Is Valley County in a drought?
No drought
No. Valley County has no drought and no abnormally dry areas on the Drought Monitor map of Sep 29, 2026. It was last in drought the week of Sep 1, 2026.
Map valid Sep 29, 2026, released Thursday, Oct 1, 2026. The next map is due Thursday, Oct 8, 2026. Statewide, 37.8% of Montana is in drought.
This week’s map
The Drought Monitor for Montana, valid Sep 29, 2026. County lines are drawn in; the categories are the same as the national map.

- D0 Abnormally dry
- D1 Moderate drought
- D2 Severe drought
- D3 Extreme drought
- D4 Exceptional drought
Open the live map with the Drought Monitor
Map courtesy of the US Drought Monitor, NDMC-UNL, with USDA and NOAA. Original at droughtmonitor.unl.edu
This week's map, by category
Percent of Valley County in each category or worse, the Drought Monitor's own way of counting. In exactly one category this week: D0 0%, D1 0%, D2 0%, D3 0%, D4 0%; none 100%.
| Category | This weekSep 29 | Last weekSep 22 | 3 months agoJun 30 | A year agoSep 30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D0 to D4 Abnormally dry or worse | 0% | <0.1% | 100% | 100% |
| D1 to D4 Moderate or worse | 0% | 0% | 0.4% | 0% |
| D2 to D4 Severe or worse | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| D3 to D4 Extreme or worse | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| D4 Exceptional drought | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| None | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% |
The past year
Percent of Valley County in each category, week by week. Each color includes the worse categories drawn over it.
- D0 Abnormally dry
- D1 Moderate drought
- D2 Severe drought
- D3 Extreme drought
- D4 Exceptional drought
Every week in the chart
| Map | D0+ | D1+ | D2+ | D3+ | D4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Sep 22, 2026 | <0.1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Sep 15, 2026 | 86.9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Sep 8, 2026 | 86.9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Sep 1, 2026 | 95.5% | 23.3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Aug 25, 2026 | 95.5% | 23.3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Aug 18, 2026 | 100% | 23.3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Aug 11, 2026 | 100% | 23.3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Aug 4, 2026 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jul 28, 2026 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jul 21, 2026 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jul 14, 2026 | 100% | 0.4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jul 7, 2026 | 100% | 0.4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jun 30, 2026 | 100% | 0.4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jun 23, 2026 | 100% | 32.9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jun 16, 2026 | 100% | 32.9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jun 9, 2026 | 100% | 32.9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 100% | 32.9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| May 26, 2026 | 100% | 16.5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| May 19, 2026 | 100% | 8.2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| May 12, 2026 | 100% | 8.2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| May 5, 2026 | 100% | 8.2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Apr 28, 2026 | 100% | 19% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Apr 21, 2026 | 100% | 26.8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Apr 14, 2026 | 100% | 26.8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Apr 7, 2026 | 100% | 26.8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 100% | 100% | 3.5% | 0% | 0% |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 100% | 100% | 3.5% | 0% | 0% |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 100% | 100% | 3.5% | 0% | 0% |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 100% | 100% | 3.5% | 0% | 0% |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 100% | 100% | 3.5% | 0% | 0% |
| Feb 24, 2026 | 100% | 63.7% | 3.5% | 0% | 0% |
| Feb 17, 2026 | 100% | 63.7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Feb 10, 2026 | 63.7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 63.7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 63.7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 64% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 64% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 65.4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 65.4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 100% | 65.6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 100% | 65.6% | 8.2% | 0% | 0% |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 100% | 99.2% | 8.2% | 0% | 0% |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 100% | 99.2% | 8.2% | 0% | 0% |
| Nov 25, 2025 | 100% | 99.3% | 8.2% | 0% | 0% |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 100% | 99.3% | 8.2% | 0% | 0% |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 100% | 94.8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 100% | 94.9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 100% | 94.9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 100% | 66.8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 100% | 66.8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 100% | 66.8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Sep 30, 2025 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Since 2000
Every weekly map of Valley County since January 2000.
- D0 Abnormally dry
- D1 Moderate drought
- D2 Severe drought
- D3 Extreme drought
- D4 Exceptional drought
Year by year
| Year | Worst category | Most in drought | Week of | Weeks with drought |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | D2 Severe drought | 100% | Mar 3 | 26 of 39 |
| 2025 | D2 Severe drought | 100% | Jun 10 | 36 of 52 |
| 2024 | D2 Severe drought | 87.5% | Oct 15 | 30 of 53 |
| 2023 | D3 Extreme drought | 100% | Jan 3 | 35 of 52 |
| 2022 | D3 Extreme drought | 100% | Jan 4 | 48 of 52 |
| 2021 | D4 Exceptional drought | 100% | Mar 2 | 52 of 52 |
| 2020 | D2 Severe drought | 23.9% | Sep 29 | 16 of 52 |
| 2019 | D1 Moderate drought | 13.3% | Jun 18 | 1 of 53 |
| 2018 | D3 Extreme drought | 100% | Jan 2 | 41 of 52 |
| 2017 | D4 Exceptional drought | 100% | Jun 13 | 30 of 52 |
| 2016 | None | 0% | 0 of 52 | |
| 2015 | D1 Moderate drought | 10.4% | Jul 7 | 3 of 52 |
| 2014 | None | 0% | 0 of 52 | |
| 2013 | None | 0% | 0 of 53 | |
| 2012 | D0 Abnormally dry | 0% | 0 of 52 | |
| 2011 | None | 0% | 0 of 52 | |
| 2010 | D0 Abnormally dry | 0% | 0 of 52 | |
| 2009 | D2 Severe drought | 92.6% | Jun 30 | 4 of 52 |
| 2008 | D2 Severe drought | 100% | Jan 8 | 28 of 53 |
| 2007 | D1 Moderate drought | 100% | Aug 21 | 9 of 52 |
| 2006 | D2 Severe drought | 100% | Jul 18 | 16 of 52 |
| 2005 | D2 Severe drought | 100% | Feb 15 | 27 of 52 |
| 2004 | D2 Severe drought | 100% | Jan 6 | 42 of 52 |
| 2003 | D2 Severe drought | 100% | Aug 26 | 42 of 52 |
| 2002 | D3 Extreme drought | 100% | Jan 1 | 53 of 53 |
| 2001 | D2 Severe drought | 100% | Nov 13 | 44 of 52 |
| 2000 | D1 Moderate drought | 69.9% | May 30 | 12 of 52 |
Drought history since 2000
Some part of Valley County was in drought on 43% of the weekly maps since Jan 4, 2000, and exceptional drought (D4) last reached the county the week of Dec 14, 2021.
- Weeks with some drought
- 595 of 1,396 (43%)
- Worst category reached
- D4 Exceptional drought, last the week of Dec 14, 2021
- Most widespread
- 100% in drought, week of Mar 31, 2026
- Longest spell
- 95 weeks, Sep 15, 2020 to Jul 5, 2022
- Last in drought
- Week of Sep 1, 2026
Outlook
The Climate Prediction Center's drought outlooks at the center of Valley County: whether drought is expected to develop, persist, improve or end.
- Monthly outlook, Oct 2026
- No drought expected
- Seasonal outlook, through December 31 (issued Sep 30)
- No drought expected
The monthly outlook is issued on the last day of each month, the seasonal one on the third Thursday. CPC's discussion.
What drought has meant in Montana
The National Drought Mitigation Center's examples of impacts observed in Montana at each level of drought.
D0 Abnormally dry
- Fire danger increases
- Soil moisture is low, dryland crop germination is poor, pastures are dry
- Streamflow is low, affecting recreation fishing
D1 Moderate drought
- Fire restrictions are implemented
- Producers feed livestock supplemental hay; crops are stressed and growth is poor
D2 Severe drought
- Fire count and danger are high; air quality is poor, with dust and smoke
- Hay and crop yields are low; hay quality is poor; subsoil moisture is nonexistent
- Livestock ponds are low or dry; water quality is monitored; wells are stressed
- Trees and landscaping show signs of stress and lose leaves
D3 Extreme drought
- Agriculture and local business face economic loss
- Cattle have very little water; water quality is toxic
- Crops are not harvestable; winter pasture is opened for grazing; producers are hauling water and buying expensive supplemental feed, culling cattle and selling early; soil has large cracks; fields are bare
- Fire restrictions increase
D4 Exceptional drought
- Drought hotlines are in place
- Fire risk is extremely high; fires are widespread
- Pasture loss is widespread; crops are destroyed
- Property is closed for hunting
Drawn from the Drought Impact Reporter and local observers.
Burn bans and water restrictions
The Drought Monitor does not issue burn bans or water restrictions. Valley County's officials, the state forestry or fire agency, and local water utilities set them, often once drought reaches D2 or dry fuels raise the fire danger. Check the county's emergency management office or fire marshal for a ban in force, and the alerts page for red flag warnings and fire weather watches.
This week in the West
The Drought Monitor authors' narrative for the map of Sep 29, 2026, released Oct 1, 2026.
Outside of Arizona, New Mexico, and Colorado, which experienced deep and substantial drought-busting rainfall this past week, the western states generally had unchanging drought conditions. The Pacific Northwestern states of Washington and Oregon began experiencing the first of its fall rainy systems, helping to ease drought pressure across western Oregon, where drought was downgraded in a couple spots. Drought and dryness also improved in southwest Montana and northwest Wyoming this past week.
Looking ahead
Ongoing substantial rain was falling Tuesday morning at the onset of the new U.S. Drought Monitor week, from Arizona and New Mexico into the Central and High Plains. This excessive rainy system connected to Hurricane Polo is projected to continue eastward this week into the High Plains, Midwest, and South regions. The Weather Prediction Center has moderate threats for excessive rainfall from the Southwest into Texas, Oklahoma, northward into Nebraska and Iowa. Drought-busting rains may be possible across the South as this weather system evolves this week. Looking into the next week, the Climate Prediction Center’s 6–10-day outlook indicates that well-above average temperatures will shift into the western states, along with below normal precipitation chances. Meanwhile, above average precipitation chances are projected from southern Texas into the southeastern states, including Florida. Above average precipitation chances are also projected for southeastern Alaska, with near neutral rainfall forecasts for Hawaii.
Written by Denise Gutzmer, National Drought Mitigation Center; Jonathan Case, NASA/MSFC, UAH. The national narrative.
What this means
The five categories the Drought Monitor draws, and how the map is made.
- D0 Abnormally dry
- Going into or coming out of drought.
- D1 Moderate drought
- Some damage to crops and pastures; water shortages developing.
- D2 Severe drought
- Crop or pasture losses likely; water restrictions imposed.
- D3 Extreme drought
- Major crop and pasture losses; widespread water shortages.
- D4 Exceptional drought
- Exceptional and widespread losses; water emergencies.
The US Drought Monitor is drawn every week by authors at the National Drought Mitigation Center, USDA and NOAA, who weigh rainfall, soil moisture, streamflow, groundwater, vegetation health and reports from local observers. Each map shows conditions through Tuesday morning and is released on Thursday. It shows where drought is and how bad it is; it does not forecast it. CPC's outlooks do that.
Nearby
The counties bordering Valley County, with the worst category on this week's map.
Sources
Statistics and narrative from the US Drought Monitor, courtesy of the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, with USDA and NOAA. Outlooks from the NOAA Climate Prediction Center. Impacts from NDMC's State Impacts tool.