Lake Hughes Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Fairmont. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 6 and the first fall freeze around November 29, a growing season of about 236 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 30, first November 13
- Median at 32°F
- last April 6, first November 29
- Median at 28°F
- last February 25, first December 10
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 1 | May 23 | May 15 | May 6 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 17 | Apr 10 | Mar 28 |
| 32°F | May 20 | May 6 | Apr 25 | Apr 14 | Apr 6 | Mar 27 | Mar 14 | Mar 5 | Feb 20 |
| 28°F | May 1 | Apr 5 | Mar 17 | Mar 4 | Feb 25 | Feb 14 | Feb 2 | Jan 22 | Jan 6 |
| 24°F | Mar 17 | Feb 22 | Feb 6 | Jan 29 | Jan 20 | Jan 8 | Jan 1 | Dec 27 | Dec 16 |
| 20°F | Feb 8 | Jan 28 | Jan 23 | Jan 13 | Jan 6 | Jan 2 | Dec 29 | Dec 20 | Dec 13 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 24 | Oct 31 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Dec 2 |
| 32°F | Nov 5 | Nov 13 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 15 |
| 28°F | Nov 20 | Nov 28 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 19 | Dec 27 | Jan 7 |
| 24°F | Nov 29 | Dec 9 | Dec 16 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 2 | Jan 11 | Jan 27 | Feb 15 |
| 20°F | Dec 12 | Dec 18 | Dec 23 | Dec 30 | Jan 2 | Jan 8 | Jan 17 | Jan 26 | Feb 7 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 236 | 221 | 211 | 203 | 196 | 188 | 179 | 170 | 159 |
| 32°F | 289 | 270 | 257 | 244 | 236 | 224 | 214 | 203 | 187 |
| 28°F | 344 | 330 | 316 | 306 | 293 | 278 | 266 | 250 | 227 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 362 | 353 | 343 | 333 | 322 | 300 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 351 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 69% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 19% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 3% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,872
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,805
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,112
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,447
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,970
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,708
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,663
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 560 | 0 | 43 |
| February | 461 | 1 | 67 |
| March | 382 | 6 | 154 |
| April | 259 | 26 | 247 |
| May | 130 | 113 | 454 |
| June | 27 | 288 | 711 |
| July | 2 | 463 | 927 |
| August | 1 | 481 | 946 |
| September | 17 | 317 | 750 |
| October | 107 | 101 | 463 |
| November | 337 | 9 | 171 |
| December | 589 | 0 | 36 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 3.4 km from Lake Hughes. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00042941 (Fairmont). Public domain.