Alert archive / Texas / Brazoria County

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Brazoria County, Texas

648 severe thunderstorm warnings since 1986. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of severe thunderstorm warnings reaches back to 1986.

Brazoria County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count since 1986. Tap one for its archive.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings
648
Busiest year
201238 severe thunderstorm warnings
Average year
16over 40 years on file

Over time

By year

Before October 2007 these were issued for whole counties, and a storm crossing three counties was often three warnings; since then one polygon follows the storm. The count changed with the practice, not only with the weather.

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

From 2008 to 2025, 71% of hail, wind and damage reports in Brazoria County fell inside a severe thunderstorm warning issued on average 22 minutes before, and 59% of the severe thunderstorm warnings had no report inside them.

Severe thunderstorm warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
200821767%367%23 min
200924771%250%15 min
201018478%425%25 min
201111373%250%15 min
2012381366%1479%18 min
2013301260%7100%24 min
20148188%0
2015271256%2374%26 min
2016221150%1968%22 min
2017181233%425%0 min
2018151033%1090%19 min
2019271641%475%35 min
202020955%475%43 min
202111736%450%8 min
202212283%20%
2023251060%1100%7 min
2024371559%1974%17 min
2025241058%3100%21 min

Years from 2008, the first full year of storm-based warnings. The year still running is on its own page.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The latest severe thunderstorm warnings

The most recent on file, newest first.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Aug 28, 2:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGX50 min
Aug 28, 2:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGX45 min
Aug 28, 1:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGX35 min
Jul 22, 7:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGX46 min
Jul 22, 6:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatHGX50 min
May 23, 3:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGX24 min
May 23, 2:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGX26 min
May 23, 5:55 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGX15 min
May 23, 5:17 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGX28 min
May 1, 3:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatHGX28 min
May 1, 12:30 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGX30 min
May 1, 12:02 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGX28 min

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.