Grand Canyon Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Grand Canyon Np 2. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around June 1 and the first fall freeze around October 3, a growing season of about 123 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 12, first September 24
- Median at 32°F
- last June 1, first October 3
- Median at 28°F
- last May 15, first October 12
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 29 | Jun 23 | Jun 19 | Jun 15 | Jun 12 | Jun 9 | Jun 7 | Jun 4 | May 31 |
| 32°F | Jun 17 | Jun 10 | Jun 5 | Jun 3 | Jun 1 | May 29 | May 25 | May 19 | May 12 |
| 28°F | Jun 2 | May 29 | May 23 | May 19 | May 15 | May 11 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 28 |
| 24°F | May 18 | May 12 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 |
| 20°F | May 3 | Apr 24 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 19 |
| 16°F | Apr 7 | Apr 1 | Mar 27 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Feb 27 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 10 | Sep 14 | Sep 18 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 |
| 32°F | Sep 22 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 |
| 28°F | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 28 |
| 24°F | Oct 9 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 |
| 20°F | Oct 19 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 |
| 16°F | Oct 29 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 120 | 114 | 109 | 104 | 100 | 97 | 92 | 87 | 80 |
| 32°F | 146 | 139 | 133 | 128 | 123 | 119 | 115 | 110 | 103 |
| 28°F | 172 | 166 | 159 | 155 | 149 | 144 | 140 | 135 | 126 |
| 24°F | 199 | 192 | 185 | 181 | 176 | 172 | 166 | 160 | 151 |
| 20°F | 234 | 225 | 218 | 211 | 206 | 201 | 195 | 188 | 178 |
| 16°F | 268 | 259 | 253 | 247 | 241 | 236 | 230 | 222 | 212 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,366
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 212
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,967
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,868
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,957
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,209
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 623
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,031 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 876 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 797 | 0 | 4 |
| April | 605 | 0 | 22 |
| May | 383 | 3 | 141 |
| June | 110 | 35 | 379 |
| July | 21 | 103 | 547 |
| August | 32 | 61 | 494 |
| September | 167 | 10 | 297 |
| October | 498 | 0 | 68 |
| November | 782 | 0 | 5 |
| December | 1,066 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1 km from Grand Canyon. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00023596 (Grand Canyon Np 2). Public domain.