Lobelville Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Lobelville. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 13 and the first fall freeze around October 24, a growing season of about 195 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 25, first October 16
- Median at 32°F
- last April 13, first October 24
- Median at 28°F
- last April 2, first November 2
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 9 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 |
| 32°F | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 28 |
| 28°F | Apr 17 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 15 |
| 24°F | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Feb 26 |
| 20°F | Mar 23 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 19 | Feb 11 |
| 16°F | Mar 13 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 19 | Feb 13 | Feb 7 | Feb 1 | Jan 23 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 |
| 32°F | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 |
| 28°F | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 26 | Dec 3 |
| 20°F | Nov 8 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 12 | Dec 25 |
| 16°F | Nov 18 | Nov 26 | Dec 2 | Dec 8 | Dec 14 | Dec 23 | Dec 30 | Jan 5 | Jan 15 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 193 | 186 | 181 | 178 | 174 | 170 | 166 | 160 | 152 |
| 32°F | 216 | 209 | 204 | 199 | 195 | 191 | 187 | 182 | 176 |
| 28°F | 239 | 229 | 223 | 220 | 215 | 212 | 207 | 203 | 195 |
| 24°F | 267 | 257 | 250 | 244 | 240 | 235 | 229 | 224 | 215 |
| 20°F | 301 | 289 | 281 | 274 | 267 | 260 | 254 | 248 | 240 |
| 16°F | 331 | 320 | 312 | 305 | 299 | 292 | 285 | 276 | 264 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 99% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,803
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,409
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,151
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,689
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,384
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,238
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,248
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 848 | 1 | 23 |
| February | 652 | 1 | 34 |
| March | 496 | 5 | 109 |
| April | 237 | 30 | 271 |
| May | 68 | 113 | 511 |
| June | 5 | 275 | 720 |
| July | 0 | 400 | 865 |
| August | 1 | 365 | 829 |
| September | 27 | 182 | 605 |
| October | 223 | 37 | 302 |
| November | 515 | 2 | 80 |
| December | 732 | 1 | 36 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 2.4 km from Lobelville. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00405358 (Lobelville). Public domain.