Is Lawrence County in a drought?
D3 Extreme drought
Yes. All of Lawrence County is in drought on the Drought Monitor map of Sep 29, 2026, the worst of it extreme drought (D3). That is unchanged from a week earlier. It has been in drought since the week of Aug 18, 2026.
Map valid Sep 29, 2026, released Thursday, Oct 1, 2026. The next map is due Thursday, Oct 8, 2026. Statewide, 45.4% of Missouri is in drought.
This week’s map
The Drought Monitor for Missouri, valid Sep 29, 2026. County lines are drawn in; the categories are the same as the national map.

- D0 Abnormally dry
- D1 Moderate drought
- D2 Severe drought
- D3 Extreme drought
- D4 Exceptional drought
Open the live map with the Drought Monitor
Map courtesy of the US Drought Monitor, NDMC-UNL, with USDA and NOAA. Original at droughtmonitor.unl.edu
This week's map, by category
Percent of Lawrence County in each category or worse, the Drought Monitor's own way of counting. In exactly one category this week: D0 0%, D1 0%, D2 0%, D3 100%, D4 0%; none 0%.
| Category | This weekSep 29 | Last weekSep 22 | 3 months agoJun 30 | A year agoSep 30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D0 to D4 Abnormally dry or worse | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% |
| D1 to D4 Moderate or worse | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% |
| D2 to D4 Severe or worse | 100% | 100% | 0% | 35.3% |
| D3 to D4 Extreme or worse | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% |
| D4 Exceptional drought | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| None | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% |
The past year
Percent of Lawrence County in each category, week by week. Each color includes the worse categories drawn over it.
- D0 Abnormally dry
- D1 Moderate drought
- D2 Severe drought
- D3 Extreme drought
- D4 Exceptional drought
Every week in the chart
| Map | D0+ | D1+ | D2+ | D3+ | D4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% |
| Sep 22, 2026 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% |
| Sep 15, 2026 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 78.1% | 0% |
| Sep 8, 2026 | 100% | 100% | 87.9% | 80.8% | 0% |
| Sep 1, 2026 | 100% | 100% | 80.8% | 0% | 0% |
| Aug 25, 2026 | 100% | 99.9% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Aug 18, 2026 | 100% | 77.1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Aug 11, 2026 | 77.1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Aug 4, 2026 | 25.8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jul 28, 2026 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jul 21, 2026 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jul 14, 2026 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jul 7, 2026 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jun 30, 2026 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jun 23, 2026 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jun 16, 2026 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jun 9, 2026 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jun 2, 2026 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| May 26, 2026 | 95.9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| May 19, 2026 | 95.9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| May 12, 2026 | 0.5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| May 5, 2026 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Apr 28, 2026 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Apr 21, 2026 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Apr 14, 2026 | 3.5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Apr 7, 2026 | 3.1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 100% | 0.5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 100% | 0.5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 100% | 0.5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 100% | 44.5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 100% | 100% | 43.8% | 0% | 0% |
| Feb 24, 2026 | 100% | 100% | 43.8% | 0% | 0% |
| Feb 17, 2026 | 100% | 100% | 43.8% | 0% | 0% |
| Feb 10, 2026 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 100% | 100% | 56.3% | 0% | 0% |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 100% | 100% | 48.2% | 0% | 0% |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 100% | 95.8% | 48.2% | 0% | 0% |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 100% | 95% | 48.2% | 0% | 0% |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 100% | 95% | 47.9% | 0% | 0% |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 100% | 95% | 47.9% | 0% | 0% |
| Nov 25, 2025 | 100% | 95% | 47.9% | 0% | 0% |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 100% | 95% | 63.9% | 0% | 0% |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 100% | 95% | 63.9% | 0% | 0% |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 100% | 95% | 63.9% | 0% | 0% |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 100% | 95% | 63.9% | 0% | 0% |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 100% | 95.1% | 63.9% | 0% | 0% |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 100% | 100% | 63.9% | 0% | 0% |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 100% | 100% | 37.3% | 0% | 0% |
| Sep 30, 2025 | 100% | 100% | 35.3% | 0% | 0% |
Since 2000
Every weekly map of Lawrence County since January 2000.
- D0 Abnormally dry
- D1 Moderate drought
- D2 Severe drought
- D3 Extreme drought
- D4 Exceptional drought
Year by year
| Year | Worst category | Most in drought | Week of | Weeks with drought |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | D3 Extreme drought | 100% | Jan 6 | 20 of 39 |
| 2025 | D2 Severe drought | 100% | Mar 25 | 33 of 52 |
| 2024 | D3 Extreme drought | 100% | Sep 17 | 19 of 53 |
| 2023 | D2 Severe drought | 80.3% | Jul 25 | 19 of 52 |
| 2022 | D4 Exceptional drought | 100% | Jul 12 | 26 of 52 |
| 2021 | D0 Abnormally dry | 0% | 0 of 52 | |
| 2020 | D3 Extreme drought | 100% | Sep 22 | 16 of 52 |
| 2019 | D0 Abnormally dry | 0% | 0 of 53 | |
| 2018 | D3 Extreme drought | 100% | Jul 17 | 28 of 52 |
| 2017 | D1 Moderate drought | 100% | Jan 3 | 19 of 52 |
| 2016 | D1 Moderate drought | 100% | Dec 27 | 1 of 52 |
| 2015 | D0 Abnormally dry | 0% | 0 of 52 | |
| 2014 | D1 Moderate drought | 100% | May 6 | 24 of 52 |
| 2013 | D2 Severe drought | 100% | Jan 1 | 15 of 53 |
| 2012 | D4 Exceptional drought | 100% | Jul 17 | 28 of 52 |
| 2011 | D2 Severe drought | 100% | Aug 2 | 19 of 52 |
| 2010 | None | 0% | 0 of 52 | |
| 2009 | None | 0% | 0 of 52 | |
| 2008 | None | 0% | 0 of 53 | |
| 2007 | D0 Abnormally dry | 0% | 0 of 52 | |
| 2006 | D3 Extreme drought | 100% | Jan 3 | 45 of 52 |
| 2005 | D2 Severe drought | 100% | Jul 26 | 13 of 52 |
| 2004 | D1 Moderate drought | 100% | Oct 5 | 4 of 52 |
| 2003 | D1 Moderate drought | 100% | Jan 7 | 11 of 52 |
| 2002 | D2 Severe drought | 100% | Oct 8 | 13 of 53 |
| 2001 | D0 Abnormally dry | 0% | 0 of 52 | |
| 2000 | D2 Severe drought | 100% | May 2 | 14 of 52 |
Drought history since 2000
Some part of Lawrence County was in drought on 26% of the weekly maps since Jan 4, 2000, and exceptional drought (D4) last reached the county the week of Oct 18, 2022.
- Weeks with some drought
- 367 of 1,396 (26%)
- Worst category reached
- D4 Exceptional drought, last the week of Oct 18, 2022
- Most widespread
- 100% in drought, week of Sep 29, 2026
- Longest spell
- 43 weeks, Jun 19, 2012 to Apr 9, 2013
- Current spell
- 7 weeks, since Aug 18, 2026
Outlook
The Climate Prediction Center's drought outlooks at the center of Lawrence County: whether drought is expected to develop, persist, improve or end.
- Monthly outlook, Oct 2026
- Drought remains but improves
- Seasonal outlook, through December 31 (issued Sep 30)
- Drought remains but improves
The monthly outlook is issued on the last day of each month, the seasonal one on the third Thursday. CPC's discussion.
What drought has meant in Missouri
The National Drought Mitigation Center's examples of impacts observed in Missouri at each level of drought, starting with this week's worst here.
D3 Extreme drought This week
- Building foundation damage occurs
- Burn bans are common; fires spread easily
- Corn is high in nitrates; major crop loss is reported; hay and water for cattle is limited; hay is expensive; producers are hauling water
- Mature tree death is common; insect populations decrease; fish kills occur
- Ponds are dried; wells are drying; large lakes and reservoirs are extremely low; mandatory water restrictions are implemented
D0 Abnormally dry
- Canoe business declines
- Fires increase
- Landscaping is stressed; lawns are brown; birds show signs of stress
- Pasture and row crop growth is stunted; planting is delayed
- River levels decline
D1 Moderate drought
- Fire threat increases; burn bans begin
- Pond and river levels decline
- Topsoil is dry; corn yield is small; pastures are not growing; crops are stressed
- Urban watering is extensive
D2 Severe drought
- Soil cracks are large and deep; corn and soybeans are cut for silage
- Surface water levels are very low; low reservoirs are noticeable; voluntary city water restrictions are requested
- Trees are stressed
- Vegetable produce is smaller and yields are decreased
D4 Exceptional drought
- Agriculture loss is widespread
- Bird hunting decreases
- Cattle sales increase; cattle are lighter at auctions; producers are culling; premature birthing is reported
- Landscape goes dormant
- People are digging deeper and more wells, extending pipelines; Lack of hydropower causes electrical failures
- People are in a state of desperation
Drawn from the Drought Impact Reporter and local observers.
Burn bans and water restrictions
The Drought Monitor does not issue burn bans or water restrictions. Lawrence County's officials, the state forestry or fire agency, and local water utilities set them, often once drought reaches D2 or dry fuels raise the fire danger. Check the county's emergency management office or fire marshal for a ban in force, and the alerts page for red flag warnings and fire weather watches.
This week in the Midwest
The Drought Monitor authors' narrative for the map of Sep 29, 2026, released Oct 1, 2026.
The Midwestern states covered a broad range of conditions ranging from extreme to exceptional drought in northern Wisconsin, to excessive wetness from prolific rainfall all summer from Iowa to Ohio, where very little drought or abnormal dryness is present this week. This persistent storm track has separated the southern drought from the northern drought. This past week, the long-term drought in Minnesota experienced some relief as up to 5 inches or more of rain fell over an area of severe to extreme drought near the North Dakota border, leading to relief there. Northwestern Minnesota completely relaxed out of drought this week as more beneficial rain fell there. Extreme to exceptional drought persisted in northern Wisconsin where little rain fell this past week. The drought also spread this past week into Michigan’s Upper Peninsula with an unusual lack of rainfall in late September intensified drought to between moderate and extreme levels. Nearly 15 inches of rain needs to fall in a 3-month span to fully recover from the present drought in northern Wisconsin and the upper peninsula of Michigan. Drought also continued to intensify this week across southern Missouri.
Looking ahead
Ongoing substantial rain was falling Tuesday morning at the onset of the new U.S. Drought Monitor week, from Arizona and New Mexico into the Central and High Plains. This excessive rainy system connected to Hurricane Polo is projected to continue eastward this week into the High Plains, Midwest, and South regions. The Weather Prediction Center has moderate threats for excessive rainfall from the Southwest into Texas, Oklahoma, northward into Nebraska and Iowa. Drought-busting rains may be possible across the South as this weather system evolves this week. Looking into the next week, the Climate Prediction Center’s 6–10-day outlook indicates that well-above average temperatures will shift into the western states, along with below normal precipitation chances. Meanwhile, above average precipitation chances are projected from southern Texas into the southeastern states, including Florida. Above average precipitation chances are also projected for southeastern Alaska, with near neutral rainfall forecasts for Hawaii.
Written by Denise Gutzmer, National Drought Mitigation Center; Jonathan Case, NASA/MSFC, UAH. The national narrative.
What this means
The five categories the Drought Monitor draws, and how the map is made.
- D0 Abnormally dry
- Going into or coming out of drought.
- D1 Moderate drought
- Some damage to crops and pastures; water shortages developing.
- D2 Severe drought
- Crop or pasture losses likely; water restrictions imposed.
- D3 Extreme drought
- Major crop and pasture losses; widespread water shortages.
- D4 Exceptional drought
- Exceptional and widespread losses; water emergencies.
The US Drought Monitor is drawn every week by authors at the National Drought Mitigation Center, USDA and NOAA, who weigh rainfall, soil moisture, streamflow, groundwater, vegetation health and reports from local observers. Each map shows conditions through Tuesday morning and is released on Thursday. It shows where drought is and how bad it is; it does not forecast it. CPC's outlooks do that.
Nearby
The counties bordering Lawrence County, with the worst category on this week's map.
Sources
Statistics and narrative from the US Drought Monitor, courtesy of the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, with USDA and NOAA. Outlooks from the NOAA Climate Prediction Center. Impacts from NDMC's State Impacts tool.