Minnesota drought

Is Douglas County in a drought?

D1 Moderate drought

Yes. 92.3% of Douglas County is in drought on the Drought Monitor map of Sep 29, 2026, the worst of it moderate drought (D1). The share in drought shrank from 100% a week earlier. It has been in drought since the week of Jul 28, 2026.

Map valid Sep 29, 2026, released Thursday, Oct 1, 2026. The next map is due Thursday, Oct 8, 2026. Statewide, 63.6% of Minnesota is in drought.

Douglas County forecastWeather alertsLive radar here

This week’s map

The Drought Monitor for Minnesota, valid Sep 29, 2026. County lines are drawn in; the categories are the same as the national map.

US Drought Monitor map of Minnesota for Sep 29, 2026, shaded D0 abnormally dry through D4 exceptional drought
  • D0 Abnormally dry
  • D1 Moderate drought
  • D2 Severe drought
  • D3 Extreme drought
  • D4 Exceptional drought

Open the live map with the Drought Monitor

Map courtesy of the US Drought Monitor, NDMC-UNL, with USDA and NOAA. Original at droughtmonitor.unl.edu

This week's map, by category

Percent of Douglas County in each category or worse, the Drought Monitor's own way of counting. In exactly one category this week: D0 7.7%, D1 92.3%, D2 0%, D3 0%, D4 0%; none 0%.

CategoryThis weekSep 29Last weekSep 223 months agoJun 30A year agoSep 30
D0 to D4 Abnormally dry or worse100%100%0%0%
D1 to D4 Moderate or worse92.3%100%0%0%
D2 to D4 Severe or worse0%0%0%0%
D3 to D4 Extreme or worse0%0%0%0%
D4 Exceptional drought0%0%0%0%
None0%0%100%100%

The past year

Percent of Douglas County in each category, week by week. Each color includes the worse categories drawn over it.

Percent of Douglas County in drought categories from Sep 30, 2025 to Sep 29, 2026. On the latest map, 92.3% is in drought (D1 or worse) and 100% is abnormally dry or worse.0%25%50%75%100%OctNovDec2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep
  • D0 Abnormally dry
  • D1 Moderate drought
  • D2 Severe drought
  • D3 Extreme drought
  • D4 Exceptional drought
Every week in the chart
MapD0+D1+D2+D3+D4+
Sep 29, 2026100%92.3%0%0%0%
Sep 22, 2026100%100%0%0%0%
Sep 15, 2026100%100%0%0%0%
Sep 8, 2026100%100%0%0%0%
Sep 1, 2026100%100%0%0%0%
Aug 25, 2026100%100%0%0%0%
Aug 18, 2026100%96.2%0%0%0%
Aug 11, 2026100%96.2%0%0%0%
Aug 4, 2026100%1.6%0%0%0%
Jul 28, 2026100%1.6%0%0%0%
Jul 21, 20265.6%0%0%0%0%
Jul 14, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Jul 7, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Jun 30, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Jun 23, 2026<0.1%0%0%0%0%
Jun 16, 2026<0.1%0%0%0%0%
Jun 9, 2026<0.1%0%0%0%0%
Jun 2, 2026<0.1%0%0%0%0%
May 26, 20260%0%0%0%0%
May 19, 20260%0%0%0%0%
May 12, 20260%0%0%0%0%
May 5, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Apr 28, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Apr 21, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Apr 14, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Apr 7, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Mar 31, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Mar 24, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Mar 17, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Mar 10, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Mar 3, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Feb 24, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Feb 17, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Feb 10, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Feb 3, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Jan 27, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Jan 20, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Jan 13, 20260%0%0%0%0%
Jan 6, 20260.1%0%0%0%0%
Dec 30, 20250.1%0%0%0%0%
Dec 23, 202548.6%0%0%0%0%
Dec 16, 202548.6%0%0%0%0%
Dec 9, 202548.6%0%0%0%0%
Dec 2, 202548.6%0%0%0%0%
Nov 25, 202548.6%0%0%0%0%
Nov 18, 202548.6%0%0%0%0%
Nov 11, 20252.4%0%0%0%0%
Nov 4, 20252.5%0%0%0%0%
Oct 28, 20252.5%0%0%0%0%
Oct 21, 20252.5%0%0%0%0%
Oct 14, 20252.5%0%0%0%0%
Oct 7, 20250.1%0%0%0%0%
Sep 30, 20250%0%0%0%0%

Since 2000

Every weekly map of Douglas County since January 2000.

Percent of Douglas County in drought categories from Jan 4, 2000 to Sep 29, 2026. On the latest map, 92.3% is in drought (D1 or worse) and 100% is abnormally dry or worse.0%25%50%75%100%200420082012201620202024
  • D0 Abnormally dry
  • D1 Moderate drought
  • D2 Severe drought
  • D3 Extreme drought
  • D4 Exceptional drought
Year by year
YearWorst categoryMost in droughtWeek ofWeeks with drought
2026D1 Moderate drought100%Aug 2510 of 39
2025D1 Moderate drought30.8%Mar 2519 of 52
2024D2 Severe drought100%Oct 2230 of 53
2023D2 Severe drought100%Jun 2040 of 52
2022D1 Moderate drought72.1%Oct 416 of 52
2021D3 Extreme drought100%Jun 821 of 52
2020D1 Moderate drought100%Jun 1613 of 52
2019None0%0 of 53
2018D1 Moderate drought3.9%Feb 64 of 52
2017D0 Abnormally dry0%0 of 52
2016D2 Severe drought71.6%Jul 54 of 52
2015D2 Severe drought100%Mar 1710 of 52
2014D1 Moderate drought27%Apr 1516 of 52
2013D2 Severe drought100%Jan 140 of 53
2012D2 Severe drought100%Jan 2433 of 52
2011D1 Moderate drought4.7%Dec 64 of 52
2010None0%0 of 52
2009D1 Moderate drought91.7%Sep 2217 of 52
2008D1 Moderate drought30.2%Jan 114 of 53
2007D3 Extreme drought100%Jul 3132 of 52
2006D3 Extreme drought100%Jul 1825 of 52
2005D0 Abnormally dry0%0 of 52
2004D2 Severe drought100%Jan 621 of 52
2003D2 Severe drought100%Mar 1824 of 52
2002D0 Abnormally dry0%0 of 53
2001D0 Abnormally dry0%0 of 52
2000D1 Moderate drought100%Feb 116 of 52

Drought history since 2000

Some part of Douglas County was in drought on 29% of the weekly maps since Jan 4, 2000.

Weeks with some drought
409 of 1,396 (29%)
Worst category reached
D3 Extreme drought, last the week of Aug 24, 2021
Most widespread
100% in drought, week of Sep 22, 2026
Longest spell
46 weeks, Jun 6, 2023 to Apr 16, 2024
Current spell
10 weeks, since Jul 28, 2026

Outlook

The Climate Prediction Center's drought outlooks at the center of Douglas County: whether drought is expected to develop, persist, improve or end.

Monthly outlook, Oct 2026
Drought removal likely
Seasonal outlook, through December 31 (issued Sep 30)
Drought removal likely

The monthly outlook is issued on the last day of each month, the seasonal one on the third Thursday. CPC's discussion.

What drought has meant in Minnesota

The National Drought Mitigation Center's examples of impacts observed in Minnesota at each level of drought, starting with this week's worst here.

D1 Moderate drought This week

  • River and lake levels are lower than normal
  • Winter snow events are canceled

D0 Abnormally dry

  • Fire danger increases
  • Lake and river levels decline; water temperatures rise
  • Soil moisture is low; pasture and row crops are stressed
  • Weather is good for construction projects

D2 Severe drought

  • Bears search for food; trout runs are hampered; fish kills occur
  • Fire danger is high; burn permits are required
  • Ground is hard; seed corn is short; feed is expensive; crop yields are low
  • Landscaping is stressed; leaves change colors early
  • River flow is very low; snowpack is significantly lower; well levels decrease

D3 Extreme drought

  • Corn is harvested early; emergency haying and grazing are authorized
  • Surface waters are near record lows
  • Wildfires are widespread

Drawn from the Drought Impact Reporter and local observers.

Burn bans and water restrictions

The Drought Monitor does not issue burn bans or water restrictions. Douglas County's officials, the state forestry or fire agency, and local water utilities set them, often once drought reaches D2 or dry fuels raise the fire danger. Check the county's emergency management office or fire marshal for a ban in force, and the alerts page for red flag warnings and fire weather watches.

This week in the Midwest

The Drought Monitor authors' narrative for the map of Sep 29, 2026, released Oct 1, 2026.

The Midwestern states covered a broad range of conditions ranging from extreme to exceptional drought in northern Wisconsin, to excessive wetness from prolific rainfall all summer from Iowa to Ohio, where very little drought or abnormal dryness is present this week. This persistent storm track has separated the southern drought from the northern drought. This past week, the long-term drought in Minnesota experienced some relief as up to 5 inches or more of rain fell over an area of severe to extreme drought near the North Dakota border, leading to relief there. Northwestern Minnesota completely relaxed out of drought this week as more beneficial rain fell there. Extreme to exceptional drought persisted in northern Wisconsin where little rain fell this past week. The drought also spread this past week into Michigan’s Upper Peninsula with an unusual lack of rainfall in late September intensified drought to between moderate and extreme levels. Nearly 15 inches of rain needs to fall in a 3-month span to fully recover from the present drought in northern Wisconsin and the upper peninsula of Michigan. Drought also continued to intensify this week across southern Missouri.

Looking ahead

Ongoing substantial rain was falling Tuesday morning at the onset of the new U.S. Drought Monitor week, from Arizona and New Mexico into the Central and High Plains. This excessive rainy system connected to Hurricane Polo is projected to continue eastward this week into the High Plains, Midwest, and South regions. The Weather Prediction Center has moderate threats for excessive rainfall from the Southwest into Texas, Oklahoma, northward into Nebraska and Iowa. Drought-busting rains may be possible across the South as this weather system evolves this week. Looking into the next week, the Climate Prediction Center’s 6–10-day outlook indicates that well-above average temperatures will shift into the western states, along with below normal precipitation chances. Meanwhile, above average precipitation chances are projected from southern Texas into the southeastern states, including Florida. Above average precipitation chances are also projected for southeastern Alaska, with near neutral rainfall forecasts for Hawaii.

Written by Denise Gutzmer, National Drought Mitigation Center; Jonathan Case, NASA/MSFC, UAH. The national narrative.

What this means

The five categories the Drought Monitor draws, and how the map is made.

D0 Abnormally dry
Going into or coming out of drought.
D1 Moderate drought
Some damage to crops and pastures; water shortages developing.
D2 Severe drought
Crop or pasture losses likely; water restrictions imposed.
D3 Extreme drought
Major crop and pasture losses; widespread water shortages.
D4 Exceptional drought
Exceptional and widespread losses; water emergencies.

The US Drought Monitor is drawn every week by authors at the National Drought Mitigation Center, USDA and NOAA, who weigh rainfall, soil moisture, streamflow, groundwater, vegetation health and reports from local observers. Each map shows conditions through Tuesday morning and is released on Thursday. It shows where drought is and how bad it is; it does not forecast it. CPC's outlooks do that.

Nearby

The counties bordering Douglas County, with the worst category on this week's map.

Sources

Statistics and narrative from the US Drought Monitor, courtesy of the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, with USDA and NOAA. Outlooks from the NOAA Climate Prediction Center. Impacts from NDMC's State Impacts tool.