Current weather · Oct 1, 7:45 AM CDT

30.2210, -93.3110

77°

Slight chance of light rain showersFeels like 77° · Humidity 90%NWS forecast for this hour; no recent station reportForecast by NWS Lake Charles, LA · grid 56,94
High
91°
Low
75°
Rain today
48%
Sunrise
7:07 AM
Sunset
6:58 PM

Hour by hour

NWS forecast grid

Scroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.

Every hour as a table48 hours
TimeWeatherTemperatureFeels likeDew pointHumidityChanceAmountSnowDirWindGustSky coverThunderPressureVisibilityCeiling
Thu 7 AMSlight chance of light rain showers77°77°74°90%18%ESE6 mph12 mph45%9%—9 mi
Thu 8 AMSlight chance of light rain showers78°78°75°91%21%ESE7 mph13 mph38%9%—9 mi
Thu 9 AMChance of light rain showers81°87°76°85%28%SE7 mph14 mph43%9%—10 mi
Thu 10 AMChance of light rain showers85°94°76°75%41%SSE9 mph15 mph34%14%—10 mi
Thu 11 AMChance of light rain showers86°95°75°70%42%SSE10 mph17 mph65%14%—10 mi7,200 ft
Thu 12 PMChance of light rain showers88°97°74°63%37%SSE12 mph18 mph55%14%—10 mi
Thu 1 PMChance of thunderstorms and chance of light rain showers89°98°74°61%47%0.00 inS12 mph18 mph56%25%—10 mi
Thu 2 PMChance of thunderstorms and chance of light rain showers89°97°73°59%48%0.00 inS12 mph20 mph51%25%—10 mi
Thu 3 PMChance of thunderstorms and chance of light rain showers90°98°73°58%41%0.00 inS12 mph21 mph43%25%—10 mi
Thu 4 PMSlight chance of thunderstorms and slight chance of light rain showers89°98°74°61%24%0.00 inS12 mph20 mph41%18%—10 mi
Thu 5 PMSlight chance of thunderstorms and slight chance of light rain showers89°98°74°61%18%0.00 inSSE12 mph20 mph43%18%—10 mi
Thu 6 PMSlight chance of thunderstorms and slight chance of light rain showers87°95°74°65%16%0.00 inS9 mph17 mph39%16%—10 mi
Thu 7 PM84°92°75°74%2%SSE7 mph14 mph43%2%—10 mi
Thu 8 PM83°90°75°77%3%SSE6 mph14 mph35%3%—10 mi
Thu 9 PM81°87°75°82%4%SE6 mph13 mph44%4%—10 mi
Thu 10 PM81°87°75°82%2%SE6 mph12 mph43%2%—10 mi
Thu 11 PM80°85°75°85%0%SE5 mph12 mph30%—10 mi
Fri 12 AM79°79°75°88%4%SE5 mph12 mph31%4%—10 mi
Fri 1 AM79°79°75°88%12%ESE5 mph10 mph30%12%—9 mi
Fri 2 AMSlight chance of light rain showers79°79°76°91%15%ESE3 mph9 mph29%12%—8 mi
Fri 3 AM78°78°75°91%9%ESE3 mph8 mph34%9%—8 mi
Fri 4 AM77°77°75°94%14%E3 mph8 mph30%14%—7 mi
Fri 5 AM77°77°75°94%9%E3 mph8 mph30%9%—6 mi
Fri 6 AM77°77°75°94%11%E3 mph8 mph38%11%—5 mi
Fri 7 AM75°75°75°100%8%0.01 inENE3 mph8 mph64%8%—6 mi2,900 ft
Fri 8 AM77°77°76°97%7%0.01 inE5 mph8 mph55%7%—7 mi
Fri 9 AMSlight chance of light rain showers79°79°78°97%15%0.01 inE3 mph8 mph25%9%—9 mi
Fri 10 AMChance of light rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms82°91°78°88%25%0.01 inE5 mph9 mph37%19%—10 mi
Fri 11 AMChance of light rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms84°94°77°80%39%0.01 inE6 mph10 mph38%19%—10 mi
Fri 12 PMChance of light rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms87°98°76°70%36%0.01 inE6 mph9 mph54%19%—10 mi
Fri 1 PMLight rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms87°96°75°68%62%0.03 inESE6 mph9 mph74%36%—10 mi3,100 ft
Fri 2 PMLight rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms88°98°75°66%62%0.03 inE5 mph9 mph81%36%—10 mi3,400 ft
Fri 3 PMLight rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms89°100°76°66%55%0.03 inE5 mph9 mph61%36%—10 mi4,100 ft
Fri 4 PMChance of thunderstorms and chance of light rain showers88°99°76°68%46%0.03 inESE3 mph8 mph63%36%—10 mi5,200 ft
Fri 5 PMLight rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms87°98°76°70%68%0.03 inESE3 mph7 mph60%36%——6,200 ft
Fri 6 PMLight rain showers and chance of thunderstorms85°94°76°75%76%0.03 inE3 mph6 mph65%36%——7,400 ft
Fri 7 PMChance of light rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms82°90°77°85%32%0.00 inE2 mph5 mph43%22%——
Fri 8 PMChance of light rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms80°87°77°91%32%0.00 inESE1 mph5 mph41%22%——
Fri 9 PMChance of light rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms79°79°77°94%32%0.00 inE1 mph5 mph51%22%——
Fri 10 PMChance of light rain showers78°78°76°94%32%0.00 inNE2 mph5 mph61%10%——
Fri 11 PMChance of light rain showers77°77°76°97%32%0.00 inNE2 mph5 mph62%10%——
Sat 12 AMChance of light rain showers77°77°75°94%32%0.00 inNE2 mph6 mph63%10%——
Sat 1 AMSlight chance of light rain showers76°76°75°97%20%0.00 inNE2 mph6 mph64%8%——
Sat 2 AMSlight chance of light rain showers75°75°75°100%20%0.00 inNE2 mph7 mph67%8%——
Sat 3 AMSlight chance of light rain showers75°75°75°100%20%0.00 inNE3 mph7 mph69%8%——
Sat 4 AMSlight chance of light rain showers75°75°75°100%20%0.00 inNE3 mph8 mph72%7%——
Sat 5 AMSlight chance of light rain showers74°74°74°100%20%0.00 inNE5 mph9 mph73%7%——
Sat 6 AMSlight chance of light rain showers74°74°74°100%20%0.00 inNE5 mph10 mph75%7%——

The next 16 days

NWS grid published Oct 1, 6:45 AM CDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 10, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16
  1. TodayOct 191°75°Chance Rain Showers then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms48%0.01 inwind 12 mph · gusts 21 mph
  2. FriOct 290°73°Showers And Thunderstorms Likely76%0.21 inwind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
  3. SatOct 387°70°Showers And Thunderstorms85%0.52 inwind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
  4. SunOct 483°69°Showers And Thunderstorms Likely63%0.88 inwind 7 mph · gusts 14 mph
  5. MonOct 583°67°Chance Rain Showers33%0.35 inwind 10 mph · gusts 20 mph
  6. TueOct 684°66°Sunny8%wind 10 mph · gusts 18 mph
  7. WedOct 785°66°Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers15%0.03 inwind 9 mph · gusts 17 mph
  8. ThuOct 884°67°9%0.03 inwind 10 mph · gusts 20 mph
  9. FriOct 985°66°National Blend19%0.19 inwind 10 mph · gusts 18 mph
  10. SatOct 1085°67°National Blend27%1.14 inwind 9 mph · gusts 16 mph
  11. SunOct 11~84°70°Model mean0.08 in
  12. MonOct 12~82°68°Model mean0.02 in
  13. TueOct 13~76°61°Model mean
  14. WedOct 14~78°56°Model mean0.11 in
  15. ThuOct 15~77°53°Model mean
  16. FriOct 16~79°58°Model mean

Right now

NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow
  • Feels like77°
  • WindESE 6 mphgusts 12 mph
  • Radar over this pointno reading
  • Humidity90%
  • Dew point74°
  • Pressure—
  • UV index—
  • Air quality—
  • Visibility9 mi
  • Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset
  • Moonrise10:34 PMMoonset 12:30 PM
  • Moon phaseWaning gibbous73% lit

The National Blend of Models

NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Oct 1, 1:00 AM CDT

NOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.

  1. TodayOct 191°75°NWS grid 91° / 75°rain 46%thunder 22%wind 12 mph · gusts 21 mph
  2. FriOct 290°73°NWS grid 90° / 73°rain 78%thunder 41%0.21 inwind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
  3. SatOct 387°70°NWS grid 87° / 70°rain 89%thunder 36%0.54 inwind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
  4. SunOct 483°69°NWS grid 83° / 69°rain 61%thunder 34%0.87 inwind 7 mph · gusts 14 mph
  5. MonOct 583°67°NWS grid 83° / 67°rain 31%thunder 16%0.33 inwind 12 mph · gusts 20 mph
  6. TueOct 684°67°NWS grid 84° / 66°rain 8%wind 10 mph · gusts 18 mph
  7. WedOct 785°67°NWS grid 85° / 66°rain 17%thunder 14%0.03 inwind 9 mph · gusts 17 mph
  8. ThuOct 885°67°NWS grid 84° / 67°rain 9%thunder 11%0.03 inwind 10 mph · gusts 20 mph
  9. FriOct 985°66°Beyond the NWS gridrain 19%0.19 inwind 10 mph · gusts 18 mph
  10. SatOct 1085°67°Beyond the NWS gridrain 27%1.14 inwind 9 mph · gusts 16 mph
  11. SunOct 1186°—Beyond the NWS gridrain 18%0.18 inwind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
59°77°95°FriSatSunMonTueWedThu

BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly

The models, side by side

HRRR Oct 1, 1:00 AM CDT · GFS Oct 1, 1:00 AM CDT · GEFS Oct 1, 1:00 AM CDT · ECMWF Sep 30, 7:00 PM CDT · ECMWF AI Sep 30, 7:00 PM CDT

Each line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.

59°77°95°FriSatSunMonTueWedThu

DayNWS gridHRRRGFSGEFSECMWFECMWF AI
Today Oct 191° 75°0.01 in91° 74°88° 74°0.31 in88° 75°0.16 in~82° 80°0.10 in~89° 84°0.06 in
Fri Oct 290° 73°0.21 in90° 74°92° 74°0.18 in91° 74°0.14 in89° 76°0.09 in~89° 77°0.22 in
Sat Oct 387° 70°0.52 in~79° 78°89° 73°0.27 in86° 74°0.45 in~78° 75°0.22 in~88° 77°0.44 in
Sun Oct 483° 69°0.88 in—78° 74°0.08 in80° 74°0.83 in87° 74°0.11 in~82° 75°0.34 in
Mon Oct 583° 67°0.35 in—84° 71°0.01 in78° 72°0.21 in~87° 77°~85° 71°0.02 in
Tue Oct 684° 66°—88° 69°82° 69°0.11 in87° 69°~86° 67°
Wed Oct 785° 66°0.03 in—81° 68°82° 67°0.19 in~85° 68°~86° 67°
Thu Oct 884° 67°0.03 in—84° 65°80° 67°0.12 in~84° 65°~86° 67°
Fri Oct 9——84° 68°0.04 in81° 67°0.39 in~84° 63°~78° 63°
Sat Oct 10——73° 68°3.12 in79° 66°0.38 in~84° 65°~67° 66°0.07 in
Sun Oct 11——~83° 76°0.23 in~67° 67°~82° 63°~87° 72°
Mon Oct 12——~75° 70°0.05 in—~86° 65°~85° 69°
Tue Oct 13——~73° 54°—~89° 73°~68° 55°
Wed Oct 14——~76° 51°—~87° 70°0.32 in~71° 47°
Thu Oct 15——~78° 56°—~73° 72°1.31 in~76° 49°
Fri Oct 16——~79° 58°———

A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.

ECMWF ensemble meteogram

ECMWF ensemble meteogram for this place: box plots of cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and temperature from the 51 ensemble members for ten days.
Rendered by ECMWF from its 51-member ensemble, in metric units: each box spans the middle half of the members, the whiskers the rest, the line the control run. A forecast, not an observation. © ECMWF, CC BY 4.0.

The next 90 days

NOAA GHCN normals and records at Sulphur (UXL) · Climate Prediction Center outlooks

No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.

The forecast reaches Fri Oct 16, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.

Climate Prediction Center (CPC) temperature lean33%33%warmer 33%equal chances · Oct to Dec20°40°60°80°100°TodayNov 1Dec 1

Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normalCPC near normal or equal chances

Week ofNormalWarmest on recordColdest on recordTemperature leanPrecipitation lean
Oct 186° / 65°96° (2019)43° (1984)33% chance above normal · Oct 202660% chance above normal · Oct 2026
Oct 883° / 62°93° (2025)41° (1976)near normal most likely · days 8 to 1433% chance above normal · days 8 to 14
Oct 1580° / 59°93° (2024)32° (1989)33% chance above normal · Oct 202660% chance above normal · Oct 2026
Oct 2278° / 57°89° (2003)36° (1999)33% chance above normal · Oct 202660% chance above normal · Oct 2026
Oct 2976° / 55°88° (2023)30° (1993)equal chances · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 573° / 51°87° (1989)28° (1991)equal chances · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 1272° / 50°85° (1964)25° (1969)equal chances · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 1970° / 49°84° (1986)28° (1969)equal chances · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 2670° / 49°83° (1985)23° (1976)equal chances · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 364° / 46°82° (1978)24° (2006)equal chances · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 1066° / 46°82° (2007)18° (1962)equal chances · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 1764° / 45°81° (2021)11° (1989)equal chances · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 2464° / 44°81° (2015)12° (1989)equal chances · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec

Health and activities

Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollen

None of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.

Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.

Health

  • Arthritisnext 24 hModeratehumid
  • Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Common coldtodayLowmild
  • FlutodayLowmild
  • Migrainenext 24 hModerateheat
  • Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
  • Heat stresstodayVery highheat
  • SunburntodayLowweak sun
  • Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
  • SleepingtonightFairwarm night

Outdoors

  • RunningtodayPoorhot
  • HikingtodayFairchance of rain
  • BikingtodayGoodchance of rain
  • GolftodayGoodchance of rain
  • FishingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Boating and paddlingtodayGoodwind
  • Beach and pooltodayGoodchance of rain
  • CampingtonightVery goodchance of rain
  • StargazingtonightFairpartly cloudy

Travel

  • Air travelnext 24 hIdealclear skies
  • Drivingnext 24 hIdealclear roads

Home and garden

  • Lawn mowingtodayGoodchance of rain
  • GardeningtodayGoodchance of rain
  • Outdoor entertainingtodayFairchance of rain
  • Drying laundry outsidetodayFairchance of rain
  • Painting and outdoor projectstodayFairchance of rain
  • FrosttonightLowmild

Pests

  • MosquitoestodayVery highwarm
  • TickstodayHighwarm
  • Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
  • Outdoor peststodayHighwarm

Stargazing

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moon

Tonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated poor.

Night ofRatingDarkClear hoursClear and moonlessMoon litTransparency (est.)DewStrongest wind
ThursdayPoor8:18 PM to 5:48 AM0 of 10None70%4 h6 mph
FridayPoor8:17 PM to 5:48 AM0 of 10None60%10 h5 mph
SaturdayPoor8:16 PM to 5:49 AM0 of 10None49%10 h6 mph
SundayPoor8:14 PM to 5:50 AM0 of 10None39%10 h9 mph
MondayPoor8:13 PM to 5:50 AM0 of 10None29%9 mph
TuesdayGood8:12 PM to 5:51 AM5 of 105 h from 8:00 PM20%Fair3 h7 mph
WednesdayPoor8:11 PM to 5:51 AM0 of 10None12%7 h8 mph

Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.

Golden hour and blue hour

Computed from the sun and moon positions
DayBlue hour, morningGolden hour, morningGolden hour, eveningBlue hour, evening
Thu6:43 AM to 6:52 AM6:52 AM to 7:39 AM6:27 PM to 7:13 PM7:13 PM to 7:22 PM
Fri6:43 AM to 6:53 AM6:53 AM to 7:39 AM6:25 PM to 7:12 PM7:12 PM to 7:21 PM
Sat6:44 AM to 6:53 AM6:53 AM to 7:40 AM6:24 PM to 7:11 PM7:11 PM to 7:20 PM
Sun6:45 AM to 6:54 AM6:54 AM to 7:40 AM6:23 PM to 7:09 PM7:09 PM to 7:19 PM
Mon6:45 AM to 6:54 AM6:54 AM to 7:41 AM6:22 PM to 7:08 PM7:08 PM to 7:18 PM
Tue6:46 AM to 6:55 AM6:55 AM to 7:42 AM6:21 PM to 7:07 PM7:07 PM to 7:16 PM
Wed6:46 AM to 6:56 AM6:56 AM to 7:42 AM6:19 PM to 7:06 PM7:06 PM to 7:15 PM
NESWSRSSMRMS
  • SR Sunrise 7:07 AM, 93° E
  • SS Sunset 6:58 PM, 266° W
  • MR Moonrise 10:34 PM, 57° ENE
  • MS Moonset 12:30 PM, 302° WNW
  • Waning gibbous, 73% lit

Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.

Drone flying

NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107

This hour: fly with caution (civil twilight: lighting required (107.29)). Next good stretch: Thu 8 AM to 10 AM, 2 hours.

Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:37 AM to sunrise 7:07 AM, and sunset 6:58 PM to 7:28 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.

Thu12 PM6 PM
Fri12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Sat12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Caution No-fly

HourVerdictWind (mph)400 ft est. (mph)Gust (mph)RainVisibilityCloud allowsTempKpWhy
Thu 7 AMCaution671318%9 mi77°civil twilight: lighting required (107.29)
Thu 8 AMGood791521%9 mi78°nothing against it
Thu 9 AMGood791628%10 mi81°nothing against it
Thu 10 AMCaution9111741%10 mi85°chance of rain, thunderstorms possible
Thu 11 AMCaution10132042%10 mi400 ft86°gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible
Thu 12 PMCaution12172437%10 mi88°gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible
Thu 1 PMNo-fly12172447%10 mi89°thunderstorms possible, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain
Thu 2 PMNo-fly12172548%10 mi89°gusts near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible, chance of rain
Thu 3 PMNo-fly12152441%10 mi90°thunderstorms possible, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain
Thu 4 PMNo-fly12172524%10 mi89°gusts near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible
Thu 5 PMNo-fly12172518%10 mi89°gusts near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible
Thu 6 PMCaution9122016%10 mi87°gusts near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible, civil twilight: lighting required (107.29)
Thu 7 PMCaution717232%10 mi84°gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Thu 8 PMNo-fly623313%10 mi83°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Thu 9 PMNo-fly623304%10 mi81°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Thu 10 PMNo-fly623292%10 mi81°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Thu 11 PMNo-fly518250%10 mi80°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Fri 12 AMNo-fly518254%10 mi79°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Fri 1 AMCaution5182412%9 mi79°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Fri 2 AMCaution3141915%8 mi79°gusts near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Fri 3 AMCaution314189%8 mi78°gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Fri 4 AMCaution3141814%7 mi77°gusts near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Fri 5 AMCaution314189%6 mi77°gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Fri 6 AMCaution3141811%5 mi77°gusts near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)

Flight restrictions nearby

Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.

Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.

Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.

Spraying and field work

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast

Hours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.

Spraying windows

  • Thu 7 PM to Fri 12 AM 5 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Mon 7 PM to Tue 3 AM 8 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Tue 4 PM to Wed 1 AM 9 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Wed 4 PM to 11 PM 7 hours, every hour within the rules
Thu12 PM6 PM
Fri12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Sat12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Sun12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Marginal No

Field days

DayDaytimeChance of rainRainLowest humidityStrongest windDry days in a rowHay drying
ThursdayShowers possible48%0.01 in58%12 mph
FridayShowers possible76%0.21 in66%6 mph
SaturdayWet85%0.52 in74%8 mph
SundayWet63%0.88 in82%7 mph
MondayWet31%0.35 in67%10 mph
TuesdayDry7%0.00 in57%10 mph3 d
WednesdayDry15%0.03 in57%9 mph2 d
ThursdayDry9%0.03 in57%10 mph1 d

Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.

Solunar times

Computed from the moon’s position

The best-rated day this week is Thursday, rated fair.

DayRatingMajor periodsMinor periodsMoonSunrise, sunset
Thu Fair4:02 AM to 6:02 AM4:33 PM to 6:33 PM12:00 PM to 1:00 PM10:04 PM to 11:04 PM 73%7:07 AM, 6:58 PM
Fri Fair5:04 AM to 7:04 AM5:36 PM to 7:36 PM1:04 PM to 2:04 PM11:08 PM to 12:08 AM 64%7:07 AM, 6:57 PM
Sat Fair6:07 AM to 8:07 AM6:37 PM to 8:37 PM2:01 PM to 3:01 PM 53%7:08 AM, 6:56 PM
Sun Fair7:07 AM to 9:07 AM7:35 PM to 9:35 PM12:17 AM to 1:17 AM2:50 PM to 3:50 PM 43%7:09 AM, 6:55 PM
Mon Fair8:03 AM to 10:03 AM8:29 PM to 10:29 PM1:25 AM to 2:25 AM3:32 PM to 4:32 PM 32%7:09 AM, 6:54 PM
Tue Poor8:54 AM to 10:54 AM9:19 PM to 11:19 PM2:33 AM to 3:33 AM4:07 PM to 5:07 PM 23%7:10 AM, 6:52 PM
Wed Fair9:43 AM to 11:43 AM10:06 PM to 12:06 AM3:37 AM to 4:37 AM4:39 PM to 5:39 PM 15%7:10 AM, 6:51 PM

Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index

Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.

In words

NWS forecast periods, as issued
  1. Today91° · 48% · SE 5–10 mph

    A chance of rain showers before 1pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Heat index values as high as 98. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

  2. Tonight75° · 16% · SE 5–10 mph

    A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 3am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 75. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

  3. Friday90° · 68% · E 5 mph

    A slight chance of rain showers between 9am and 10am, then showers and thunderstorms likely between 10am and 4pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 4pm and 5pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Heat index values as high as 100. East wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

  4. Friday Night73° · 76% · E 0–5 mph

    Showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. East wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

  5. Saturday87° · 85% · NE 5–10 mph

    A chance of rain showers before 1pm, then showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 87. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

  6. Saturday Night70° · 85% · NE 5 mph

    Showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. Northeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

  7. Sunday83° · 63% · NE 5 mph

    A chance of rain showers before 7am, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 83. Northeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

  8. Sunday Night69° · 63% · NE 5–10 mph

    Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

  9. Monday83° · 31% · NE 10 mph

    A chance of rain showers before 1pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 83. Northeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

  10. Monday Night67° · 31% · NE 5–10 mph

    A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 67. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

  11. Tuesday84° · 7% · NE 5–10 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 84.

  12. Tuesday Night66° · 7% · NE 5 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 66.

  13. Wednesday85° · 15% · NE 5–10 mph

    A slight chance of rain showers after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

  14. Wednesday Night66° · 15% · NE 5–10 mph

    A slight chance of rain showers before 7pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 66.

The forecaster’s discussion

NWS Lake Charles, LA · issued Oct 1, 6:38 AM CDT

Written by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.

KEY Messages

-Hot and humid conditions expected through the end of the week with temperatures above seasonal norms.

-An upper level ridge will break down by the end of the week allowing for increase in mainly afternoon showers and thunderstorms through Friday.

-An increase in the potential for heavy rainfall will come over the weekend as an upper level trough and surface frontal boundary will slowly move into the region and meet up with tropical moisture.

Discussion

1226 AM CDT Thu Oct 1 2026

(Today through Wednesday)

The large scale upper level pattern over the southern CONUS is dominated by a strong 500mb trough and closed low currently centered over New Mexico. Deep tropical moisture associated with the remnants of Hurricane Polo is associated with this feature. A weak high pressure ridge remains over our area with the ridge axis extending from the Texas Gulf Coast northwards into the mid-Mississippi Valley. At the surface, a low pressure center was analyzed over southwestern Kansas, with a cold front extending south through Texas, while high pressure centered off the Carolina coast remains in place over much of the southeastern US. The resulting southerly flow is advecting Gulf moisture into the CWA, with surface dewpoints generally in the 70-75F range.

The weak ridge overhead will break down moving into tomorrow as deep layer moisture increases over the area, which will increase the potential for isolated to scattered convection during the daytime hours. Instability will be sufficient to support thunderstorms, but does not look overly impressive for the Gulf Coast, with HREF mean SBCAPE only around 1000 J/kg as well as a stable layer evident above 700 mb in CAM soundings. However, any thunderstorms that do develop could bring some gusty winds given modeled DCAPE approaching 1000 J/kg and lowest 300mb theta-e differences greater than 30 K.

A period of active weather then looks likely from Friday through the weekend and into early next week. By Friday, the upper-level low will open up into a trough and lift off to the northeast, while the associated surface low and cold front slowly translate eastward across Texas and Louisiana. In addition to the Pacific tropical moisture associated with these features, a second source of moisture will arrive from the Gulf in the form of a tropical wave rotating around an upper-level ridge centered over Florida.

The combination of East Pacific and Gulf tropical moisture streams will result in extremely anomalous total column moisture over our area through this time frame. LREF mean PWAT peaks in the 2.2-2.4 inch range on Saturday, which is near the daily maximum moving average for early October. Even the LREF 10th percentile PWAT is greater than 2.0 inches, which exceeds climatological 90th percentile, lending further confidence to the degree of anomalous moisture. Efficient warm rain processes will be favored with model soundings depicting tall, skinny CAPE profiles and warm cloud layer depths in the 12-15 kft range.

Bottom line here is that heavy rainfall will be the primary concern, though details are low confidence at this lead time and will likely be tied to the evolution of the frontal boundary. One factor working against a widespread flooding event will be dry antecedent conditions; much of the CWA is currently experiencing Moderate or Severe drought, particularly our Louisiana parishes. That said, the environment will certainly be favorable for very heavy rainfall rates and the potential for isolated flash flooding, with urban and poorly drained areas the most vulnerable. WPC has most or all of our CWA under a Marginal (level 1/4) or higher risk of excessive rainfall for each of Friday, Saturday, and Sunday, with a Slight risk (2/4) outlooked on Saturday for our LA parishes and coastal SE TX counties. Stay tuned to updates over the next few forecast cycles as this time period begins to come into high- resolution model guidance range. Temperatures during this period will cool a bit owing to the increased cloud cover and rainfall, with afternoon highs in the low to mid 80s during the weekend while overnight lows hover around 70.

Another mid-latitude trough should push a secondary cold front southward through the CWA around the Monday into Tuesday time frame. This will advect drier continental air into the area, ending the rainfall threat and allowing overnight lows to fall into the low to mid 60s across the area.

64/Silas

Aviation

634 AM CDT Thu Oct 1 2026

(12Z TAFS)

Light showers have been developing and moving inland along the coast early this morning and coverage is expected to continue to increase through the morning and early afternoon in response to diurnal heating and increasing atmospheric moisture. Storms will begin to wane by late afternoon and should be largely dissipated by 23Z. Away from storms, southerly winds of 10-15 knots will prevail through the day becoming light and variable after 00Z.

Jones

Marine

1226 AM CDT Thu Oct 1 2026

Southeast winds up to 15-20 kt will diminish some during the day Thursday, but will remain elevated around 10 kt through the rest of the week and into the weekend. A storm system this weekend will bring widespread showers and thunderstorms to the coastal waters, with locally higher winds and seas near any storms.

Fire Weather

1226 AM CDT Thu Oct 1 2026

Increasing moisture will lead to scattered showers and thunderstorms developing over the area Thursday, with afternoon MinRH values around 45 to 60 percent. A storm system is expected to bring widespread wetting rains to the area for Friday through the weekend, which should allow for an improvement in regional drought conditions.

LCH Watches / Warnings / Advisories

LA...None. TX...None. GM...None.

The outlooks beyond

SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this point

The national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.

Severe weather

  1. Day 1 · Thu Oct 1General Thunderstorms Risk
  2. Day 2 · Fri Oct 2General Thunderstorms Risk
  3. Day 3 · Sat Oct 3General Thunderstorms Risk
  4. Day 4 · Sun Oct 4No risk area
  5. Day 5 · Mon Oct 5No risk area
  6. Day 6 · Tue Oct 6No risk area
  7. Day 7 · Wed Oct 7No risk area
  8. Day 8 · Thu Oct 8No risk area

Rainfall

  1. Day 1 · Thu Oct 10.01 in
  2. Day 2 · Fri Oct 20.10 in
  3. Day 3 · Sat Oct 30.50 in
  4. Day 4-5 · Oct 4–Oct 51.00 in
  5. Day 6-7 · Oct 6–Oct 70.01 in

The rainfall forecast on the map, days 1 to 7

Flash flood risk

  1. Day 1 · Thu Oct 1Below marginal
  2. Day 2 · Fri Oct 2Marginal
  3. Day 3 · Sat Oct 3Slight
  4. Day 4 · Sun Oct 4Marginal
  5. Day 5 · Mon Oct 5Below marginal

Six to fourteen days

  1. Days 6–10 · Temperature33% chance above normalOct 6–Oct 10
  2. Days 6–10 · Precipitation50% chance above normalOct 6–Oct 10
  3. Days 8–14 · TemperatureNear normal most likelyOct 8–Oct 14
  4. Days 8–14 · Precipitation33% chance above normalOct 8–Oct 14

Hazards, 3 to 14 days

  1. Oct 3–Oct 6Heavy Rain

Drought

  1. Drought Monitor, map of Sep 22D2 Severe drought

Drought in this county: the map, the record since 2000 and the outlook

Frost and climate

NOAA 1991-2020 normals, Lake Charles

The last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around February 14 and the first fall freeze around December 7: a growing season of about 299 days.

One fall in ten brings a freeze by November 14; one spring in ten still has one after March 11.

Climate of 30.22, -93.31: normals, records and every month

Everything else on the grid

NWS forecast grid · 29 elements

The forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.

ElementThuFriSatSunMonTueWedThu
HeatRisk max2 · Moderate2 · Moderate2 · Moderate1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor0 · Little0 · Little
Wet bulb globe temperature max85°85°82°80°79°79°80°79°
Heat index max98°100°93°87°86°85°87°85°
Chance of thunder max25%36%33%36%19%7%12%4%
Cloud ceiling min7,200 ft2,900 ft
Visibility min9 mi5 mi
Mixing height max4,100 ft5,000 ft3,700 ft2,800 ft5,400 ft3,800 ft5,200 ft5,200 ft
Transport wind max16 mph9 mph12 mph12 mph14 mph13 mph12 mph13 mph
Twenty-foot wind max10 mph6 mph7 mph6 mph9 mph9 mph8 mph9 mph

Against the record

NOAA GHCN · Sulphur (UXL) · 7.3 mi away

Each forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.

DayForecastNormalRecord highRecord low
Thu Oct 191° / 75°87° / 65°94° (1998)43° (1984)
Fri Oct 290° / 73°86° / 65°94° (2019)45° (1984)
Sat Oct 387° / 70°86° / 64°96° (2019)47° (2011)
Sun Oct 483° / 69°86° / 65°96° (2019)45° (1987)
Mon Oct 583° / 67°86° / 65°94° (2006)46° (1987)
Tue Oct 684° / 66°85° / 64°92° (2019)45° (1964)
Wed Oct 785° / 66°83° / 63°93° (2024)45° (1964)
Thu Oct 884° / 67°82° / 63°93° (2025)45° (1964)

Sun and moon

DayCivil twilightSunriseSunsetCivil twilightDaylightMoon
Thu6:43 AM7:07 AM6:58 PM7:22 PM11 h 51 min Waning gibbous · 73% lit
Fri6:43 AM7:07 AM6:57 PM7:21 PM11 h 50 min Waning gibbous · 64% lit
Sat6:44 AM7:08 AM6:56 PM7:20 PM11 h 48 min Last quarter · 53% lit
Sun6:45 AM7:09 AM6:55 PM7:19 PM11 h 46 min Last quarter · 43% lit
Mon6:45 AM7:09 AM6:54 PM7:18 PM11 h 45 min Waning crescent · 32% lit
Tue6:46 AM7:10 AM6:52 PM7:16 PM11 h 42 min Waning crescent · 23% lit
Wed6:46 AM7:10 AM6:51 PM7:15 PM11 h 41 min Waning crescent · 15% lit
Thu6:47 AM7:11 AM6:50 PM7:14 PM11 h 39 min Waning crescent · 8% lit

Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).

What is here

Seven days
The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
Hour by hour
Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
Everything else on the grid
The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
The discussion
The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
Beyond the week
The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
Against the record
Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
The next 90 days
The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.

Common questions

Where does this forecast come from?

From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.

How far ahead does it go?

The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.

Why is this different from the app on my phone?

Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.

What is a place’s address here?

Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.

What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from