Lyme Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Union Village Dam. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 9 and the first fall freeze around October 2, a growing season of about 145 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 21, first September 24
- Median at 32°F
- last May 9, first October 2
- Median at 28°F
- last April 30, first October 12
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 4 | May 30 | May 27 | May 24 | May 21 | May 19 | May 16 | May 12 | May 8 |
| 32°F | May 22 | May 18 | May 14 | May 11 | May 9 | May 7 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 29 |
| 28°F | May 10 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 |
| 24°F | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 20 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 |
| 20°F | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 10 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 |
| 16°F | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 10 | Sep 15 | Sep 18 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 26 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 |
| 32°F | Sep 20 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 15 |
| 28°F | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 27 |
| 24°F | Oct 8 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 |
| 20°F | Oct 20 | Oct 26 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 |
| 16°F | Nov 2 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 16 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 140 | 135 | 131 | 128 | 124 | 120 | 116 | 112 | 106 |
| 32°F | 161 | 155 | 151 | 148 | 145 | 141 | 138 | 133 | 127 |
| 28°F | 184 | 177 | 173 | 169 | 165 | 162 | 158 | 154 | 148 |
| 24°F | 207 | 202 | 197 | 192 | 189 | 185 | 180 | 175 | 168 |
| 20°F | 228 | 222 | 217 | 213 | 209 | 205 | 201 | 196 | 190 |
| 16°F | 245 | 240 | 235 | 231 | 228 | 224 | 220 | 216 | 210 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,847
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 393
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,019
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,039
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,186
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,452
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 843
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,467 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,265 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,103 | 0 | 6 |
| April | 683 | 1 | 30 |
| May | 321 | 11 | 196 |
| June | 90 | 67 | 430 |
| July | 17 | 153 | 601 |
| August | 33 | 120 | 552 |
| September | 196 | 40 | 305 |
| October | 554 | 1 | 63 |
| November | 879 | 0 | 5 |
| December | 1,237 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 8.4 km from Lyme. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00438556 (Union Village Dam). Public domain.