Alert archive / Virginia / Lancaster County
Weather alerts in Lancaster County, Virginia, 2023
103 weather alerts in 2023, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Lancaster County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2023. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 103
- Warnings
- 19
- Watches
- 20
- Advisories
- 18
- Busiest month
- July26 alerts
- Busiest day
- July 3, 20238 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
Lancaster County, 2023
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 0 | 0 | ||||
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 8 | 6 | 25% | 3 | 67% | 18 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 2 | 0 | 100% | 0 |
Each office's whole area, 2023
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Wakefield, VA: tornado warnings | 15 | 4 | 73% | 6 | 83% | 10 min |
| NWS Wakefield, VA: severe thunderstorm warnings | 244 | 165 | 32% | 383 | 89% | 21 min |
| NWS Wakefield, VA: flash flood warnings | 83 | 58 | 30% | 106 | 95% | 58 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 10:02 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 73 min |
| Mar 1, 6:34 AM EST | Coastal Flood Statement | AKQ | 6 hr |
| Mar 10, 4:22 AM EST | Coastal Flood Statement | AKQ | 26 hr |
| Mar 11, 3:09 PM EST | Coastal Flood Watch | AKQ | 23 hr |
| Mar 12, 3:29 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 18 hr |
| Mar 13, 3:16 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Statement | AKQ | 9 hr |
| Mar 31, 11:49 AM EDT | Wind Advisory | AKQ | 36 hr |
| Apr 1, 8:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 47 min |
| Apr 1, 8:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 32 min |
| Apr 6, 2:00 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 90 min |
| Apr 6, 2:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Apr 6, 4:44 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 91 min |
| Apr 6, 6:08 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Apr 6, 8:27 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 93 min |
| Apr 17, 3:29 PM EDT | Fire Weather Watch | AKQ | 12 hr |
| Apr 18, 3:20 AM EDT | Red Flag Warning | AKQ | 17 hr |
| Apr 22, 9:34 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Apr 22, 10:07 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 10 hr |
| Apr 22, 2:12 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 93 min |
| Apr 22, 2:20 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 40 min |
| Apr 28, 5:10 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 32 hr |
| Apr 29, 2:53 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 8 hr |
| Apr 30, 3:00 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 10 hr |
| May 7, 6:43 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 17 min |
| Jun 3, 4:44 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Statement | AKQ | 23 hr |
| Jun 3, 4:44 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 49 hr |
| Jun 5, 2:58 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Statement | AKQ | 15 hr |
| Jun 8, 12:08 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Jun 12, 12:30 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 60 min |
| Jun 16, 10:50 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 55 min |
| Jun 16, 1:22 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Jun 16, 2:44 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 91 min |
| Jun 16, 4:49 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 56 min |
| Jun 16, 7:34 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 56 min |
| Jun 16, 8:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 36 min |
| Jun 16, 8:54 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 51 min |
| Jun 20, 2:49 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Statement | AKQ | 13 hr |
| Jun 21, 3:23 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 6 hr |
| Jun 21, 8:20 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 85 min |
| Jun 21, 9:03 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Warning | AKQ | 23 hr |
| Jun 26, 10:13 AM EDT | Flood Watch | AKQ | 17 hr |
| Jun 26, 12:36 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 26, 7:08 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 26, 7:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jun 26, 9:13 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 62 min |
| Jun 26, 10:34 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 41 min |
| Jun 27, 2:43 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 3, 1:42 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 3, 2:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jul 3, 4:49 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Jul 3, 5:10 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 35 min |
| Jul 3, 5:31 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 44 min |
| Jul 3, 5:39 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 36 min |
| Jul 3, 6:13 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 32 min |
| Jul 3, 6:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 30 min |
| Jul 3, 8:29 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 91 min |
| Jul 8, 12:52 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | AKQ | 83 min |
| Jul 8, 1:31 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 59 min |
| Jul 9, 3:29 AM EDT | Flood Watch | AKQ | 18 hr |
| Jul 9, 12:55 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 65 min |
| Jul 9, 1:19 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jul 9, 4:08 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 97 min |
| Jul 14, 2:02 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 14, 10:28 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 47 min |
| Jul 16, 6:26 AM EDT | Flood Watch | AKQ | 11 hr |
| Jul 16, 12:52 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | AKQ | 3 hr |
| Jul 26, 2:49 PM EDT | Excessive Heat Watch | AKQ | 23 hr |
| Jul 26, 2:49 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | AKQ | 3 days |
| Jul 27, 2:03 PM EDT | Excessive Heat Warning | AKQ | 54 hr |
| Jul 29, 2:47 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 118 min |
| Jul 29, 4:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Jul 29, 6:20 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 85 min |
| Jul 29, 6:54 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 51 min |
| Aug 7, 1:20 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 11 hr |
| Aug 14, 1:55 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Aug 15, 1:28 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Aug 15, 2:08 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Aug 30, 9:43 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 41 hr |
| Aug 31, 5:54 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Statement | AKQ | 62 hr |
| Sep 16, 4:14 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Statement | AKQ | 38 hr |
| Sep 16, 7:03 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Statement | AKQ | 9 hr |
| Sep 21, 11:19 AM EDT | Tropical Storm Warning | AKQ | 57 hr |
| Sep 21, 11:28 AM EDT | Storm Surge Watch | AKQ | 24 hr |
| Sep 21, 3:22 PM EDT | Flood Watch | AKQ | 60 hr |
| Sep 21, 5:20 PM EDT | Storm Surge Warning | AKQ | 51 hr |
| Sep 22, 3:11 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Warning | AKQ | 61 hr |
| Sep 23, 5:14 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 35 hr |
| Sep 25, 3:11 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Warning | AKQ | 71 hr |
| Sep 25, 3:11 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 58 hr |
| Sep 26, 4:04 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Watch | AKQ | 6 hr |
| Sep 28, 4:04 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 34 hr |
| Oct 16, 4:19 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Statement | AKQ | 15 hr |
| Oct 31, 4:36 AM EDT | Freeze Watch | AKQ | 21 hr |
| Nov 1, 2:01 AM EDT | Freeze Warning | AKQ | 32 hr |
| Nov 2, 11:31 AM EDT | Freeze Warning | AKQ | 21 hr |
| Nov 21, 1:28 PM EST | Coastal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 22 hr |
| Nov 22, 2:09 AM EST | Coastal Flood Statement | AKQ | 3 hr |
| Dec 2, 8:20 PM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | AKQ | 12 hr |
| Dec 16, 3:10 AM EST | Wind Advisory | AKQ | 60 hr |
| Dec 16, 2:01 PM EST | Flood Watch | AKQ | 40 hr |
| Dec 16, 3:52 PM EST | Coastal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 54 hr |
| Dec 18, 12:04 AM EST | Areal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 4 hr |
| Dec 29, 5:30 AM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | AKQ | 4 hr |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
| Product | Alerts |
|---|---|
| Severe storms | |
| Severe Thunderstorm Warning | 8 |
| Severe Thunderstorm Watch | 8 |
| Tornado Watch | 1 |
| Mesoscale Discussion | 25 |
| Special Weather Statement | 10 |
| Flooding | |
| Flash Flood Warning | 2 |
| Flood Watch | 5 |
| Areal Flood Advisory | 1 |
| Heat | |
| Excessive Heat Warning | 1 |
| Excessive Heat Watch | 1 |
| Heat Advisory | 1 |
| Cold | |
| Freeze Warning | 2 |
| Freeze Watch | 1 |
| Wind and dust | |
| Wind Advisory | 2 |
| Fire | |
| Red Flag Warning | 1 |
| Fire Weather Watch | 1 |
| Fog and smoke | |
| Dense Fog Advisory | 2 |
| Tropical | |
| Storm Surge Warning | 1 |
| Tropical Storm Warning | 1 |
| Storm Surge Watch | 1 |
| Coast and beach | |
| Coastal Flood Warning | 3 |
| Coastal Flood Watch | 2 |
| Coastal Flood Advisory | 12 |
| Coastal Flood Statement | 11 |
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20222024
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.