Alert archive / Virginia / York County

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in York County, Virginia

288 severe thunderstorm warnings since 1986. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of severe thunderstorm warnings reaches back to 1986.

York County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count since 1986. Tap one for its archive.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings
288
Busiest year
201124 severe thunderstorm warnings
Average year
8over 37 years on file

Over time

By year

Before October 2007 these were issued for whole counties, and a storm crossing three counties was often three warnings; since then one polygon follows the storm. The count changed with the practice, not only with the weather.

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

From 2008 to 2025, 78% of hail, wind and damage reports in York County fell inside a severe thunderstorm warning issued on average 21 minutes before, and 23% of the severe thunderstorm warnings had no report inside them.

Severe thunderstorm warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
200812833%2100%5 min
2009191047%944%4 min
2010550%450%27 min
2011241538%875%14 min
2012161225%2100%53 min
20136517%6100%14 min
20145420%20%
20156517%2100%31 min
20166433%250%13 min
20177529%0
20187614%5100%30 min
201922209%9100%21 min
20206517%0
202113128%875%15 min
2022161131%2100%14 min
20237614%10%
202411109%580%22 min
202515147%1090%29 min

Years from 2008, the first full year of storm-based warnings. The year still running is on its own page.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The latest severe thunderstorm warnings

The most recent on file, newest first.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Aug 14, 1:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ49 min
Aug 10, 7:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ48 min
Aug 10, 7:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ24 min
Aug 10, 7:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ44 min
Aug 10, 6:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ37 min
Jul 28, 7:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ31 min
Jul 28, 7:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ48 min
Jul 7, 7:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ54 min
Jun 27, 3:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ30 min
Jun 23, 1:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ51 min
Jun 23, 1:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ44 min
Jun 23, 1:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ48 min

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.