Current weather · Sep 26, 5:15 AM EDT

29.2840, -82.6640

60°

ClearFeels like 60° · Humidity 82%NWS forecast for this hour; no recent station reportForecast by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL · grid 58,155
High
82°
Low
59°
Rain today
0%
Sunrise
7:21 AM
Sunset
7:22 PM

Hour by hour

NWS forecast grid

Scroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.

Every hour as a table48 hours
TimeWeatherTemperatureFeels likeDew pointHumidityChanceAmountSnowDirWindGustSky coverThunderPressureVisibilityCeiling
Sat 5 AM60°60°55°82%0%N2 mph10 mph5%—10 mi-100 ft
Sat 6 AM60°60°54°82%0%N3 mph12 mph5%—7 mi-100 ft
Sat 7 AM60°60°53°80%0%N3 mph10 mph5%—9 mi-100 ft
Sat 8 AM60°60°53°79%0%N3 mph12 mph4%—7 mi-100 ft
Sat 9 AM63°63°54°73%0%N3 mph9 mph2%—10 mi-100 ft
Sat 10 AM69°69°55°60%0%N5 mph10 mph2%—10 mi-100 ft
Sat 11 AM74°74°54°50%0%NNE5 mph10 mph4%—10 mi-100 ft
Sat 12 PM77°77°53°43%0%NNE5 mph10 mph4%—10 mi-100 ft
Sat 1 PM79°79°52°39%0%NNE5 mph9 mph4%—10 mi-100 ft
Sat 2 PM81°80°51°36%0%N5 mph9 mph4%—10 mi-100 ft
Sat 3 PM82°81°51°33%0%N5 mph9 mph3%—10 mi-100 ft
Sat 4 PM82°81°50°34%0%N5 mph10 mph3%—10 mi-100 ft
Sat 5 PM81°80°51°35%0%N3 mph9 mph4%—10 mi-100 ft
Sat 6 PM79°79°52°39%0%N2 mph8 mph5%—10 mi-100 ft
Sat 7 PM74°74°53°48%0%NNW1 mph6 mph4%—10 mi-100 ft
Sat 8 PM70°70°53°54%0%N1 mph6 mph9%—10 mi-100 ft
Sat 9 PM68°68°53°57%0%N1 mph6 mph20%—10 mi-100 ft
Sat 10 PM67°67°52°60%0%N1 mph6 mph26%—10 mi-100 ft
Sat 11 PM65°65°52°63%0%NNE1 mph6 mph28%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 12 AM64°64°53°68%0%NE1 mph6 mph11%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 1 AM62°62°54°74%0%ENE1 mph6 mph10%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 2 AM61°61°54°79%0%E1 mph6 mph12%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 3 AM60°60°54°82%0%E0 mph5 mph7%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 4 AM60°60°54°82%0%N0 mph5 mph14%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 5 AM59°59°54°84%0%N0 mph5 mph23%—9 mi-100 ft
Sun 6 AM59°59°54°84%0%N0 mph3 mph30%—9 mi-100 ft
Sun 7 AM59°59°54°84%0%N0 mph2 mph38%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 8 AM59°59°55°86%0%N0 mph2 mph33%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 9 AM66°66°58°74%0%N0 mph2 mph45%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 10 AM73°73°59°62%0%N0 mph3 mph49%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 11 AM78°78°59°52%0%W1 mph5 mph54%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 12 PM82°82°58°45%0%W2 mph6 mph62%——21,800 ft
Sun 1 PM83°83°57°41%0%W2 mph6 mph57%——18,700 ft
Sun 2 PM85°84°57°39%0%W2 mph6 mph45%——-100 ft
Sun 3 PM86°85°57°38%0%W3 mph7 mph30%——-100 ft
Sun 4 PM85°84°58°40%0%WSW5 mph9 mph36%——-100 ft
Sun 5 PM83°83°59°44%0%WSW6 mph10 mph46%——-100 ft
Sun 6 PM81°81°60°48%0%SW6 mph12 mph42%——-100 ft
Sun 7 PM77°77°61°58%0%WSW3 mph10 mph39%——-100 ft
Sun 8 PM73°73°61°67%0%WSW2 mph10 mph41%——-100 ft
Sun 9 PM72°72°61°70%0%WSW2 mph8 mph31%——
Sun 10 PM70°70°61°72%0%SW1 mph7 mph21%——
Sun 11 PM69°69°61°74%0%SW1 mph6 mph11%——
Mon 12 AM68°68°61°77%0%SW1 mph5 mph11%——
Mon 1 AM68°68°61°80%0%SW0 mph5 mph10%——
Mon 2 AM67°67°61°82%1%N0 mph5 mph10%——
Mon 3 AM66°66°61°83%1%S0 mph5 mph12%——
Mon 4 AM66°66°61°83%1%S1 mph6 mph14%——

The next 16 days

NWS grid published Sep 26, 4:17 AM EDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 10, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16
  1. TodaySep 2682°59°Sunny0%wind 5 mph · gusts 12 mph
  2. SunSep 2786°65°Mostly Sunny0%wind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
  3. MonSep 2888°68°Mostly Sunny13%wind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
  4. TueSep 2990°68°Sunny then Isolated Showers And Thunderstorms15%0.01 inwind 3 mph
  5. WedSep 3090°71°Sunny then Isolated Showers And Thunderstorms17%0.01 inwind 6 mph · gusts 14 mph
  6. ThuOct 191°72°Mostly Sunny then Scattered Showers And Thunderstorms41%0.07 inwind 7 mph · gusts 14 mph
  7. FriOct 291°72°Mostly Sunny then Scattered Showers And Thunderstorms54%0.31 inwind 7 mph · gusts 14 mph
  8. SatOct 391°73°48%0.15 inwind 5 mph · gusts 12 mph
  9. SunOct 491°73°National Blend40%0.09 inwind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
  10. MonOct 590°72°National Blend55%0.21 inwind 6 mph
  11. TueOct 6~82°73°Model mean0.75 in
  12. WedOct 7~85°72°Model mean0.49 in
  13. ThuOct 8~84°72°Model mean0.56 in
  14. FriOct 9~80°72°Model mean0.54 in
  15. SatOct 10~80°66°Model mean0.13 in
  16. SunOct 11~74°67°Model mean

Right now

NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow
  • Feels like60°
  • WindN 2 mphgusts 10 mph
  • Radar over this pointno reading
  • Humidity82%
  • Dew point55°
  • Pressure—
  • UV index—
  • Air quality—
  • Visibility10 mi
  • Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset · not yet up
  • Moonrise7:17 PMMoonset 7:12 AM
  • Moon phaseFull moon100% lit

The National Blend of Models

NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Sep 26, 2:00 AM EDT

NOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.

  1. TodaySep 2682°59°NWS grid 82° / 59°rain 0%wind 5 mph · gusts 12 mph
  2. SunSep 2786°66°NWS grid 86° / 65°rain 1%wind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
  3. MonSep 2888°68°NWS grid 88° / 68°rain 16%thunder 24%wind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
  4. TueSep 2990°69°NWS grid 90° / 68°rain 17%thunder 33%wind 3 mph
  5. WedSep 3090°71°NWS grid 90° / 71°rain 20%thunder 27%wind 6 mph · gusts 14 mph
  6. ThuOct 191°72°NWS grid 91° / 72°rain 51%thunder 28%0.08 inwind 7 mph · gusts 14 mph
  7. FriOct 291°73°NWS grid 91° / 72°rain 63%thunder 33%0.31 inwind 7 mph · gusts 14 mph
  8. SatOct 391°73°NWS grid 91° / 73°rain 48%thunder 31%0.12 inwind 5 mph · gusts 12 mph
  9. SunOct 491°73°Beyond the NWS gridrain 40%0.09 inwind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
  10. MonOct 590°72°Beyond the NWS gridrain 55%0.21 inwind 6 mph
  11. TueOct 688°—Beyond the NWS gridrain 50%0.23 inwind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
59°77°95°SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly

The models, side by side

HRRR Sep 26, 2:00 AM EDT · GFS Sep 25, 8:00 PM EDT · GEFS Sep 25, 8:00 PM EDT · ECMWF Sep 25, 8:00 PM EDT · ECMWF AI Sep 25, 8:00 PM EDT

Each line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.

50°73°95°SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

DayNWS gridHRRRGFSGEFSECMWFECMWF AI
Today Sep 2682° 59°81° 57°83° 61°82° 61°83° 61°~81° 64°
Sun Sep 2786° 65°84° 57°86° 63°87° 63°86° 61°~83° 63°
Mon Sep 2888° 68°~65° 63°85° 69°88° 69°0.04 in86° 67°0.03 in~85° 71°0.01 in
Tue Sep 2990° 68°0.01 in—90° 70°90° 71°0.09 in87° 70°0.08 in~85° 72°0.06 in
Wed Sep 3090° 71°0.01 in—92° 71°91° 71°0.05 in92° 69°0.02 in~86° 72°0.11 in
Thu Oct 191° 72°0.07 in—93° 73°91° 72°0.06 in92° 71°0.08 in~87° 74°0.15 in
Fri Oct 291° 72°0.31 in—94° 75°0.02 in90° 74°0.12 in~94° 74°0.08 in~88° 76°0.30 in
Sat Oct 391° 73°0.15 in—94° 75°0.02 in90° 74°0.17 in~94° 74°0.06 in~89° 77°0.24 in
Sun Oct 4——92° 75°0.05 in88° 75°0.27 in~90° 74°0.04 in~89° 78°0.14 in
Mon Oct 5——91° 75°0.06 in85° 74°0.26 in~81° 75°0.48 in~87° 78°0.19 in
Tue Oct 6——~92° 75°0.04 in—~71° 68°1.69 in~83° 77°0.53 in
Wed Oct 7——~94° 74°0.30 in—~83° 65°0.05 in~79° 76°1.11 in
Thu Oct 8——~90° 73°0.47 in—~85° 69°0.01 in~78° 75°1.21 in
Fri Oct 9——~78° 76°1.57 in—~82° 69°~80° 71°0.06 in
Sat Oct 10——~76° 61°0.39 in—~82° 67°~81° 68°
Sun Oct 11——~74° 67°———

A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.

ECMWF ensemble meteogram

ECMWF ensemble meteogram for this place: box plots of cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and temperature from the 51 ensemble members for ten days.
Rendered by ECMWF from its 51-member ensemble, in metric units: each box spans the middle half of the members, the whiskers the rest, the line the control run. A forecast, not an observation. © ECMWF, CC BY 4.0.

The next 90 days

NOAA GHCN normals and records at Williston (X60) · Climate Prediction Center outlooks

No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.

The forecast reaches Sun Oct 11, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.

Climate Prediction Center (CPC) temperature lean80%50%warmer 50% · Oct 202633% chance above normal · Oct to Dec20°40°60°80°100°TodayOct 1Nov 1Dec 1

Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normal

Week ofNormalWarmest on recordColdest on recordTemperature leanPrecipitation lean
Sep 2687° / 67°96° (1986)44° (1967)no outlookno outlook
Oct 385° / 66°96° (1986)43° (2010)50% chance above normal · days 8 to 1440% chance above normal · days 8 to 14
Oct 1085° / 62°94° (1982)35° (1977)50% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 1782° / 60°94° (1985)32° (1989)50% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 2480° / 58°89° (1985)28° (2008)50% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 3177° / 52°90° (2015)26° (1976)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec60% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 776° / 51°92° (1986)23° (1976)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec60% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 1473° / 48°88° (1964)24° (1963)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec60% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 2174° / 51°86° (1973)17° (1970)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec60% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 2872° / 49°88° (1960)20° (1956)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec60% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 569° / 46°85° (1978)20° (1968)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec60% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 1269° / 48°86° (1972)13° (1962)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec60% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 1968° / 46°83° (1967)15° (1989)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec60% chance above normal · Oct to Dec

Health and activities

Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollen

None of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.

Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.

Health

  • Arthritisnext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Common coldtodayLowmild
  • FlutodayLowmild
  • Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
  • Heat stresstodayLowmild
  • SunburntodayLowweak sun
  • Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
  • SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night

Outdoors

  • RunningtodayGoodhot
  • HikingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • BikingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • GolftodayIdealfine conditions
  • FishingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Boating and paddlingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Beach and pooltodayIdealfine conditions
  • CampingtonightIdealfine conditions
  • StargazingtonightGoodbright moon

Travel

  • Air travelnext 24 hIdealclear skies
  • Drivingnext 24 hIdealclear roads

Home and garden

  • Lawn mowingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • GardeningtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Outdoor entertainingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Drying laundry outsidetodayIdealfine conditions
  • Painting and outdoor projectstodayIdealfine conditions
  • FrosttonightLowmild

Pests

  • MosquitoestodayHighwarm
  • TickstodayHighwarm
  • Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
  • Outdoor peststodayModeratewarm

Stargazing

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moon

Tonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated fair.

Night ofRatingDarkClear hoursClear and moonlessMoon litTransparency (est.)DewStrongest wind
SaturdayFair8:41 PM to 6:03 AM6 of 9None100%Fair1 mph
SundayFair8:40 PM to 6:03 AM7 of 9None98%Fair2 mph
MondayFair8:39 PM to 6:04 AM6 of 9None94%Poor3 h1 mph
TuesdayFair8:37 PM to 6:04 AM9 of 9None87%Poor4 h1 mph
WednesdayPoor8:36 PM to 6:05 AM0 of 9None80%5 h5 mph
ThursdayPoor8:35 PM to 6:06 AM0 of 9None70%8 h5 mph
FridayPoor8:34 PM to 6:06 AM0 of 9None60%8 h3 mph

Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.

Golden hour and blue hour

Computed from the sun and moon positions
DayBlue hour, morningGolden hour, morningGolden hour, eveningBlue hour, evening
Sat6:58 AM to 7:07 AM7:07 AM to 7:53 AM6:51 PM to 7:37 PM7:37 PM to 7:46 PM
Sun6:58 AM to 7:07 AM7:07 AM to 7:53 AM6:50 PM to 7:35 PM7:35 PM to 7:45 PM
Mon6:59 AM to 7:08 AM7:08 AM to 7:54 AM6:48 PM to 7:34 PM7:34 PM to 7:43 PM
Tue6:59 AM to 7:08 AM7:08 AM to 7:54 AM6:47 PM to 7:33 PM7:33 PM to 7:42 PM
Wed7:00 AM to 7:09 AM7:09 AM to 7:55 AM6:46 PM to 7:32 PM7:32 PM to 7:41 PM
Thu7:00 AM to 7:09 AM7:09 AM to 7:55 AM6:45 PM to 7:31 PM7:31 PM to 7:40 PM
Fri7:01 AM to 7:10 AM7:10 AM to 7:56 AM6:44 PM to 7:30 PM7:30 PM to 7:39 PM
NESWSRSSMRMS
  • SR Sunrise 7:21 AM, 91° E
  • SS Sunset 7:22 PM, 269° W
  • MR Moonrise 7:17 PM, 83° E
  • MS Moonset 7:12 AM, 273° W
  • Full moon, 100% lit

Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.

Drone flying

NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107

This hour: no-fly (low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)). Next good stretch: Sun 12 PM to 2 PM, 2 hours.

Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:51 AM to sunrise 7:21 AM, and sunset 7:22 PM to 7:52 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.

Sat6 AM12 PM6 PM
Sun12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Mon12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Caution No-fly

HourVerdictWind (mph)400 ft est. (mph)Gust (mph)RainVisibilityCloud allowsTempKpWhy
Sat 5 AMNo-fly29170%10 miup to 0 ft60°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 6 AMNo-fly314220%7 miup to 0 ft60°low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 7 AMNo-fly34110%9 miup to 0 ft60°low cloud limits height (107.51), civil twilight: lighting required (107.29)
Sat 8 AMNo-fly34120%7 miup to 0 ft60°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sat 9 AMNo-fly34100%10 miup to 0 ft63°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sat 10 AMNo-fly55110%10 miup to 0 ft69°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sat 11 AMNo-fly55110%10 miup to 0 ft74°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sat 12 PMNo-fly55110%10 miup to 0 ft77°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sat 1 PMNo-fly55100%10 miup to 0 ft79°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sat 2 PMNo-fly55100%10 miup to 0 ft81°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sat 3 PMNo-fly55100%10 miup to 0 ft82°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sat 4 PMNo-fly55110%10 miup to 0 ft82°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sat 5 PMNo-fly34100%10 miup to 0 ft81°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sat 6 PMNo-fly2380%10 miup to 0 ft79°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sat 7 PMNo-fly1590%10 miup to 0 ft74°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 8 PMNo-fly1590%10 miup to 0 ft70°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 9 PMNo-fly1590%10 miup to 0 ft68°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 10 PMNo-fly1590%10 miup to 0 ft67°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 11 PMNo-fly1590%10 miup to 0 ft65°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 12 AMNo-fly1590%10 miup to 0 ft64°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 1 AMNo-fly1590%10 miup to 0 ft62°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 2 AMNo-fly1590%10 miup to 0 ft61°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 3 AMNo-fly0050%10 miup to 0 ft60°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 4 AMNo-fly0050%10 miup to 0 ft60°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)

Flight restrictions nearby

Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.

Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.

Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.

Spraying and field work

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast

Hours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.

Spraying windows

  • Sat 6 AM to 3 PM 9 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
  • Sun 3 PM to 8 PM 5 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
  • Mon 11 AM to 8 PM 9 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
  • Tue 1 PM to 6 PM 5 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
  • Wed 10 AM to 11 PM 13 hours, every hour within the rules
Sat6 AM12 PM6 PM
Sun12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Mon12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Tue12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Marginal No

Field days

DayDaytimeChance of rainRainLowest humidityStrongest windDry days in a rowHay drying
SaturdayDry0%0.00 in33%5 mph5 d
SundayDry0%0.00 in38%6 mph4 dGood
MondayDry13%0.00 in49%8 mph3 dGood
TuesdayDry15%0.01 in49%3 mph2 d
WednesdayDry17%0.01 in53%6 mph1 d
ThursdayShowers possible41%0.07 in59%7 mph
FridayWet54%0.31 in62%7 mph
SaturdayShowers possible48%0.15 in66%5 mph

Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.

Solunar times

Computed from the moon’s position

The best-rated day this week is Saturday, rated best.

DayRatingMajor periodsMinor periodsMoonSunrise, sunset
Sat Best11:56 PM to 1:56 AM12:18 PM to 2:18 PM6:42 AM to 7:42 AM6:47 PM to 7:47 PM 100%7:21 AM, 7:22 PM
Sun Best12:41 AM to 2:41 AM1:05 PM to 3:05 PM7:44 AM to 8:44 AM7:19 PM to 8:19 PM 99%7:22 AM, 7:21 PM
Mon Good1:29 AM to 3:29 AM1:55 PM to 3:55 PM8:48 AM to 9:48 AM7:55 PM to 8:55 PM 95%7:22 AM, 7:20 PM
Tue Fair2:21 AM to 4:21 AM2:49 PM to 4:49 PM9:55 AM to 10:55 AM8:37 PM to 9:37 PM 90%7:23 AM, 7:19 PM
Wed Poor3:17 AM to 5:17 AM3:47 PM to 5:47 PM11:04 AM to 12:04 PM9:26 PM to 10:26 PM 83%7:23 AM, 7:17 PM
Thu Fair4:17 AM to 6:17 AM4:49 PM to 6:49 PM12:13 PM to 1:13 PM10:23 PM to 11:23 PM 74%7:24 AM, 7:16 PM
Fri Fair5:20 AM to 7:20 AM5:51 PM to 7:51 PM1:17 PM to 2:17 PM11:27 PM to 12:27 AM 64%7:24 AM, 7:15 PM

Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index

Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.

In words

NWS forecast periods, as issued
  1. Overnight59° · N 2 mph

    Clear, with a low around 59. North wind around 2 mph.

  2. Saturday82° · N 5 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 82. North wind around 5 mph.

  3. Saturday Night59° · NNE 2 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 59. North northeast wind around 2 mph.

  4. Sunday86° · W 0–6 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. West wind 0 to 6 mph.

  5. Sunday Night65° · 1% · SW 0–6 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 65. Southwest wind 0 to 6 mph.

  6. Monday88° · 13% · SSW 1–8 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. South southwest wind 1 to 8 mph.

  7. Monday Night68° · 13% · W 0–7 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 68. West wind 0 to 7 mph.

  8. Tuesday90° · 15% · S 0–3 mph

    Isolated showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Sunny, with a high near 90. South wind 0 to 3 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

  9. Tuesday Night68° · 15% · SW 2 mph

    Isolated showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 68. Southwest wind around 2 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

  10. Wednesday90° · 17% · ESE 2–6 mph

    Isolated showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Sunny, with a high near 90. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

  11. Wednesday Night71° · 17% · ESE 5 mph

    Isolated showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 71. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

  12. Thursday91° · 41% · ESE 3–7 mph

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

  13. Thursday Night72° · 41% · ESE 6 mph

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

  14. Friday91° · 54% · ESE 7 mph

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91.

The forecaster’s discussion

NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL · issued Sep 26, 3:00 AM EDT

Written by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.

KEY Messages

257 AM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

Very limited rain chances across the area through Monday.

Slightly cooler and less humid air will fill into the area through the weekend and into early next week.

Discussion

257 AM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

A beautiful day on tap today thanks to a cooler, drier air mass advecting over the area. Northeasterly flow associated with a closed low off the Mid-Atlantic coast will help keep the cooler, drier air filtering through the weekend. Many this morning will wake up to temperatures in the 60s with a few northern areas in the upper 50s. Highs today will top out in the mid 80s. Lower humidity today will make for a pleasant, fall-like day. These comfortable conditions will hold through the weekend and into Monday.

Early in the week, high pressure will begin to build off the east coast Florida, allowing for the flow to turn more southerly. As the flow turns, more moisture will begin to filter in, raising humidity once again. Rain chances will also begin to gradually increase each day through the end of the week. Temperatures will also increase each day, reaching back to near or slightly above normal. In other words, fall-like conditions will quickly be replaced by more summer- like conditions once again.

Aviation

257 AM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

(06Z TAFS)

Mostly clear, VFR conditions are expected through the period as dry air lingers over the area.

Marine

257 AM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

Marine conditions will gradually begin to improve as winds slowly diminish through the weekend. Northeast to north winds will continue through the weekend. Early next week, high pressure off the east coast of Florida will bring more south to south east winds. Rain chances increase by mid week as moisture moves back over the area.

Fire Weather

257 AM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

Dry air over the area will keep RH values low, with northern areas dropping close to critical levels. Winds will remain below 15mph.

Preliminary Point Temps / Pops

TPA 85 66 86 69 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 86 67 86 68 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 86 63 86 65 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 85 66 86 69 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 85 60 85 64 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 85 69 85 73 / 0 0 0 0

TBW Watches / Warnings / Advisories

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.

The outlooks beyond

SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this point

The national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.

Severe weather

  1. Day 1 · Sat Sep 26No risk area
  2. Day 2 · Sun Sep 27No risk area
  3. Day 3 · Mon Sep 28No risk area
  4. Day 4 · Tue Sep 29No risk area
  5. Day 5 · Wed Sep 30No risk area
  6. Day 6 · Thu Oct 1No risk area
  7. Day 7 · Fri Oct 2No risk area
  8. Day 8 · Sat Oct 3No risk area

Rainfall

  1. Day 1 · Sat Sep 26Under 0.01 in
  2. Day 2 · Sun Sep 27Under 0.01 in
  3. Day 3 · Mon Sep 28Under 0.01 in
  4. Day 4-5 · Sep 29–Sep 30Under 0.01 in
  5. Day 6-7 · Oct 1–Oct 20.25 in

The rainfall forecast on the map, days 1 to 7

Six to fourteen days

  1. Days 6–10 · Temperature80% chance above normalOct 1–Oct 5
  2. Days 6–10 · Precipitation40% chance above normalOct 1–Oct 5
  3. Days 8–14 · Temperature50% chance above normalOct 3–Oct 9
  4. Days 8–14 · Precipitation40% chance above normalOct 3–Oct 9

Drought

  1. Drought Monitor, map of Sep 22D0 Abnormally dry
  2. Outlook for Sep 2026Drought removal likely

Drought in this county: the map, the record since 2000 and the outlook

Frost and climate

NOAA 1991-2020 normals, Usher Twr

The last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around February 28 and the first fall freeze around December 2: a growing season of about 279 days.

One fall in ten brings a freeze by November 12; one spring in ten still has one after March 22.

Climate of 29.28, -82.66: normals, records and every month

Everything else on the grid

NWS forecast grid · 33 elements

The forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.

ElementSatSunMonTueWedThuFriSat
HeatRisk max1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor2 · Moderate2 · Moderate2 · Moderate2 · Moderate
Wet bulb globe temperature max74°78°82°83°85°86°87°86°
Heat index max81°85°91°91°96°100°103°102°
Chance of thunder max0%0%0%15%17%32%33%34%
Cloud ceiling min-100 ft-100 ft
Visibility min7 mi9 mi
Mixing height max4,500 ft6,300 ft5,400 ft5,900 ft6,400 ft5,800 ft5,600 ft4,500 ft
Transport wind max8 mph10 mph10 mph9 mph9 mph10 mph10 mph10 mph
Twenty-foot wind max5 mph6 mph8 mph3 mph6 mph7 mph7 mph5 mph
Dispersion index max4562574271676659
Low visibility risk max56668999

Against the record

NOAA GHCN · Williston (X60) · 13 mi away

Each forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.

DayForecastNormalRecord highRecord low
Sat Sep 2682° / 59°87° / 69°95° (1972)53° (2008)
Sun Sep 2786° / 65°87° / 69°95° (1972)54° (2008)
Mon Sep 2888° / 68°87° / 68°96° (1986)55° (1962)
Tue Sep 2990° / 68°87° / 67°93° (1986)52° (1993)
Wed Sep 3090° / 71°86° / 67°94° (1986)44° (1967)
Thu Oct 191° / 72°85° / 66°94° (1981)49° (2001)
Fri Oct 291° / 72°84° / 65°96° (1986)46° (2001)
Sat Oct 391° / 73°85° / 65°96° (1986)46° (2011)

Sun and moon

DayCivil twilightSunriseSunsetCivil twilightDaylightMoon
Sat6:58 AM7:21 AM7:22 PM7:46 PM12 h 1 min Full moon · 100% lit
Sun6:58 AM7:22 AM7:21 PM7:45 PM11 h 59 min Waning gibbous · 99% lit
Mon6:59 AM7:22 AM7:20 PM7:43 PM11 h 58 min Waning gibbous · 95% lit
Tue6:59 AM7:23 AM7:19 PM7:42 PM11 h 56 min Waning gibbous · 90% lit
Wed7:00 AM7:23 AM7:17 PM7:41 PM11 h 54 min Waning gibbous · 83% lit
Thu7:00 AM7:24 AM7:16 PM7:40 PM11 h 52 min Waning gibbous · 74% lit
Fri7:01 AM7:24 AM7:15 PM7:39 PM11 h 51 min Waning gibbous · 64% lit
Sat7:01 AM7:25 AM7:14 PM7:38 PM11 h 49 min Last quarter · 54% lit

Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).

What is here

Seven days
The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
Hour by hour
Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
Everything else on the grid
The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
The discussion
The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
Beyond the week
The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
Against the record
Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
The next 90 days
The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.

Common questions

Where does this forecast come from?

From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.

How far ahead does it go?

The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.

Why is this different from the app on my phone?

Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.

What is a place’s address here?

Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.

What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from