Fairfield Glade Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Lancing 6 Nw. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 21 and the first fall freeze around October 17, a growing season of about 177 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 4, first October 8
- Median at 32°F
- last April 21, first October 17
- Median at 28°F
- last April 5, first October 27
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 22 | May 16 | May 12 | May 8 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 17 |
| 32°F | May 12 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 4 |
| 28°F | Apr 27 | Apr 19 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 20 |
| 24°F | Apr 12 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 11 | Feb 28 |
| 20°F | Apr 1 | Mar 27 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 | Feb 16 |
| 16°F | Mar 21 | Mar 14 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 26 | Feb 20 | Feb 14 | Feb 8 | Jan 31 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 |
| 32°F | Oct 4 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 30 |
| 28°F | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 11 |
| 24°F | Oct 24 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 28 |
| 20°F | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 15 |
| 16°F | Nov 14 | Nov 21 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 20 | Dec 28 | Jan 4 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 178 | 171 | 166 | 162 | 158 | 154 | 149 | 143 | 136 |
| 32°F | 201 | 192 | 187 | 182 | 177 | 173 | 167 | 162 | 152 |
| 28°F | 226 | 217 | 212 | 207 | 203 | 198 | 191 | 184 | 176 |
| 24°F | 255 | 245 | 239 | 234 | 228 | 223 | 217 | 212 | 205 |
| 20°F | 287 | 275 | 268 | 261 | 255 | 249 | 243 | 236 | 226 |
| 16°F | 319 | 307 | 299 | 292 | 284 | 277 | 270 | 261 | 250 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,313
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 980
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,356
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,957
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,723
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,655
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,739
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 902 | 0 | 12 |
| February | 722 | 0 | 16 |
| March | 569 | 3 | 85 |
| April | 301 | 21 | 221 |
| May | 116 | 73 | 426 |
| June | 13 | 196 | 633 |
| July | 1 | 289 | 753 |
| August | 2 | 261 | 724 |
| September | 48 | 120 | 522 |
| October | 275 | 17 | 242 |
| November | 563 | 1 | 67 |
| December | 800 | 0 | 21 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 21.9 km from Fairfield Glade. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00405040 (Lancing 6 Nw). Public domain.