast periods, as issuedToday91° · 48% · SE 5–10 mph
A chance of rain showers before 1pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Heat index values as high as 98. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Tonight75° · 16% · SE 5–10 mph
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 3am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 75. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Friday90° · 68% · E 5 mph
A slight chance of rain showers between 9am and 10am, then showers and thunderstorms likely between 10am and 4pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 4pm and 5pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Heat index values as high as 100. East wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Friday Night73° · 76% · E 0–5 mph
Showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. East wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Saturday87° · 85% · NE 5–10 mph
A chance of rain showers before 1pm, then showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 87. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Saturday Night70° · 85% · NE 5 mph
Showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. Northeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Sunday83° · 63% · NE 5 mph
A chance of rain showers before 7am, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 83. Northeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday Night69° · 63% · NE 5–10 mph
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday83° · 31% · NE 10 mph
A chance of rain showers before 1pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 83. Northeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday Night67° · 31% · NE 5–10 mph
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 67. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday84° · 7% · NE 5–10 mph
Sunny, with a high near 84.
Tuesday Night66° · 7% · NE 5 mph
Mostly clear, with a low around 66.
Wednesday85° · 15% · NE 5–10 mph
A slight chance of rain showers after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Wednesday Night66° · 15% · NE 5–10 mph
A slight chance of rain showers before 7pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 66.
The forecaster’s discussion
NWS Lake Charles, LA · issued Oct 1, 6:38 AM CDTWritten by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.
KEY Messages
-Hot and humid conditions expected through the end of the week with temperatures above seasonal norms.
-An upper level ridge will break down by the end of the week allowing for increase in mainly afternoon showers and thunderstorms through Friday.
-An increase in the potential for heavy rainfall will come over the weekend as an upper level trough and surface frontal boundary will slowly move into the region and meet up with tropical moisture.
Discussion
1226 AM CDT Thu Oct 1 2026
(Today through Wednesday)
The large scale upper level pattern over the southern CONUS is dominated by a strong 500mb trough and closed low currently centered over New Mexico. Deep tropical moisture associated with the remnants of Hurricane Polo is associated with this feature. A weak high pressure ridge remains over our area with the ridge axis extending from the Texas Gulf Coast northwards into the mid-Mississippi Valley. At the surface, a low pressure center was analyzed over southwestern Kansas, with a cold front extending south through Texas, while high pressure centered off the Carolina coast remains in place over much of the southeastern US. The resulting southerly flow is advecting Gulf moisture into the CWA, with surface dewpoints generally in the 70-75F range.
The weak ridge overhead will break down moving into tomorrow as deep layer moisture increases over the area, which will increase the potential for isolated to scattered convection during the daytime hours. Instability will be sufficient to support thunderstorms, but does not look overly impressive for the Gulf Coast, with HREF mean SBCAPE only around 1000 J/kg as well as a stable layer evident above 700 mb in CAM soundings. However, any thunderstorms that do develop could bring some gusty winds given modeled DCAPE approaching 1000 J/kg and lowest 300mb theta-e differences greater than 30 K.
A period of active weather then looks likely from Friday through the weekend and into early next week. By Friday, the upper-level low will open up into a trough and lift off to the northeast, while the associated surface low and cold front slowly translate eastward across Texas and Louisiana. In addition to the Pacific tropical moisture associated with these features, a second source of moisture will arrive from the Gulf in the form of a tropical wave rotating around an upper-level ridge centered over Florida.
The combination of East Pacific and Gulf tropical moisture streams will result in extremely anomalous total column moisture over our area through this time frame. LREF mean PWAT peaks in the 2.2-2.4 inch range on Saturday, which is near the daily maximum moving average for early October. Even the LREF 10th percentile PWAT is greater than 2.0 inches, which exceeds climatological 90th percentile, lending further confidence to the degree of anomalous moisture. Efficient warm rain processes will be favored with model soundings depicting tall, skinny CAPE profiles and warm cloud layer depths in the 12-15 kft range.
Bottom line here is that heavy rainfall will be the primary concern, though details are low confidence at this lead time and will likely be tied to the evolution of the frontal boundary. One factor working against a widespread flooding event will be dry antecedent conditions; much of the CWA is currently experiencing Moderate or Severe drought, particularly our Louisiana parishes. That said, the environment will certainly be favorable for very heavy rainfall rates and the potential for isolated flash flooding, with urban and poorly drained areas the most vulnerable. WPC has most or all of our CWA under a Marginal (level 1/4) or higher risk of excessive rainfall for each of Friday, Saturday, and Sunday, with a Slight risk (2/4) outlooked on Saturday for our LA parishes and coastal SE TX counties. Stay tuned to updates over the next few forecast cycles as this time period begins to come into high- resolution model guidance range. Temperatures during this period will cool a bit owing to the increased cloud cover and rainfall, with afternoon highs in the low to mid 80s during the weekend while overnight lows hover around 70.
Another mid-latitude trough should push a secondary cold front southward through the CWA around the Monday into Tuesday time frame. This will advect drier continental air into the area, ending the rainfall threat and allowing overnight lows to fall into the low to mid 60s across the area.
64/Silas
Aviation
634 AM CDT Thu Oct 1 2026
(12Z TAFS)
Light showers have been developing and moving inland along the coast early this morning and coverage is expected to continue to increase through the morning and early afternoon in response to diurnal heating and increasing atmospheric moisture. Storms will begin to wane by late afternoon and should be largely dissipated by 23Z. Away from storms, southerly winds of 10-15 knots will prevail through the day becoming light and variable after 00Z.
Jones
Marine
1226 AM CDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Southeast winds up to 15-20 kt will diminish some during the day Thursday, but will remain elevated around 10 kt through the rest of the week and into the weekend. A storm system this weekend will bring widespread showers and thunderstorms to the coastal waters, with locally higher winds and seas near any storms.
Fire Weather
1226 AM CDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Increasing moisture will lead to scattered showers and thunderstorms developing over the area Thursday, with afternoon MinRH values around 45 to 60 percent. A storm system is expected to bring widespread wetting rains to the area for Friday through the weekend, which should allow for an improvement in regional drought conditions.
LCH Watches / Warnings / Advisories
LA...None. TX...None. GM...None.
The outlooks beyond
SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this pointThe national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.
Severe weather
- Day 1 · Thu Oct 1General Thunderstorms Risk
- Day 2 · Fri Oct 2General Thunderstorms Risk
- Day 3 · Sat Oct 3General Thunderstorms Risk
- Day 4 · Sun Oct 4No risk area
- Day 5 · Mon Oct 5No risk area
- Day 6 · Tue Oct 6No risk area
- Day 7 · Wed Oct 7No risk area
- Day 8 · Thu Oct 8No risk area
Rainfall
- Day 1 · Thu Oct 10.01 in
- Day 2 · Fri Oct 20.10 in
- Day 3 · Sat Oct 30.50 in
- Day 4-5 · Oct 4–Oct 51.00 in
- Day 6-7 · Oct 6–Oct 70.01 in
Flash flood risk
- Day 1 · Thu Oct 1Below marginal
- Day 2 · Fri Oct 2Marginal
- Day 3 · Sat Oct 3Slight
- Day 4 · Sun Oct 4Marginal
- Day 5 · Mon Oct 5Below marginal
Six to fourteen days
- Days 6–10 · Temperature33% chance above normalOct 6–Oct 10
- Days 6–10 · Precipitation50% chance above normalOct 6–Oct 10
- Days 8–14 · TemperatureNear normal most likelyOct 8–Oct 14
- Days 8–14 · Precipitation33% chance above normalOct 8–Oct 14
Hazards, 3 to 14 days
- Oct 3–Oct 6Heavy Rain
Drought
- Drought Monitor, map of Sep 22D2 Severe drought
Drought in this county: the map, the record since 2000 and the outlook
Frost and climate
NOAA 1991-2020 normals, Lake CharlesThe last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around February 14 and the first fall freeze around December 7: a growing season of about 299 days.
One fall in ten brings a freeze by November 14; one spring in ten still has one after March 11.
Everything else on the grid
NWS forecast grid · 29 elementsThe forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.
| Element | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HeatRisk max | 2 · Moderate | 2 · Moderate | 2 · Moderate | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 0 · Little | 0 · Little |
| Wet bulb globe temperature max | 85° | 85° | 82° | 80° | 79° | 79° | 80° | 79° |
| Heat index max | 98° | 100° | 93° | 87° | 86° | 85° | 87° | 85° |
| Chance of thunder max | 25% | 36% | 33% | 36% | 19% | 7% | 12% | 4% |
| Cloud ceiling min | 7,200 ft | 2,900 ft | ||||||
| Visibility min | 9 mi | 5 mi | ||||||
| Mixing height max | 4,100 ft | 5,000 ft | 3,700 ft | 2,800 ft | 5,400 ft | 3,800 ft | 5,200 ft | 5,200 ft |
| Transport wind max | 16 mph | 9 mph | 12 mph | 12 mph | 14 mph | 13 mph | 12 mph | 13 mph |
| Twenty-foot wind max | 10 mph | 6 mph | 7 mph | 6 mph | 9 mph | 9 mph | 8 mph | 9 mph |
Against the record
NOAA GHCN · Sulphur (UXL) · 7.3 mi awayEach forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.
| Day | Forecast | Normal | Record high | Record low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu Oct 1 | 91° / 75° | 87° / 65° | 94° (1998) | 43° (1984) |
| Fri Oct 2 | 90° / 73° | 86° / 65° | 94° (2019) | 45° (1984) |
| Sat Oct 3 | 87° / 70° | 86° / 64° | 96° (2019) | 47° (2011) |
| Sun Oct 4 | 83° / 69° | 86° / 65° | 96° (2019) | 45° (1987) |
| Mon Oct 5 | 83° / 67° | 86° / 65° | 94° (2006) | 46° (1987) |
| Tue Oct 6 | 84° / 66° | 85° / 64° | 92° (2019) | 45° (1964) |
| Wed Oct 7 | 85° / 66° | 83° / 63° | 93° (2024) | 45° (1964) |
| Thu Oct 8 | 84° / 67° | 82° / 63° | 93° (2025) | 45° (1964) |
Sun and moon
| Day | Civil twilight | Sunrise | Sunset | Civil twilight | Daylight | Moon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu | 6:43 AM | 7:07 AM | 6:58 PM | 7:22 PM | 11 h 51 min | Waning gibbous · 73% lit |
| Fri | 6:43 AM | 7:07 AM | 6:57 PM | 7:21 PM | 11 h 50 min | Waning gibbous · 64% lit |
| Sat | 6:44 AM | 7:08 AM | 6:56 PM | 7:20 PM | 11 h 48 min | Last quarter · 53% lit |
| Sun | 6:45 AM | 7:09 AM | 6:55 PM | 7:19 PM | 11 h 46 min | Last quarter · 43% lit |
| Mon | 6:45 AM | 7:09 AM | 6:54 PM | 7:18 PM | 11 h 45 min | Waning crescent · 32% lit |
| Tue | 6:46 AM | 7:10 AM | 6:52 PM | 7:16 PM | 11 h 42 min | Waning crescent · 23% lit |
| Wed | 6:46 AM | 7:10 AM | 6:51 PM | 7:15 PM | 11 h 41 min | Waning crescent · 15% lit |
| Thu | 6:47 AM | 7:11 AM | 6:50 PM | 7:14 PM | 11 h 39 min | Waning crescent · 8% lit |
Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).
What is here
- Seven days
- The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
- Hour by hour
- Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
- Everything else on the grid
- The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
- The discussion
- The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
- Beyond the week
- The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
- Against the record
- Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
- The next 90 days
- The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.
Common questions
Where does this forecast come from?
From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.
How far ahead does it go?
The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.
Why is this different from the app on my phone?
Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.
What is a place’s address here?
Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.
What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from