Tuolumne County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Cherry Valley Dam. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 2 and the first fall freeze around November 4, a growing season of about 183 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 21, first October 19
- Median at 32°F
- last May 2, first November 4
- Median at 28°F
- last April 16, first November 20
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 9 | Jun 3 | May 31 | May 26 | May 21 | May 16 | May 12 | May 7 | May 1 |
| 32°F | May 29 | May 20 | May 13 | May 8 | May 2 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 |
| 28°F | May 10 | Apr 30 | Apr 24 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 2 | Mar 23 |
| 24°F | Apr 21 | Apr 14 | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Mar 27 | Mar 19 | Mar 10 | Mar 1 | Feb 15 |
| 20°F | Apr 1 | Mar 15 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 | Feb 21 | Feb 10 | Feb 3 | Jan 20 | Jan 3 |
| 16°F | Feb 27 | Feb 19 | Feb 9 | Feb 2 | Jan 24 | Jan 17 | Jan 6 | Jan 1 | Dec 21 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 1 | Oct 6 | Oct 11 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 7 |
| 32°F | Oct 15 | Oct 22 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 22 |
| 28°F | Nov 1 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 |
| 24°F | Nov 15 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 8 | Dec 12 | Dec 18 | Dec 24 |
| 20°F | Nov 29 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 18 | Dec 23 | Dec 28 | Jan 2 | Jan 15 | Jan 31 |
| 16°F | Dec 10 | Dec 20 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 17 | Jan 24 | Feb 4 | Feb 17 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 180 | 169 | 164 | 158 | 153 | 147 | 140 | 134 | 124 |
| 32°F | 210 | 201 | 194 | 188 | 183 | 177 | 170 | 162 | 151 |
| 28°F | 248 | 237 | 229 | 222 | 217 | 211 | 204 | 196 | 186 |
| 24°F | 293 | 279 | 268 | 259 | 251 | 244 | 237 | 230 | 218 |
| 20°F | 348 | 333 | 321 | 309 | 301 | 291 | 280 | 270 | 257 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 362 | 352 | 340 | 328 | 314 | 301 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 96% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 62% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,564
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 812
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,722
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,335
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,174
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,221
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,436
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 764 | 0 | 6 |
| February | 673 | 0 | 11 |
| March | 640 | 0 | 34 |
| April | 479 | 1 | 91 |
| May | 275 | 24 | 255 |
| June | 80 | 109 | 484 |
| July | 5 | 273 | 733 |
| August | 4 | 257 | 718 |
| September | 56 | 130 | 526 |
| October | 257 | 20 | 257 |
| November | 552 | 0 | 56 |
| December | 778 | 0 | 4 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 6.8 km from Tuolumne County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00041697 (Cherry Valley Dam). Public domain.