Lower Brule Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Lake Sharpe Prj. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 6 and the first fall freeze around October 5, a growing season of about 152 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 16, first September 28
- Median at 32°F
- last May 6, first October 5
- Median at 28°F
- last April 28, first October 16
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 30 | May 25 | May 22 | May 18 | May 16 | May 13 | May 11 | May 8 | May 4 |
| 32°F | May 20 | May 15 | May 11 | May 9 | May 6 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 |
| 28°F | May 10 | May 5 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 |
| 24°F | May 2 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 |
| 20°F | Apr 23 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 22 |
| 16°F | Apr 15 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 12 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 11 |
| 32°F | Sep 23 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 |
| 28°F | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 30 |
| 24°F | Oct 10 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 |
| 20°F | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 |
| 16°F | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 151 | 146 | 142 | 138 | 135 | 131 | 127 | 122 | 116 |
| 32°F | 169 | 163 | 160 | 156 | 152 | 149 | 145 | 141 | 134 |
| 28°F | 190 | 183 | 178 | 175 | 171 | 166 | 162 | 157 | 152 |
| 24°F | 210 | 203 | 198 | 194 | 190 | 185 | 181 | 176 | 169 |
| 20°F | 229 | 220 | 216 | 213 | 208 | 204 | 199 | 195 | 187 |
| 16°F | 248 | 239 | 234 | 229 | 225 | 220 | 216 | 211 | 203 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,441
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 802
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,827
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,780
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,853
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,048
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,363
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,452 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,201 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 988 | 0 | 9 |
| April | 596 | 1 | 56 |
| May | 259 | 27 | 264 |
| June | 50 | 134 | 535 |
| July | 7 | 297 | 755 |
| August | 13 | 250 | 702 |
| September | 124 | 89 | 422 |
| October | 507 | 5 | 103 |
| November | 917 | 0 | 8 |
| December | 1,328 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 9.8 km from Lower Brule. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00394766 (Lake Sharpe Prj). Public domain.