North Dakota drought

Is Ward County in a drought?

D1 Moderate drought

Yes. 5.3% of Ward County is in drought on the Drought Monitor map of Sep 29, 2026, the worst of it moderate drought (D1). That is better than a week earlier, when the worst was severe drought. It has been in drought since the week of Aug 4, 2026.

Map valid Sep 29, 2026, released Thursday, Oct 1, 2026. The next map is due Thursday, Oct 8, 2026. Statewide, 58.5% of North Dakota is in drought.

Ward County forecastWeather alertsLive radar here

This week’s map

The Drought Monitor for North Dakota, valid Sep 29, 2026. County lines are drawn in; the categories are the same as the national map.

US Drought Monitor map of North Dakota for Sep 29, 2026, shaded D0 abnormally dry through D4 exceptional drought
  • D0 Abnormally dry
  • D1 Moderate drought
  • D2 Severe drought
  • D3 Extreme drought
  • D4 Exceptional drought

Open the live map with the Drought Monitor

Map courtesy of the US Drought Monitor, NDMC-UNL, with USDA and NOAA. Original at droughtmonitor.unl.edu

This week's map, by category

Percent of Ward County in each category or worse, the Drought Monitor's own way of counting. In exactly one category this week: D0 17%, D1 5.3%, D2 0%, D3 0%, D4 0%; none 77.7%.

CategoryThis weekSep 29Last weekSep 223 months agoJun 30A year agoSep 30
D0 to D4 Abnormally dry or worse22.3%78.4%0%0%
D1 to D4 Moderate or worse5.3%25.5%0%0%
D2 to D4 Severe or worse0%2.6%0%0%
D3 to D4 Extreme or worse0%0%0%0%
D4 Exceptional drought0%0%0%0%
None77.7%21.6%100%100%

The past year

Percent of Ward County in each category, week by week. Each color includes the worse categories drawn over it.

Percent of Ward County in drought categories from Sep 30, 2025 to Sep 29, 2026. On the latest map, 5.3% is in drought (D1 or worse) and 22.3% is abnormally dry or worse.0%25%50%75%100%OctNovDec2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep
  • D0 Abnormally dry
  • D1 Moderate drought
  • D2 Severe drought
  • D3 Extreme drought
  • D4 Exceptional drought
Every week in the chart
MapD0+D1+D2+D3+D4+
Sep 29, 202622.3%5.3%0%0%0%
Sep 22, 202678.4%25.5%2.6%0%0%
Sep 15, 202695.5%25.5%2.6%0%0%
Sep 8, 202695.5%25.5%2.6%0%0%
Sep 1, 2026100%95.4%25.5%0%0%
Aug 25, 2026100%95.4%25.5%0%0%
Aug 18, 2026100%95.4%15.6%0%0%
Aug 11, 2026100%95.4%7.2%0%0%
Aug 4, 2026100%72.6%7.1%0%0%
Jul 28, 2026100%0%0%0%0%
Jul 21, 20265.7%0%0%0%0%
Jul 14, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Jul 7, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Jun 30, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Jun 23, 202626.6%0%0%0%0%
Jun 16, 202646.7%0%0%0%0%
Jun 9, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Jun 2, 20260%0%0%0%0%
May 26, 20260%0%0%0%0%
May 19, 20260%0%0%0%0%
May 12, 20260%0%0%0%0%
May 5, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Apr 28, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Apr 21, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Apr 14, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Apr 7, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Mar 31, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Mar 24, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Mar 17, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Mar 10, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Mar 3, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Feb 24, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Feb 17, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Feb 10, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Feb 3, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Jan 27, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Jan 20, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Jan 13, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Jan 6, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Dec 30, 20250%0%0%0%0%
Dec 23, 20250%0%0%0%0%
Dec 16, 20250%0%0%0%0%
Dec 9, 20250%0%0%0%0%
Dec 2, 20250%0%0%0%0%
Nov 25, 20250%0%0%0%0%
Nov 18, 20250%0%0%0%0%
Nov 11, 20250%0%0%0%0%
Nov 4, 20250%0%0%0%0%
Oct 28, 20250%0%0%0%0%
Oct 21, 20250%0%0%0%0%
Oct 14, 20250%0%0%0%0%
Oct 7, 20250%0%0%0%0%
Sep 30, 20250%0%0%0%0%

Since 2000

Every weekly map of Ward County since January 2000.

Percent of Ward County in drought categories from Jan 4, 2000 to Sep 29, 2026. On the latest map, 5.3% is in drought (D1 or worse) and 22.3% is abnormally dry or worse.0%25%50%75%100%200420082012201620202024
  • D0 Abnormally dry
  • D1 Moderate drought
  • D2 Severe drought
  • D3 Extreme drought
  • D4 Exceptional drought
Year by year
YearWorst categoryMost in droughtWeek ofWeeks with drought
2026D2 Severe drought95.4%Aug 119 of 39
2025D2 Severe drought64.8%Apr 824 of 52
2024D2 Severe drought52.5%Nov 529 of 53
2023D2 Severe drought69.4%Aug 2939 of 52
2022D3 Extreme drought100%Jan 431 of 52
2021D4 Exceptional drought100%Jan 552 of 52
2020D2 Severe drought100%Jun 2322 of 52
2019D2 Severe drought73.9%Jul 98 of 53
2018D3 Extreme drought100%Jan 252 of 52
2017D4 Exceptional drought100%Jun 631 of 52
2016D0 Abnormally dry0%0 of 52
2015D0 Abnormally dry0%0 of 52
2014D0 Abnormally dry0%0 of 52
2013D1 Moderate drought1.5%Jan 11 of 53
2012D2 Severe drought100%Oct 222 of 52
2011None0%0 of 52
2010None0%0 of 52
2009D0 Abnormally dry0%0 of 52
2008D3 Extreme drought100%Jan 137 of 53
2007D2 Severe drought100%Jan 239 of 52
2006D2 Severe drought100%Jul 1826 of 52
2005D1 Moderate drought100%Apr 2616 of 52
2004D1 Moderate drought0.7%Oct 52 of 52
2003D1 Moderate drought28.1%May 610 of 52
2002D1 Moderate drought1.4%Jan 12 of 53
2001D1 Moderate drought1.6%Dec 44 of 52
2000D0 Abnormally dry0%0 of 52

Drought history since 2000

Some part of Ward County was in drought on 33% of the weekly maps since Jan 4, 2000, and exceptional drought (D4) last reached the county the week of Sep 14, 2021.

Weeks with some drought
456 of 1,396 (33%)
Worst category reached
D4 Exceptional drought, last the week of Sep 14, 2021
Most widespread
100% in drought, week of Dec 13, 2022
Longest spell
85 weeks, Sep 8, 2020 to Apr 19, 2022
Current spell
9 weeks, since Aug 4, 2026

Outlook

The Climate Prediction Center's drought outlooks at the center of Ward County: whether drought is expected to develop, persist, improve or end.

Monthly outlook, Oct 2026
No drought expected
Seasonal outlook, through December 31 (issued Sep 30)
No drought expected

The monthly outlook is issued on the last day of each month, the seasonal one on the third Thursday. CPC's discussion.

What drought has meant in North Dakota

The National Drought Mitigation Center's examples of impacts observed in North Dakota at each level of drought, starting with this week's worst here.

D1 Moderate drought This week

  • Crops and pastures are water stressed; farmers are encouraged to have a drought plan
  • Fire danger increases
  • Grasshopper infestation occurs
  • Pond and creek levels begin to decline; more nesting areas are available for birds

D0 Abnormally dry

  • Crop germination is poor
  • Grass fires increase

D2 Severe drought

  • Conditions are dusty; air quality is poor
  • Fertilizer sales are low at elevators
  • Open burn and firework restrictions are implemented; fire activity intensifies
  • River flow is decreased; stock dams are low
  • Soil moisture is low; pasture and rangeland is dry; crop conditions are poor; hay yields are low; cattle are sold

D3 Extreme drought

  • Blue-green algae blooms cause cattle death
  • Crops stop growing; pastures go dormant, emergency haying of conservation areas is authorized
  • Fairs have fewer entries; public meetings are scheduled with government officials to discuss drought
  • Large wildfires burn

D4 Exceptional drought

  • Fewer hunting permits are issued
  • Local economy is at a standstill
  • Wheat is baled for hay; numerous tests are conducted on water nitrate level and quality and high nitrate levels in forage; farm service agency increases staffing; producers cull cattle
  • Wildfires are immense; rural/volunteer fire departments are stressed; rural fire departments run out of funding

Drawn from the Drought Impact Reporter and local observers.

Burn bans and water restrictions

The Drought Monitor does not issue burn bans or water restrictions. Ward County's officials, the state forestry or fire agency, and local water utilities set them, often once drought reaches D2 or dry fuels raise the fire danger. Check the county's emergency management office or fire marshal for a ban in force, and the alerts page for red flag warnings and fire weather watches.

This week in the High Plains

The Drought Monitor authors' narrative for the map of Sep 29, 2026, released Oct 1, 2026.

The High Plains states experienced almost exclusively drought improvements this week, as many areas experienced beneficial rainfall, with Colorado, Kansas, and Nebraska being beneficiaries of the east-Pacific “El Niño” tropical connection. Despite temperatures being up to 6 or more degrees above average, the plentiful rainfall has contributed to drought improvement in many areas this week. Northern and eastern North Dakota also experienced substantial reduction in drought coverage and intensity as heavy rain fell near the Canadian border.

Looking ahead

Ongoing substantial rain was falling Tuesday morning at the onset of the new U.S. Drought Monitor week, from Arizona and New Mexico into the Central and High Plains. This excessive rainy system connected to Hurricane Polo is projected to continue eastward this week into the High Plains, Midwest, and South regions. The Weather Prediction Center has moderate threats for excessive rainfall from the Southwest into Texas, Oklahoma, northward into Nebraska and Iowa. Drought-busting rains may be possible across the South as this weather system evolves this week. Looking into the next week, the Climate Prediction Center’s 6–10-day outlook indicates that well-above average temperatures will shift into the western states, along with below normal precipitation chances. Meanwhile, above average precipitation chances are projected from southern Texas into the southeastern states, including Florida. Above average precipitation chances are also projected for southeastern Alaska, with near neutral rainfall forecasts for Hawaii.

Written by Denise Gutzmer, National Drought Mitigation Center; Jonathan Case, NASA/MSFC, UAH. The national narrative.

What this means

The five categories the Drought Monitor draws, and how the map is made.

D0 Abnormally dry
Going into or coming out of drought.
D1 Moderate drought
Some damage to crops and pastures; water shortages developing.
D2 Severe drought
Crop or pasture losses likely; water restrictions imposed.
D3 Extreme drought
Major crop and pasture losses; widespread water shortages.
D4 Exceptional drought
Exceptional and widespread losses; water emergencies.

The US Drought Monitor is drawn every week by authors at the National Drought Mitigation Center, USDA and NOAA, who weigh rainfall, soil moisture, streamflow, groundwater, vegetation health and reports from local observers. Each map shows conditions through Tuesday morning and is released on Thursday. It shows where drought is and how bad it is; it does not forecast it. CPC's outlooks do that.

Nearby

The counties bordering Ward County, with the worst category on this week's map.

Sources

Statistics and narrative from the US Drought Monitor, courtesy of the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, with USDA and NOAA. Outlooks from the NOAA Climate Prediction Center. Impacts from NDMC's State Impacts tool.