Porcupine Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Porcupine 11 N. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 17 and the first fall freeze around September 25, a growing season of about 130 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 28, first September 16
- Median at 32°F
- last May 17, first September 25
- Median at 28°F
- last May 7, first October 3
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 16 | Jun 9 | Jun 3 | May 31 | May 28 | May 25 | May 22 | May 19 | May 15 |
| 32°F | Jun 1 | May 27 | May 23 | May 19 | May 17 | May 14 | May 11 | May 8 | May 3 |
| 28°F | May 22 | May 17 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 24 |
| 24°F | May 14 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 |
| 20°F | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 3 |
| 16°F | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 | Mar 22 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 1 | Sep 5 | Sep 9 | Sep 13 | Sep 16 | Sep 18 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 29 |
| 32°F | Sep 10 | Sep 15 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 |
| 28°F | Sep 19 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 |
| 24°F | Sep 28 | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 |
| 20°F | Oct 5 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 |
| 16°F | Oct 14 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 130 | 123 | 118 | 114 | 109 | 105 | 100 | 94 | 83 |
| 32°F | 149 | 142 | 138 | 134 | 130 | 126 | 121 | 116 | 108 |
| 28°F | 166 | 160 | 156 | 152 | 148 | 144 | 140 | 135 | 129 |
| 24°F | 185 | 178 | 173 | 169 | 165 | 161 | 157 | 152 | 144 |
| 20°F | 205 | 198 | 192 | 187 | 183 | 179 | 175 | 170 | 162 |
| 16°F | 226 | 216 | 211 | 206 | 202 | 197 | 192 | 187 | 178 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,230
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 690
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,573
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,514
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,605
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,834
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,191
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,287 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,083 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 899 | 0 | 21 |
| April | 615 | 1 | 61 |
| May | 321 | 19 | 216 |
| June | 84 | 106 | 475 |
| July | 17 | 268 | 716 |
| August | 27 | 223 | 663 |
| September | 178 | 70 | 359 |
| October | 567 | 3 | 83 |
| November | 912 | 0 | 12 |
| December | 1,241 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 17.9 km from Porcupine. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00396736 (Porcupine 11 N). Public domain.