Maysville Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Hofmann Forest. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 6 and the first fall freeze around November 1, a growing season of about 204 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 22, first October 23
- Median at 32°F
- last April 6, first November 1
- Median at 28°F
- last March 27, first November 7
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 10 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 4 |
| 32°F | Apr 23 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 |
| 28°F | Apr 12 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 6 |
| 24°F | Apr 1 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 | Feb 19 |
| 20°F | Mar 17 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 25 | Feb 18 | Feb 11 | Feb 2 | Jan 23 |
| 16°F | Mar 5 | Feb 26 | Feb 18 | Feb 7 | Jan 31 | Jan 28 | Jan 21 | Jan 13 | Dec 31 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 |
| 32°F | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 |
| 28°F | Oct 25 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Dec 1 |
| 24°F | Nov 3 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 26 | Dec 2 | Dec 8 | Dec 22 |
| 20°F | Nov 15 | Nov 22 | Nov 28 | Dec 3 | Dec 9 | Dec 18 | Dec 26 | Jan 4 | Jan 16 |
| 16°F | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 15 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 | Jan 7 | Jan 14 | Jan 22 | Feb 3 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 207 | 199 | 193 | 188 | 185 | 181 | 176 | 171 | 162 |
| 32°F | 227 | 219 | 213 | 209 | 204 | 200 | 196 | 191 | 185 |
| 28°F | 253 | 243 | 236 | 231 | 226 | 221 | 217 | 211 | 201 |
| 24°F | 288 | 276 | 267 | 260 | 254 | 248 | 241 | 235 | 227 |
| 20°F | 331 | 315 | 306 | 298 | 292 | 284 | 277 | 268 | 254 |
| 16°F | 365 | 356 | 345 | 336 | 330 | 319 | 311 | 303 | 291 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 86% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,117
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,454
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,655
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,081
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,665
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,416
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,345
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 675 | 1 | 45 |
| February | 548 | 1 | 51 |
| March | 448 | 5 | 123 |
| April | 199 | 37 | 304 |
| May | 59 | 122 | 529 |
| June | 6 | 286 | 730 |
| July | 0 | 389 | 854 |
| August | 0 | 343 | 807 |
| September | 12 | 204 | 642 |
| October | 159 | 57 | 374 |
| November | 415 | 8 | 137 |
| December | 596 | 2 | 69 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 10.1 km from Maysville. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00314144 (Hofmann Forest). Public domain.