Alert archive / Virginia / Clarke County

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Clarke County, Virginia

513 severe thunderstorm warnings since 1986. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of severe thunderstorm warnings reaches back to 1986.

Clarke County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count since 1986. Tap one for its archive.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings
513
Busiest year
201236 severe thunderstorm warnings
Average year
14over 38 years on file

Over time

By year

Before October 2007 these were issued for whole counties, and a storm crossing three counties was often three warnings; since then one polygon follows the storm. The count changed with the practice, not only with the weather.

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

From 2008 to 2025, 91% of hail, wind and damage reports in Clarke County fell inside a severe thunderstorm warning issued on average 18 minutes before, and 24% of the severe thunderstorm warnings had no report inside them.

Severe thunderstorm warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
2008191142%4100%10 min
200912925%1100%31 min
2010221723%1587%22 min
2011332621%17100%6 min
2012363114%16100%27 min
201316756%250%39 min
2014201715%4100%19 min
2015181044%4100%4 min
2016171229%1688%25 min
2017191426%1182%14 min
2018201715%1191%21 min
2019302227%1587%18 min
202018176%1090%13 min
2021251924%888%11 min
2022271930%1688%20 min
202320200%888%23 min
2024151313%5100%20 min
2025151033%3100%16 min

Years from 2008, the first full year of storm-based warnings. The year still running is on its own page.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The latest severe thunderstorm warnings

The most recent on file, newest first.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Sep 4, 3:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX52 min
Sep 3, 10:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX41 min
Sep 2, 1:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX32 min
Sep 2, 1:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX35 min
Aug 20, 2:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX33 min
Aug 16, 6:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX34 min
Aug 16, 6:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX29 min
Aug 10, 3:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX29 min
Aug 10, 3:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX18 min
Aug 8, 4:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX35 min
Jul 28, 5:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX30 min
Jul 28, 4:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX50 min

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.