Robbinsville Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Robbinsville Ag 5 Ne. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 13 and the first fall freeze around October 26, a growing season of about 194 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 28, first October 17
- Median at 32°F
- last April 13, first October 26
- Median at 28°F
- last March 31, first November 3
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 13 | May 9 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 |
| 32°F | May 2 | Apr 25 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Mar 30 |
| 28°F | Apr 18 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 |
| 24°F | Apr 5 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Mar 1 |
| 20°F | Mar 27 | Mar 21 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 20 | Feb 11 |
| 16°F | Mar 15 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 25 | Feb 19 | Feb 13 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 23 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 |
| 32°F | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 6 |
| 28°F | Oct 21 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 19 |
| 24°F | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 4 |
| 20°F | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 16 | Dec 25 |
| 16°F | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 | Dec 19 | Dec 25 | Dec 30 | Jan 3 | Jan 12 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 190 | 184 | 179 | 175 | 171 | 167 | 163 | 158 | 151 |
| 32°F | 214 | 207 | 202 | 198 | 194 | 189 | 185 | 179 | 171 |
| 28°F | 239 | 231 | 226 | 221 | 217 | 212 | 208 | 202 | 194 |
| 24°F | 267 | 259 | 252 | 247 | 242 | 238 | 232 | 227 | 220 |
| 20°F | 300 | 289 | 281 | 275 | 270 | 264 | 257 | 251 | 242 |
| 16°F | 335 | 323 | 315 | 307 | 301 | 294 | 288 | 278 | 268 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 99% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,367
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 763
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,112
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,708
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,463
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,400
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,501
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 919 | 0 | 9 |
| February | 725 | 0 | 18 |
| March | 585 | 1 | 68 |
| April | 299 | 13 | 211 |
| May | 119 | 54 | 405 |
| June | 15 | 133 | 569 |
| July | 2 | 241 | 704 |
| August | 2 | 212 | 674 |
| September | 47 | 98 | 501 |
| October | 276 | 13 | 233 |
| November | 560 | 0 | 55 |
| December | 818 | 0 | 17 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 11.4 km from Robbinsville. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00317344 (Robbinsville Ag 5 Ne). Public domain.