Alert archive / Virginia / Frederick County / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Frederick County, Virginia, 2008

23 severe thunderstorm warnings in 2008. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of severe thunderstorm warnings reaches back to 1986.

Frederick County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2008. Tap one for its archive.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings
23
Busiest month
June10 severe thunderstorm warnings
Busiest day
June 10, 20083 severe thunderstorm warnings

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

13 of 23 severe thunderstorm warnings covering Frederick County in 2008 had a qualifying storm report inside them; 7 of 10 hail, wind and damage reports fell inside a warning, on average 24 minutes after it went out.

Frederick County, 2008

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Severe thunderstorm warnings231343%1070%24 min

Each office's whole area, 2008

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Baltimore/Washington: severe thunderstorm warnings39122044%57976%21 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Apr 26, 1:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX64 min
May 31, 9:51 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX39 min
May 31, 10:14 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX44 min
Jun 4, 1:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX61 min
Jun 10, 3:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX45 min
Jun 10, 3:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX46 min
Jun 10, 5:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX38 min
Jun 14, 1:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX42 min
Jun 16, 10:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX51 min
Jun 23, 7:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX38 min
Jun 28, 6:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX59 min
Jun 28, 7:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX63 min
Jun 29, 10:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX57 min
Jul 20, 5:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX46 min
Jul 20, 6:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX39 min
Jul 20, 6:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX37 min
Jul 21, 11:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX48 min
Jul 23, 12:52 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX53 min
Jul 26, 7:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX48 min
Jul 26, 7:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX64 min
Aug 2, 9:07 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX15 min
Aug 10, 2:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX30 min
Aug 10, 3:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX34 min

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20072009

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.