Alert archive / Virginia / Henrico County

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Henrico County, Virginia

463 severe thunderstorm warnings since 1986. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of severe thunderstorm warnings reaches back to 1986.

Henrico County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count since 1986. Tap one for its archive.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings
463
Busiest year
202638 severe thunderstorm warnings
Average year
11over 41 years on file

Over time

By year

Before October 2007 these were issued for whole counties, and a storm crossing three counties was often three warnings; since then one polygon follows the storm. The count changed with the practice, not only with the weather.

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

From 2008 to 2025, 88% of hail, wind and damage reports in Henrico County fell inside a severe thunderstorm warning issued on average 21 minutes before, and 9% of the severe thunderstorm warnings had no report inside them.

Severe thunderstorm warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
2008171324%757%11 min
20097529%1894%24 min
2010161413%978%17 min
2011262312%14100%16 min
2012161319%1989%29 min
201313128%5100%29 min
2014141121%1080%25 min
2015990%367%33 min
201612120%4283%25 min
2017201715%1580%19 min
201815147%1080%18 min
201923219%1070%19 min
202015147%6100%22 min
202116160%6100%20 min
2022262312%786%17 min
202322215%1191%17 min
202419190%2596%17 min
202530300%4095%19 min

Years from 2008, the first full year of storm-based warnings. The year still running is on its own page.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The latest severe thunderstorm warnings

The most recent on file, newest first.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Sep 4, 6:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ51 min
Sep 4, 5:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ50 min
Sep 4, 5:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ40 min
Sep 4, 5:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatAKQ49 min
Aug 20, 6:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ51 min
Aug 16, 10:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ46 min
Aug 16, 8:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ48 min
Aug 16, 8:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ45 min
Aug 16, 7:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ48 min
Aug 14, 10:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ48 min
Aug 14, 9:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ38 min
Aug 10, 7:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ44 min

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.