Arlington Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Arlington 1 W. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 3 and the first fall freeze around October 2, a growing season of about 151 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 13, first September 25
- Median at 32°F
- last May 3, first October 2
- Median at 28°F
- last April 25, first October 10
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 27 | May 22 | May 18 | May 16 | May 13 | May 11 | May 8 | May 5 | May 1 |
| 32°F | May 15 | May 11 | May 8 | May 6 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 21 |
| 28°F | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 |
| 24°F | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 |
| 20°F | Apr 22 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 22 |
| 16°F | Apr 16 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 13 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 12 | Sep 16 | Sep 20 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 |
| 32°F | Sep 19 | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 16 |
| 28°F | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 27 |
| 24°F | Oct 5 | Oct 10 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 |
| 20°F | Oct 15 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 |
| 16°F | Oct 25 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 23 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 152 | 146 | 141 | 137 | 134 | 130 | 127 | 123 | 118 |
| 32°F | 171 | 163 | 159 | 154 | 151 | 147 | 144 | 140 | 134 |
| 28°F | 190 | 183 | 178 | 174 | 170 | 166 | 161 | 157 | 151 |
| 24°F | 209 | 202 | 196 | 192 | 188 | 184 | 180 | 175 | 168 |
| 20°F | 228 | 220 | 215 | 211 | 207 | 202 | 197 | 192 | 185 |
| 16°F | 244 | 236 | 230 | 226 | 221 | 217 | 214 | 208 | 201 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,959
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 605
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,503
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,489
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,585
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,796
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,130
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,565 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,284 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,048 | 0 | 9 |
| April | 605 | 2 | 57 |
| May | 256 | 28 | 266 |
| June | 50 | 125 | 525 |
| July | 13 | 220 | 673 |
| August | 25 | 165 | 605 |
| September | 167 | 60 | 356 |
| October | 555 | 4 | 88 |
| November | 983 | 0 | 7 |
| December | 1,409 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 3 km from Arlington. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00390281 (Arlington 1 W). Public domain.