Current weather · Sep 27, 6:14 AM EDT

26.6300, -81.8100

68°

SunnyFeels like 68° · Humidity 87%NWS forecast for this hour; no recent station reportForecast by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL · grid 102,42
High
86°
Low
68°
Rain today
0%
Sunrise
7:18 AM
Sunset
7:18 PM

Hour by hour

NWS forecast grid

Scroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.

Every hour as a table48 hours
TimeWeatherTemperatureFeels likeDew pointHumidityChanceAmountSnowDirWindGustSky coverThunderPressureVisibilityCeiling
Sun 6 AM68°68°64°87%0%NNE3 mph6 mph2%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 7 AM68°68°64°87%0%NNE3 mph6 mph3%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 8 AM68°68°64°87%0%NNE5 mph7 mph5%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 9 AM72°72°64°77%0%NE3 mph6 mph7%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 10 AM76°76°65°68%0%NE3 mph6 mph14%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 11 AM80°82°65°60%0%NE3 mph6 mph30%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 12 PM83°84°64°54%0%NNE3 mph6 mph47%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 1 PM84°86°64°50%0%NNW3 mph5 mph50%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 2 PM84°85°63°48%0%NNW3 mph5 mph49%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 3 PM86°86°62°45%0%NW3 mph5 mph37%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 4 PM84°85°62°46%0%NW3 mph6 mph34%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 5 PM83°84°61°48%0%WNW5 mph6 mph45%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 6 PM82°83°62°50%0%WNW3 mph6 mph44%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 7 PM79°79°63°58%0%WNW3 mph6 mph43%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 8 PM76°76°63°65%0%WNW3 mph6 mph43%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 9 PM75°75°63°67%0%WNW2 mph6 mph34%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 10 PM74°74°63°70%0%NW2 mph5 mph39%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 11 PM73°73°63°71%0%NNW2 mph5 mph35%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 12 AM72°72°62°72%0%N2 mph5 mph42%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 1 AM70°70°62°76%0%N2 mph5 mph46%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 2 AM69°69°62°78%1%NNE2 mph5 mph45%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 3 AM69°69°62°78%1%NE2 mph5 mph47%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 4 AM68°68°62°80%1%NE2 mph5 mph40%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 5 AM68°68°62°79%1%NE2 mph5 mph39%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 6 AM68°68°62°81%0%NE2 mph5 mph44%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 7 AM68°68°62°81%1%ENE1 mph3 mph39%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 8 AM69°69°63°82%1%ENE2 mph5 mph37%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 9 AM73°73°64°72%1%ENE1 mph3 mph40%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 10 AM78°78°64°63%0%ENE2 mph3 mph34%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 11 AM82°83°65°56%0%E2 mph3 mph43%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 12 PM85°86°65°51%0%SSE2 mph3 mph40%——-100 ft
Mon 1 PM86°87°64°49%0%SW2 mph3 mph42%——-100 ft
Mon 2 PM87°89°64°46%0%WSW2 mph5 mph39%——-100 ft
Mon 3 PM89°90°64°44%0%WSW2 mph5 mph19%——-100 ft
Mon 4 PM87°88°64°46%0%WSW3 mph6 mph20%——-100 ft
Mon 5 PM85°86°64°50%0%WSW5 mph7 mph38%——-100 ft
Mon 6 PM84°85°65°53%0%WSW5 mph8 mph45%——-100 ft
Mon 7 PM80°82°65°61%0%WSW5 mph7 mph63%——24,800 ft
Mon 8 PM77°77°66°68%0%WSW5 mph7 mph44%——-100 ft
Mon 9 PM76°76°66°70%0%WSW2 mph5 mph70%——
Mon 10 PM75°75°66°73%0%WNW1 mph3 mph56%——
Mon 11 PM74°74°66°76%0%NW1 mph2 mph41%——
Tue 12 AM73°73°66°78%0%NNW1 mph2 mph41%——
Tue 1 AM73°73°66°81%0%NNE1 mph3 mph41%——
Tue 2 AM72°72°66°82%7%NE1 mph3 mph40%——
Tue 3 AM72°72°66°82%7%NE1 mph3 mph44%——
Tue 4 AM71°71°66°82%7%ENE2 mph5 mph47%——
Tue 5 AM71°71°66°82%7%ENE2 mph5 mph51%——

The next 16 days

NWS grid published Sep 27, 4:57 AM EDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 10, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16
  1. TodaySep 2786°68°Mostly Sunny0%wind 5 mph
  2. MonSep 2889°71°Mostly Sunny1%wind 5 mph
  3. TueSep 2988°72°Partly Sunny then Scattered Showers And Thunderstorms52%0.13 inwind 5 mph
  4. WedSep 3089°73°Isolated Showers And Thunderstorms70%0.26 inwind 8 mph
  5. ThuOct 188°74°Chance Showers And Thunderstorms70%0.27 inwind 12 mph · gusts 18 mph
  6. FriOct 290°75°Isolated Showers And Thunderstorms72%0.35 inwind 10 mph · gusts 16 mph
  7. SatOct 391°75°Mostly Sunny then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms69%0.43 inwind 8 mph
  8. SunOct 491°75°63%0.19 inwind 7 mph
  9. MonOct 591°75°National Blend68%0.23 inwind 6 mph
  10. TueOct 690°74°National Blend60%0.37 inwind 6 mph
  11. WedOct 7~88°74°Model mean0.15 in
  12. ThuOct 8~82°74°Model mean0.78 in
  13. FriOct 9~83°73°Model mean0.67 in
  14. SatOct 10~80°73°Model mean0.20 in
  15. SunOct 11~82°72°Model mean0.20 in
  16. MonOct 12~75°58°Model mean

Right now

NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow
  • Feels like68°
  • WindNNE 3 mph
  • Radar over this pointno reading
  • Humidity87%
  • Dew point64°
  • Pressure—
  • UV index—
  • Air quality—
  • Visibility10 mi
  • Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset · not yet up
  • Moonrise7:49 PMMoonset 8:08 AM
  • Moon phaseWaning gibbous99% lit

The National Blend of Models

NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Sep 27, 2:00 AM EDT

NOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.

  1. TodaySep 2787°68°NWS grid 86° / 68°rain 1%wind 5 mph
  2. MonSep 2889°71°NWS grid 89° / 71°rain 7%thunder 22%wind 5 mph
  3. TueSep 2988°72°NWS grid 88° / 72°rain 50%thunder 52%0.13 inwind 5 mph
  4. WedSep 3089°73°NWS grid 89° / 73°rain 73%thunder 62%0.25 inwind 8 mph
  5. ThuOct 189°75°NWS grid 88° / 74°rain 73%thunder 54%0.29 inwind 12 mph · gusts 18 mph
  6. FriOct 290°75°NWS grid 90° / 75°rain 74%thunder 56%0.30 inwind 10 mph · gusts 16 mph
  7. SatOct 391°75°NWS grid 91° / 75°rain 75%thunder 53%0.45 inwind 8 mph
  8. SunOct 491°75°NWS grid 91° / 75°rain 66%thunder 48%0.20 inwind 7 mph
  9. MonOct 591°75°Beyond the NWS gridrain 68%0.23 inwind 6 mph
  10. TueOct 690°74°Beyond the NWS gridrain 60%0.37 inwind 6 mph
  11. WedOct 789°—Beyond the NWS gridrain 69%0.48 inwind 7 mph
59°77°95°MonTueWedThuFriSatSun

BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly

The models, side by side

HRRR Sep 27, 2:00 AM EDT · GFS Sep 26, 8:00 PM EDT · GEFS Sep 26, 8:00 PM EDT · ECMWF Sep 26, 8:00 PM EDT · ECMWF AI Sep 26, 8:00 PM EDT

Each line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.

59°77°95°MonTueWedThuFriSatSun

DayNWS gridHRRRGFSGEFSECMWFECMWF AI
Today Sep 2786° 68°86° 67°84° 69°84° 69°83° 68°~86° 67°
Mon Sep 2889° 71°88° 67°87° 70°86° 71°85° 69°~87° 67°
Tue Sep 2988° 72°0.13 in~74° 72°86° 72°86° 73°0.10 in83° 71°0.19 in~82° 72°0.25 in
Wed Sep 3089° 73°0.26 in—89° 74°0.04 in85° 74°0.29 in84° 71°0.30 in~83° 72°0.24 in
Thu Oct 188° 74°0.27 in—82° 73°0.10 in86° 74°0.24 in80° 73°0.21 in~87° 75°0.22 in
Fri Oct 290° 75°0.35 in—90° 74°0.22 in89° 76°0.24 in88° 74°0.69 in~91° 78°0.20 in
Sat Oct 391° 75°0.43 in—90° 75°0.29 in89° 76°0.23 in~88° 75°0.90 in~91° 77°0.23 in
Sun Oct 491° 75°0.19 in—89° 75°0.48 in89° 76°0.19 in~89° 74°0.38 in~91° 77°0.10 in
Mon Oct 5——85° 76°0.12 in89° 76°0.19 in~89° 76°0.14 in~91° 76°0.31 in
Tue Oct 6——78° 74°0.02 in89° 76°0.24 in~90° 75°0.09 in~90° 76°0.16 in
Wed Oct 7——~88° 71°0.02 in—~89° 75°~87° 77°0.42 in
Thu Oct 8——~83° 73°0.03 in—~78° 77°0.80 in~80° 75°1.53 in
Fri Oct 9——~86° 71°0.15 in—~84° 74°0.08 in~78° 74°1.78 in
Sat Oct 10——~73° 70°0.15 in—~83° 73°0.16 in~82° 74°0.28 in
Sun Oct 11——~78° 69°0.43 in—~83° 72°~83° 75°0.17 in
Mon Oct 12——~75° 58°———

A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.

ECMWF ensemble meteogram

ECMWF ensemble meteogram for this place: box plots of cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and temperature from the 51 ensemble members for ten days.
Rendered by ECMWF from its 51-member ensemble, in metric units: each box spans the middle half of the members, the whiskers the rest, the line the control run. A forecast, not an observation. © ECMWF, CC BY 4.0.

The next 90 days

NOAA GHCN normals and records at Fort Myers/Page Field (FMY) · Climate Prediction Center outlooks

No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.

The forecast reaches Mon Oct 12, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.

Climate Prediction Center (CPC) temperature lean60%40%warmer 50% · Oct 202633% chance above normal · Oct to Dec40°60°80°100°TodayOct 1Nov 1Dec 1

Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normal

Week ofNormalWarmest on recordColdest on recordTemperature leanPrecipitation lean
Sep 2788° / 73°96° (1980)55° (1920)no outlookno outlook
Oct 489° / 73°95° (1926)54° (2000)40% chance above normal · days 8 to 1440% chance above normal · days 8 to 14
Oct 1187° / 71°94° (2022)51° (1977)50% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 1886° / 69°93° (1919)48° (1989)50% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 2584° / 66°94° (2019)45° (1957)50% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Nov 182° / 64°92° (2022)42° (1966)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 883° / 62°91° (2019)42° (2025)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 1580° / 61°91° (1988)34° (1940)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 2280° / 62°95° (1986)34° (1970)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 2979° / 58°89° (1990)34° (1959)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 679° / 60°90° (1978)28° (1957)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 1377° / 57°91° (2016)26° (1962)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 2078° / 57°88° (1981)27° (1989)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec

Health and activities

Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollen

None of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.

Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.

Health

  • Arthritisnext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Common coldtodayLowmild
  • FlutodayLowmild
  • Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
  • Heat stresstodayLowmild
  • SunburntodayLowweak sun
  • Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
  • SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night

Outdoors

  • RunningtodayGoodhot
  • HikingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • BikingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • GolftodayIdealfine conditions
  • FishingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Boating and paddlingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Beach and pooltodayIdealfine conditions
  • CampingtonightIdealfine conditions
  • StargazingtonightGoodbright moon

Travel

  • Air travelnext 24 hIdealclear skies
  • Drivingnext 24 hIdealclear roads

Home and garden

  • Lawn mowingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • GardeningtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Outdoor entertainingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Drying laundry outsidetodayIdealfine conditions
  • Painting and outdoor projectstodayIdealfine conditions
  • FrosttonightLowmild

Pests

  • MosquitoestodayVery highwarm
  • TickstodayHighwarm
  • Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
  • Outdoor peststodayHighwarm

Stargazing

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moon

Tonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated poor.

Night ofRatingDarkClear hoursClear and moonlessMoon litTransparency (est.)DewStrongest wind
SundayPoor8:35 PM to 6:01 AM0 of 9None98%2 mph
MondayPoor8:34 PM to 6:02 AM0 of 9None94%2 mph
TuesdayPoor8:33 PM to 6:02 AM0 of 9None87%4 h5 mph
WednesdayPoor8:31 PM to 6:03 AM0 of 9None80%8 h8 mph
ThursdayPoor8:30 PM to 6:03 AM0 of 10None70%8 h10 mph
FridayPoor8:29 PM to 6:04 AM0 of 10None60%10 h7 mph
SaturdayPoor8:28 PM to 6:04 AM0 of 10None50%9 h6 mph

Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.

Golden hour and blue hour

Computed from the sun and moon positions
DayBlue hour, morningGolden hour, morningGolden hour, eveningBlue hour, evening
Sun6:55 AM to 7:04 AM7:04 AM to 7:49 AM6:47 PM to 7:32 PM7:32 PM to 7:41 PM
Mon6:55 AM to 7:04 AM7:04 AM to 7:49 AM6:46 PM to 7:31 PM7:31 PM to 7:40 PM
Tue6:56 AM to 7:05 AM7:05 AM to 7:50 AM6:45 PM to 7:30 PM7:30 PM to 7:39 PM
Wed6:56 AM to 7:05 AM7:05 AM to 7:50 AM6:44 PM to 7:29 PM7:29 PM to 7:38 PM
Thu6:57 AM to 7:06 AM7:06 AM to 7:51 AM6:43 PM to 7:28 PM7:28 PM to 7:37 PM
Fri6:57 AM to 7:06 AM7:06 AM to 7:51 AM6:42 PM to 7:27 PM7:27 PM to 7:36 PM
Sat6:58 AM to 7:07 AM7:07 AM to 7:51 AM6:41 PM to 7:25 PM7:25 PM to 7:34 PM
NESWSRSSMRMS
  • SR Sunrise 7:18 AM, 92° E
  • SS Sunset 7:18 PM, 268° W
  • MR Moonrise 7:49 PM, 77° ENE
  • MS Moonset 8:08 AM, 280° W
  • Waning gibbous, 99% lit

Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.

Drone flying

NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107

This hour: no-fly (low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)). Next good stretch: Tue 8 AM to 2 PM, 6 hours.

Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:48 AM to sunrise 7:18 AM, and sunset 7:18 PM to 7:48 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.

Sun6 AM12 PM6 PM
Mon12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Tue12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Caution No-fly

HourVerdictWind (mph)400 ft est. (mph)Gust (mph)RainVisibilityCloud allowsTempKpWhy
Sun 6 AMNo-fly314160%10 miup to 0 ft68°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 7 AMNo-fly3460%10 miup to 0 ft68°low cloud limits height (107.51), civil twilight: lighting required (107.29)
Sun 8 AMNo-fly5680%10 miup to 0 ft68°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sun 9 AMNo-fly3460%10 miup to 0 ft72°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sun 10 AMNo-fly3460%10 miup to 0 ft76°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sun 11 AMNo-fly3460%10 miup to 0 ft80°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sun 12 PMNo-fly3460%10 miup to 0 ft83°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sun 1 PMNo-fly3450%10 miup to 0 ft84°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sun 2 PMNo-fly3450%10 miup to 0 ft84°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sun 3 PMNo-fly3450%10 miup to 0 ft86°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sun 4 PMNo-fly3460%10 miup to 0 ft84°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sun 5 PMNo-fly5670%10 miup to 0 ft83°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sun 6 PMNo-fly3460%10 miup to 0 ft82°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sun 7 PMNo-fly314160%10 miup to 0 ft79°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 8 PMNo-fly314160%10 miup to 0 ft76°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 9 PMNo-fly29130%10 miup to 0 ft75°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 10 PMNo-fly29110%10 miup to 0 ft74°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 11 PMNo-fly29110%10 miup to 0 ft73°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 12 AMNo-fly29110%10 miup to 0 ft72°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 1 AMNo-fly29110%10 miup to 0 ft70°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 2 AMNo-fly29111%10 miup to 0 ft69°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 3 AMNo-fly29111%10 miup to 0 ft69°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 4 AMNo-fly29111%10 miup to 0 ft68°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 5 AMNo-fly29111%10 miup to 0 ft68°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)

Flight restrictions nearby

Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.

Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.

Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.

Spraying and field work

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast

Hours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.

Spraying windows

  • Sun 9 AM to 9 PM 12 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
  • Mon 4 PM to 9 PM 5 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
Sun6 AM12 PM6 PM
Mon12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Tue12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Wed12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Marginal No

Field days

DayDaytimeChance of rainRainLowest humidityStrongest windDry days in a rowHay drying
SundayDry0%0.00 in45%5 mph2 d
MondayDry1%0.00 in44%5 mph1 d
TuesdayShowers possible52%0.13 in53%5 mph
WednesdayWet70%0.26 in70%7 mph
ThursdayWet70%0.27 in72%12 mph
FridayWet72%0.35 in71%10 mph
SaturdayWet69%0.43 in67%8 mph
SundayShowers possible63%0.19 in68%7 mph

Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.

Solunar times

Computed from the moon’s position

The best-rated day this week is Sunday, rated best.

DayRatingMajor periodsMinor periodsMoonSunrise, sunset
Sun Best12:38 AM to 2:38 AM1:01 PM to 3:01 PM7:38 AM to 8:38 AM7:19 PM to 8:19 PM 99%7:18 AM, 7:18 PM
Mon Good1:26 AM to 3:26 AM1:51 PM to 3:51 PM8:40 AM to 9:40 AM7:56 PM to 8:56 PM 95%7:18 AM, 7:17 PM
Tue Fair2:18 AM to 4:18 AM2:45 PM to 4:45 PM9:46 AM to 10:46 AM8:40 PM to 9:40 PM 90%7:19 AM, 7:16 PM
Wed Poor3:14 AM to 5:14 AM3:43 PM to 5:43 PM10:54 AM to 11:54 AM9:30 PM to 10:30 PM 83%7:19 AM, 7:15 PM
Thu Fair4:14 AM to 6:14 AM4:45 PM to 6:45 PM12:02 PM to 1:02 PM10:27 PM to 11:27 PM 74%7:20 AM, 7:13 PM
Fri Fair5:16 AM to 7:16 AM5:48 PM to 7:48 PM1:06 PM to 2:06 PM 64%7:20 AM, 7:12 PM
Sat Fair6:19 AM to 8:19 AM6:49 PM to 8:49 PM11:31 PM to 12:31 AM2:04 PM to 3:04 PM 54%7:21 AM, 7:11 PM

Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index

Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.

In words

NWS forecast periods, as issued
  1. Today86° · N 5 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. North wind around 5 mph.

  2. Tonight68° · 1% · NNW 3 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 68. North northwest wind around 3 mph.

  3. Monday89° · 1% · ESE 1–5 mph

    Mostly sunny. High near 89, with temperatures falling to around 85 in the afternoon. East southeast wind 1 to 5 mph.

  4. Monday Night71° · 7% · N 1–5 mph

    Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. North wind 1 to 5 mph.

  5. Tuesday88° · 52% · SE 5 mph

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

  6. Tuesday Night72° · 52% · SE 5 mph

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

  7. Wednesday89° · 70% · E 7 mph

    Isolated showers and thunderstorms before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. East wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

  8. Wednesday Night73° · 70% · E 8 mph

    A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. East wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

  9. Thursday88° · 70% · E 8–12 mph

    A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 8am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. East wind 8 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

  10. Thursday Night74° · 70% · E 10 mph

    A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

  11. Friday90° · 72% · E 10 mph

    Isolated showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

  12. Friday Night75° · 72% · E 6–9 mph

    A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then isolated showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

  13. Saturday91° · 69% · ESE 8 mph

    A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

  14. Saturday Night75° · 69% · ESE 7 mph

    A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then isolated showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 75.

The forecaster’s discussion

NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL · issued Sep 27, 3:31 AM EDT

Written by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.

KEY Messages

328 AM EDT Sun Sep 27 2026

Very limited rain chances area wide through Monday, with slight chances returning on Tuesday across far southern locations.

Drier and relatively cooler air mass remains across the area into early next week before gradually moderating.

Discussion

328 AM EDT Sun Sep 27 2026

If you enjoyed yesterday's break from the heat and humidity, you're in luck as today will feature much of the same! In fact, these conditions will continue for the next couple of days. This morning will likely be the coolest in this series of pleasant days. Low temperatures will drop to the upper 50s to low 60s for the nature coast and the low to mid 60s elsewhere. Warm Gulf temperatures will moderate temperatures directly along the coast keeping the low temperatures closer to the upper 60s low 70s. High temperatures today will continue to run a few degrees below normal, topping out in the mid 80s. Low humidity will contribute significantly to today's comfortable conditions. RH values will likely run around 30- 40 percent.

The pattern begins to change by midweek as high pressure begins to build off the east coast. The northerly flow over the next couple of days will switch more E/SE as the high pressure builds. This will allow moisture to gradual increase. By Wednesday, more typical rain chances return, especially south of I4. By the end of the week, more widespread coverage of showers and storms is expected. Easterly flow later in the week will favor showers and storms develop inland in the afternoon, then pushing towards the west coast in the evening. Temperatures will also rebound to near normal, reaching the low 90s once again.

Aviation

328 AM EDT Sun Sep 27 2026

(06Z TAFS)

Dry, VFR conditions prevail through the period.

Marine

328 AM EDT Sun Sep 27 2026

Marine conditions will continue to improve over the next couple of days as winds diminish. By mid week, shower and storm chances begin to increase. Towards the end of the week, easterly winds will increase again, possibly reaching cautionary levels.

Fire Weather

328 AM EDT Sun Sep 27 2026

A drier air mass positioned over Florida, will lead to RH values close to critical. However, winds are expected to remain below 15 mph through the period.

Preliminary Point Temps / Pops

TPA 85 69 88 72 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 86 69 88 71 / 0 0 0 10 GIF 85 65 89 68 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 84 69 87 71 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 84 63 88 67 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 85 72 87 75 / 0 0 0 0

TBW Watches / Warnings / Advisories

FL...None. Gulf waters...None.

The outlooks beyond

SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this point

The national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.

Severe weather

  1. Day 1 · Sun Sep 27No risk area
  2. Day 2 · Mon Sep 28No risk area
  3. Day 3 · Tue Sep 29General Thunderstorms Risk
  4. Day 4 · Wed Sep 30No risk area
  5. Day 5 · Thu Oct 1No risk area
  6. Day 6 · Fri Oct 2No risk area
  7. Day 7 · Sat Oct 3No risk area
  8. Day 8 · Sun Oct 4No risk area

Rainfall

  1. Day 1 · Sun Sep 27Under 0.01 in
  2. Day 2 · Mon Sep 28Under 0.01 in
  3. Day 3 · Tue Sep 290.10 in
  4. Day 4-5 · Sep 30–Oct 10.25 in
  5. Day 6-7 · Oct 2–Oct 30.75 in

The rainfall forecast on the map, days 1 to 7

Six to fourteen days

  1. Days 6–10 · Temperature60% chance above normalOct 2–Oct 6
  2. Days 6–10 · Precipitation40% chance above normalOct 2–Oct 6
  3. Days 8–14 · Temperature40% chance above normalOct 4–Oct 10
  4. Days 8–14 · Precipitation40% chance above normalOct 4–Oct 10

Drought

  1. Drought Monitor, map of Sep 22D0 Abnormally dry
  2. Outlook for Sep 2026Drought removal likely

Drought in this county: the map, the record since 2000 and the outlook

Frost and climate

NOAA 1991-2020 normals, Ft Myers Page Fld AP

A freeze (32°F or colder) comes in only 14 percent of years here.

Climate of 26.63, -81.81: normals, records and every month

Everything else on the grid

NWS forecast grid · 33 elements

The forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.

ElementSunMonTueWedThuFriSatSun
HeatRisk max1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor2 · Moderate2 · Moderate2 · Moderate
Wet bulb globe temperature max79°81°82°84°84°86°87°87°
Heat index max86°90°92°94°97°102°104°103°
Chance of thunder max0%0%53%54%57%52%50%46%
Cloud ceiling min-100 ft-100 ft
Visibility min10 mi10 mi
Mixing height max5,000 ft5,900 ft3,600 ft4,400 ft2,600 ft4,300 ft4,700 ft4,700 ft
Transport wind max7 mph7 mph6 mph9 mph12 mph12 mph9 mph8 mph
Twenty-foot wind max5 mph6 mph5 mph8 mph12 mph10 mph8 mph8 mph
Dispersion index max2727214234454444
Low visibility risk max65668799

Against the record

NOAA GHCN · Fort Myers/Page Field (FMY) · 4.4 mi away

Each forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.

DayForecastNormalRecord highRecord low
Sun Sep 2786° / 68°89° / 74°96° (1980)64° (1991)
Mon Sep 2889° / 71°89° / 74°95° (1925)67° (1909)
Tue Sep 2988° / 72°89° / 73°93° (1968)66° (1931)
Wed Sep 3089° / 73°88° / 73°94° (1988)66° (1919)
Thu Oct 188° / 74°89° / 73°95° (1986)55° (1920)
Fri Oct 290° / 75°88° / 73°94° (1919)57° (1920)
Sat Oct 391° / 75°88° / 73°94° (1919)63° (1920)
Sun Oct 491° / 75°88° / 73°95° (1926)55° (1929)

Sun and moon

DayCivil twilightSunriseSunsetCivil twilightDaylightMoon
Sun6:55 AM7:18 AM7:18 PM7:41 PM12 h 0 min Waning gibbous · 99% lit
Mon6:55 AM7:18 AM7:17 PM7:40 PM11 h 59 min Waning gibbous · 95% lit
Tue6:56 AM7:19 AM7:16 PM7:39 PM11 h 57 min Waning gibbous · 90% lit
Wed6:56 AM7:19 AM7:15 PM7:38 PM11 h 56 min Waning gibbous · 83% lit
Thu6:57 AM7:20 AM7:13 PM7:37 PM11 h 53 min Waning gibbous · 74% lit
Fri6:57 AM7:20 AM7:12 PM7:36 PM11 h 52 min Waning gibbous · 64% lit
Sat6:58 AM7:21 AM7:11 PM7:34 PM11 h 50 min Last quarter · 54% lit
Sun6:58 AM7:21 AM7:10 PM7:33 PM11 h 49 min Last quarter · 43% lit

Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).

What is here

Seven days
The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
Hour by hour
Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
Everything else on the grid
The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
The discussion
The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
Beyond the week
The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
Against the record
Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
The next 90 days
The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.

Common questions

Where does this forecast come from?

From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.

How far ahead does it go?

The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.

Why is this different from the app on my phone?

Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.

What is a place’s address here?

Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.

What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from