Essex County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for N Stratford. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 19 and the first fall freeze around September 29, a growing season of about 131 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 1, first September 17
- Median at 32°F
- last May 19, first September 29
- Median at 28°F
- last May 4, first October 7
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 15 | Jun 10 | Jun 6 | Jun 3 | Jun 1 | May 29 | May 26 | May 23 | May 18 |
| 32°F | Jun 2 | May 28 | May 24 | May 22 | May 19 | May 16 | May 12 | May 8 | May 2 |
| 28°F | May 19 | May 14 | May 10 | May 6 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 |
| 24°F | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 |
| 20°F | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 |
| 16°F | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 4 | Sep 7 | Sep 11 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 29 |
| 32°F | Sep 15 | Sep 19 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 |
| 28°F | Sep 26 | Oct 1 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 24 |
| 24°F | Oct 6 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 |
| 20°F | Oct 17 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 |
| 16°F | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 126 | 120 | 116 | 111 | 107 | 103 | 99 | 95 | 88 |
| 32°F | 151 | 144 | 139 | 134 | 131 | 127 | 123 | 118 | 112 |
| 28°F | 175 | 169 | 164 | 159 | 156 | 152 | 149 | 144 | 138 |
| 24°F | 199 | 193 | 188 | 183 | 179 | 176 | 172 | 167 | 161 |
| 20°F | 220 | 214 | 210 | 206 | 203 | 199 | 196 | 191 | 185 |
| 16°F | 239 | 233 | 229 | 226 | 222 | 219 | 214 | 210 | 204 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,735
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 259
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,594
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,662
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,851
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,164
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 625
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,595 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,394 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,220 | 0 | 2 |
| April | 748 | 1 | 23 |
| May | 382 | 10 | 155 |
| June | 130 | 49 | 372 |
| July | 42 | 102 | 525 |
| August | 69 | 73 | 470 |
| September | 247 | 23 | 248 |
| October | 618 | 1 | 50 |
| November | 948 | 0 | 6 |
| December | 1,344 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 12.9 km from Essex County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00276234 (N Stratford). Public domain.