Sonoita Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Sonoita. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 28 and the first fall freeze around November 21, a growing season of about 237 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 16, first November 9
- Median at 32°F
- last March 28, first November 21
- Median at 28°F
- last March 1, first December 2
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 4 | Apr 29 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 26 |
| 32°F | Apr 21 | Apr 13 | Apr 7 | Apr 2 | Mar 28 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 10 | Mar 1 |
| 28°F | Apr 4 | Mar 22 | Mar 13 | Mar 7 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 17 | Feb 6 | Jan 29 |
| 24°F | Mar 3 | Feb 23 | Feb 14 | Feb 8 | Feb 2 | Jan 25 | Jan 12 | Jan 5 | Dec 25 |
| 20°F | Feb 22 | Feb 12 | Feb 4 | Jan 29 | Jan 19 | Jan 9 | Jan 2 | Dec 27 | Dec 12 |
| 16°F | Feb 17 | Feb 9 | Feb 4 | Jan 29 | Jan 21 | Jan 8 | Jan 4 | Dec 30 | Dec 19 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 25 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 25 |
| 32°F | Nov 5 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 |
| 28°F | Nov 16 | Nov 22 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 11 | Dec 16 | Dec 23 |
| 24°F | Nov 27 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 14 | Dec 20 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 | Jan 9 | Jan 26 |
| 20°F | Dec 5 | Dec 15 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 3 | Jan 9 | Jan 19 | Jan 29 | Feb 12 |
| 16°F | Dec 17 | Dec 27 | Jan 2 | Jan 5 | Jan 14 | Jan 26 | Feb 1 | Feb 7 | Feb 17 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 231 | 223 | 217 | 211 | 206 | 202 | 197 | 191 | 183 |
| 32°F | 268 | 256 | 248 | 243 | 237 | 231 | 224 | 217 | 207 |
| 28°F | 313 | 299 | 288 | 281 | 273 | 265 | 258 | 250 | 237 |
| 24°F | 361 | 348 | 339 | 331 | 322 | 313 | 305 | 295 | 279 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 358 | 348 | 335 | 316 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 357 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 94% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 51% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 14% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,639
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,407
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,968
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,286
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,761
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,437
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,316
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 572 | 0 | 41 |
| February | 476 | 0 | 66 |
| March | 362 | 1 | 154 |
| April | 187 | 8 | 277 |
| May | 57 | 107 | 515 |
| June | 1 | 328 | 776 |
| July | 0 | 369 | 834 |
| August | 0 | 313 | 778 |
| September | 4 | 217 | 663 |
| October | 86 | 60 | 443 |
| November | 314 | 5 | 177 |
| December | 581 | 0 | 37 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 0.2 km from Sonoita. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00027990 (Sonoita). Public domain.