San Ardo Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Priest Valley. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 8 and the first fall freeze around October 22, a growing season of about 165 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 31, first October 3
- Median at 32°F
- last May 8, first October 22
- Median at 28°F
- last April 15, first November 5
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 16 | Jun 9 | Jun 6 | Jun 3 | May 31 | May 27 | May 24 | May 19 | May 12 |
| 32°F | May 29 | May 23 | May 17 | May 13 | May 8 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 20 |
| 28°F | May 8 | May 1 | Apr 25 | Apr 20 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 1 | Mar 23 |
| 24°F | Apr 12 | Apr 5 | Mar 28 | Mar 18 | Mar 10 | Feb 28 | Feb 20 | Feb 8 | Jan 26 |
| 20°F | Mar 1 | Feb 21 | Feb 9 | Feb 1 | Jan 27 | Jan 17 | Jan 6 | Dec 29 | Dec 15 |
| 16°F | Feb 7 | Jan 31 | Jan 22 | Jan 15 | Jan 5 | Dec 31 | Dec 23 | Dec 14 | Dec 3 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 8 | Sep 19 | Sep 26 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 17 | Oct 23 |
| 32°F | Oct 1 | Oct 7 | Oct 13 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 8 |
| 28°F | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 25 |
| 24°F | Nov 2 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 5 | Dec 17 |
| 20°F | Nov 16 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 13 | Dec 23 | Jan 2 | Jan 16 |
| 16°F | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 | Dec 16 | Dec 29 | Jan 3 | Jan 13 | Feb 1 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 151 | 143 | 135 | 130 | 124 | 119 | 114 | 105 | 93 |
| 32°F | 192 | 183 | 177 | 171 | 165 | 158 | 153 | 146 | 137 |
| 28°F | 236 | 222 | 214 | 208 | 203 | 197 | 190 | 183 | 173 |
| 24°F | 309 | 292 | 280 | 268 | 257 | 247 | 238 | 228 | 217 |
| 20°F | 365 | 345 | 334 | 327 | 318 | 310 | 303 | 292 | 276 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 361 | 349 | 340 | 333 | 321 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 89% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 47% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,603
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 845
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,418
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,782
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,412
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,334
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,500
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 631 | 0 | 10 |
| February | 514 | 0 | 22 |
| March | 485 | 0 | 58 |
| April | 364 | 1 | 119 |
| May | 190 | 26 | 306 |
| June | 48 | 117 | 519 |
| July | 4 | 265 | 727 |
| August | 3 | 269 | 732 |
| September | 33 | 146 | 563 |
| October | 209 | 21 | 283 |
| November | 473 | 0 | 63 |
| December | 651 | 0 | 10 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 26.5 km from San Ardo. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00047150 (Priest Valley). Public domain.