Petroleum County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Valentine. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 18 and the first fall freeze around September 21, a growing season of about 124 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 31, first September 10
- Median at 32°F
- last May 18, first September 21
- Median at 28°F
- last May 7, first September 29
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 16 | Jun 9 | Jun 5 | Jun 2 | May 31 | May 28 | May 24 | May 21 | May 17 |
| 32°F | May 31 | May 26 | May 23 | May 20 | May 18 | May 16 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 |
| 28°F | May 18 | May 14 | May 12 | May 9 | May 7 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 |
| 24°F | May 9 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 10 |
| 20°F | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 29 |
| 16°F | Apr 23 | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 21 | Mar 14 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 27 | Sep 1 | Sep 4 | Sep 8 | Sep 10 | Sep 13 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 |
| 32°F | Sep 7 | Sep 12 | Sep 16 | Sep 19 | Sep 21 | Sep 23 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 2 |
| 28°F | Sep 17 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 12 |
| 24°F | Sep 24 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 21 |
| 20°F | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Nov 1 |
| 16°F | Oct 8 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 9 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 122 | 114 | 110 | 105 | 101 | 97 | 93 | 87 | 79 |
| 32°F | 142 | 136 | 131 | 128 | 124 | 120 | 117 | 113 | 106 |
| 28°F | 163 | 156 | 151 | 147 | 144 | 140 | 136 | 131 | 124 |
| 24°F | 185 | 178 | 173 | 169 | 164 | 160 | 155 | 151 | 144 |
| 20°F | 210 | 201 | 194 | 189 | 184 | 179 | 175 | 169 | 161 |
| 16°F | 229 | 220 | 213 | 208 | 203 | 197 | 192 | 185 | 177 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,058
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 411
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,880
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,888
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,051
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,358
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 808
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,412 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,176 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 989 | 0 | 5 |
| April | 660 | 0 | 29 |
| May | 384 | 6 | 152 |
| June | 135 | 45 | 364 |
| July | 30 | 178 | 612 |
| August | 48 | 156 | 575 |
| September | 248 | 26 | 257 |
| October | 643 | 1 | 52 |
| November | 1,002 | 0 | 5 |
| December | 1,331 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 31 km from Petroleum County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00248498 (Valentine). Public domain.