Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kay County, Oklahoma

1,072 severe thunderstorm warnings since 1986. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of severe thunderstorm warnings reaches back to 1986.

Kay County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count since 1986. Tap one for its archive.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 1,072
Busiest year: 202671 severe thunderstorm warnings
Average year: 26over 41 years on file

Over time

By year

Before October 2007 these were issued for whole counties, and a storm crossing three counties was often three warnings; since then one polygon follows the storm. The count changed with the practice, not only with the weather.

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

From 2008 to 2025, 85% of hail, wind and damage reports in Kay County fell inside a severe thunderstorm warning issued on average 25 minutes before, and 58% of the severe thunderstorm warnings had no report inside them.

Severe thunderstorm warnings by year

	Warnings	With a report	False alarm ratio	Reports	Inside a warning	Mean lead time
2008	53	18	66%	26	69%	20 min
2009	38	19	50%	33	82%	28 min
2010	24	9	63%	15	67%	24 min
2011	43	27	37%	34	91%	33 min
2012	22	10	55%	8	100%	22 min
2013	25	12	52%	17	88%	20 min
2014	12	9	25%	10	80%	18 min
2015	8	4	50%	4	100%	26 min
2016	58	31	47%	42	90%	21 min
2017	43	14	67%	13	92%	32 min
2018	33	16	52%	14	86%	23 min
2019	51	17	67%	21	81%	26 min
2020	16	6	63%	5	100%	31 min
2021	15	1	93%	3	33%	37 min
2022	26	11	58%	10	100%	21 min
2023	32	13	59%	15	80%	24 min
2024	67	26	61%	35	83%	22 min
2025	70	23	67%	25	100%	26 min

Years from 2008, the first full year of storm-based warnings. The year still running is on its own page.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The latest severe thunderstorm warnings

The most recent on file, newest first.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Sep 19, 6:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	36 min
Sep 19, 6:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	OUN	50 min
Aug 7, 9:54 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	17 min
Aug 7, 8:43 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	47 min
Jul 11, 4:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	28 min
Jul 4, 6:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	OUN	48 min
Jul 4, 6:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Destructive damage threat	OUN	35 min
Jul 4, 5:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	OUN	47 min
Jul 4, 5:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	51 min
Jun 26, 8:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	20 min
Jun 26, 7:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	OUN	48 min
Jun 26, 6:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	38 min

Nearby

Alerts in force now Tornadoes on record Forecast The radar archive

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.