Alert archive / Virginia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2023

Mesoscale Discussion 1306

June 27, 20234 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 27, 2023, 2:43 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 27, 2023, 2:43 PM EDT (18:43 UTC)
Expired
Jun 27, 2023, 4:45 PM EDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch unlikely
Chance of a watch
5%
All 29 counties

Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Calvert County, MD, Caroline County, MD, Dorchester County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Somerset County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Wicomico County, MD, Worcester County, MD, Cumberland County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Accomack County, VA, Charles City County, VA, City of Williamsburg, VA, Essex County, VA, Gloucester County, VA, James City County, VA, King and Queen County, VA, Lancaster County, VA, Mathews County, VA, Middlesex County, VA, New Kent County, VA, Northumberland County, VA, Richmond County, VA, Westmoreland County, VA

The radar

The Dover AFB radar (KDOX), 34 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), launched 12:00Z, 6.7 hours before the alert went out and 91 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 12:00Z on 2023-06-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 8 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 12:00Z on 2023-06-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 48 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
8 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-130 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1455 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
48 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
67 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 26, 8:03 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKent, New Castle87 min
Jun 26, 10:50 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCNew Castle55 min
Jun 26, 9:13 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCSaint Mary's, Somerset, Wicomico, Worcester62 min
Jun 27, 12:02 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCSomerset, Worcester118 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2023Mesoscale Discussions in Maryland, 2023Mesoscale Discussions in Delaware, 2023Every mesoscale discussion in 2023

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.