Hill City Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Hill City. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around June 1 and the first fall freeze around September 10, a growing season of about 102 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 18, first September 1
- Median at 32°F
- last June 1, first September 10
- Median at 28°F
- last May 18, first September 21
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jul 7 | Jul 1 | Jun 26 | Jun 21 | Jun 18 | Jun 14 | Jun 10 | Jun 5 | May 31 |
| 32°F | Jun 19 | Jun 12 | Jun 7 | Jun 3 | Jun 1 | May 29 | May 25 | May 22 | May 18 |
| 28°F | Jun 1 | May 28 | May 25 | May 21 | May 18 | May 15 | May 13 | May 10 | May 6 |
| 24°F | May 19 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 6 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 |
| 20°F | May 8 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 |
| 16°F | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Mar 31 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 12 | Aug 20 | Aug 25 | Aug 29 | Sep 1 | Sep 2 | Sep 5 | Sep 9 | Sep 14 |
| 32°F | Aug 29 | Sep 2 | Sep 5 | Sep 7 | Sep 10 | Sep 13 | Sep 17 | Sep 21 | Sep 26 |
| 28°F | Sep 6 | Sep 11 | Sep 15 | Sep 18 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 6 |
| 24°F | Sep 16 | Sep 21 | Sep 25 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 |
| 20°F | Sep 25 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 |
| 16°F | Oct 5 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 94 | 88 | 83 | 78 | 73 | 67 | 62 | 56 | 46 |
| 32°F | 121 | 114 | 110 | 106 | 102 | 96 | 92 | 86 | 76 |
| 28°F | 146 | 138 | 134 | 130 | 126 | 122 | 117 | 111 | 105 |
| 24°F | 168 | 161 | 156 | 152 | 148 | 144 | 140 | 134 | 127 |
| 20°F | 190 | 182 | 178 | 173 | 170 | 166 | 161 | 155 | 146 |
| 16°F | 210 | 203 | 197 | 193 | 189 | 185 | 180 | 174 | 167 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,881
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 227
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,467
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,496
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,697
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,053
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 558
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,239 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,107 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 960 | 0 | 4 |
| April | 719 | 0 | 15 |
| May | 447 | 3 | 114 |
| June | 172 | 31 | 316 |
| July | 52 | 106 | 519 |
| August | 72 | 74 | 468 |
| September | 279 | 13 | 220 |
| October | 656 | 0 | 38 |
| November | 954 | 0 | 3 |
| December | 1,226 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1.4 km from Hill City. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00393868 (Hill City). Public domain.