Alert archive / Virginia / Prince George County

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Prince George County, Virginia

435 severe thunderstorm warnings since 1986. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of severe thunderstorm warnings reaches back to 1986.

Prince George County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count since 1986. Tap one for its archive.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings
435
Busiest year
202631 severe thunderstorm warnings
Average year
12over 37 years on file

Over time

By year

Before October 2007 these were issued for whole counties, and a storm crossing three counties was often three warnings; since then one polygon follows the storm. The count changed with the practice, not only with the weather.

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

From 2008 to 2025, 87% of hail, wind and damage reports in Prince George County fell inside a severe thunderstorm warning issued on average 20 minutes before, and 25% of the severe thunderstorm warnings had no report inside them.

Severe thunderstorm warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
2008171135%989%14 min
200918950%580%9 min
2010191711%1090%24 min
2011261927%888%25 min
2012221723%1292%20 min
2013131115%786%22 min
2014151220%1362%22 min
201510820%2100%9 min
201611736%1242%24 min
201714936%2100%22 min
201811109%4100%30 min
2019211814%475%15 min
2020141121%7100%15 min
2021211433%1593%14 min
2022201715%9100%16 min
2023161225%9100%23 min
2024211814%3100%18 min
2025261638%18100%23 min

Years from 2008, the first full year of storm-based warnings. The year still running is on its own page.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The latest severe thunderstorm warnings

The most recent on file, newest first.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Sep 4, 6:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatAKQ43 min
Sep 4, 6:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ51 min
Sep 4, 6:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatAKQ43 min
Sep 4, 5:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ40 min
Sep 2, 5:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ52 min
Sep 2, 4:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ35 min
Aug 16, 10:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ46 min
Aug 16, 8:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ48 min
Aug 14, 10:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ31 min
Aug 14, 10:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ48 min
Aug 10, 7:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ44 min
Aug 10, 6:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ47 min

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.