Alert archive / Pennsylvania

Weather alerts in Cumberland County, Pennsylvania

3,663 weather alerts since 1986, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Cumberland County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count since 1986. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
3,663
Warnings
991
Watches
626
Advisories
813
Busiest year
2011283 alerts
Average year
89over 41 years on file

Over time

By year

Before late 2005 the archive holds only tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings, and from 1997 SPC's watches, so the jump that year is the archive widening, not the weather.

By month of the year

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

From 2008 to 2025, 25% of tornado reports in Cumberland County fell inside a tornado warning issued on average 1 minutes before, and 75% of the tornado warnings had no report inside them.

Tornado warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
200810100%0
201010100%0
20114250%10%
201410100%0
201530100%0
201710100%0
2018110%1100%1 min
2019110%0
202010100%0
202210100%20%
202410100%0
Share of tornado reports inside a tornado warning, by year.

Severe thunderstorm warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
2008221627%875%21 min
2009251732%6100%22 min
2010252212%2186%33 min
2011312132%1794%29 min
2012403220%2195%25 min
2013292514%4100%27 min
2014181422%1275%39 min
2015181328%1471%23 min
201612118%475%27 min
2017181233%540%34 min
20187357%475%27 min
2019241538%683%23 min
202017166%1392%29 min
2021312423%1587%22 min
2022201335%888%18 min
2023161225%1090%24 min
202412925%2339%21 min
202515847%3100%9 min

Flash flood warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
20095420%6100%85 min
20106350%367%5 min
201115940%580%116 min
20126517%6100%57 min
2013330%1100%4 min
20143167%10%
2015330%3100%46 min
2017220%2100%86 min
20185260%0
20192150%0
20215420%1100%245 min
202210100%0
202310100%0
20243167%0
20258188%2100%57 min

Years from 2008, the first full year of storm-based warnings. The year still running is on its own page.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The latest warnings

The most recent on file, newest first.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Sep 2, 11:39 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTP51 min
Sep 2, 11:24 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTP51 min
Sep 2, 11:02 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTP43 min
Sep 2, 10:48 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTP42 min
Aug 27, 8:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTP43 min
Aug 27, 7:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTP50 min
Aug 27, 5:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTP49 min
Aug 22, 9:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTP65 min
Aug 20, 2:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTP50 min
Aug 16, 6:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTP46 min
Aug 10, 2:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTP47 min
Aug 10, 2:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTP43 min

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.