New Cuyama Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for New Cuyama Fire Stn. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 15 and the first fall freeze around November 4, a growing season of about 201 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 3, first October 22
- Median at 32°F
- last April 15, first November 4
- Median at 28°F
- last March 17, first November 19
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 29 | May 19 | May 12 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 16 |
| 32°F | May 3 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Mar 31 | Mar 22 |
| 28°F | Apr 15 | Apr 7 | Mar 31 | Mar 24 | Mar 17 | Mar 9 | Mar 2 | Feb 24 | Feb 13 |
| 24°F | Mar 10 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 14 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 19 | Jan 5 | Dec 26 |
| 20°F | Feb 10 | Jan 31 | Jan 21 | Jan 9 | Jan 3 | Dec 30 | Dec 23 | Dec 16 | Dec 7 |
| 16°F | Jan 21 | Jan 11 | Jan 6 | Jan 3 | Jan 2 | Jan 1 | Dec 31 | Dec 23 | Dec 10 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 6 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 |
| 32°F | Oct 18 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 22 |
| 28°F | Oct 29 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 |
| 24°F | Nov 14 | Nov 22 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 11 | Dec 15 | Dec 23 | Jan 3 |
| 20°F | Nov 30 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 16 | Dec 21 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 8 | Jan 26 |
| 16°F | Dec 9 | Dec 22 | Dec 28 | Dec 31 | Jan 1 | Jan 2 | Jan 4 | Jan 10 | Jan 20 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 192 | 184 | 177 | 172 | 167 | 162 | 156 | 150 | 140 |
| 32°F | 229 | 218 | 211 | 206 | 201 | 196 | 189 | 183 | 175 |
| 28°F | 282 | 269 | 258 | 250 | 242 | 234 | 227 | 218 | 209 |
| 24°F | 346 | 334 | 323 | 314 | 305 | 295 | 285 | 276 | 262 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 358 | 349 | 340 | 333 | 320 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 363 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 97% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 59% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 11% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,082
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,081
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,158
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,466
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,977
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,772
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,826
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 553 | 0 | 34 |
| February | 475 | 0 | 42 |
| March | 427 | 0 | 93 |
| April | 301 | 7 | 183 |
| May | 136 | 56 | 386 |
| June | 29 | 174 | 596 |
| July | 1 | 331 | 795 |
| August | 2 | 296 | 760 |
| September | 23 | 179 | 606 |
| October | 164 | 37 | 342 |
| November | 396 | 1 | 112 |
| December | 577 | 0 | 28 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 0.3 km from New Cuyama. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00046154 (New Cuyama Fire Stn). Public domain.