Alert archive / Oklahoma / Ellis County

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Ellis County, Oklahoma

1,106 severe thunderstorm warnings since 1986. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of severe thunderstorm warnings reaches back to 1986.

Ellis County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count since 1986. Tap one for its archive.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings
1,106
Busiest year
202566 severe thunderstorm warnings
Average year
27over 41 years on file

Over time

By year

Before October 2007 these were issued for whole counties, and a storm crossing three counties was often three warnings; since then one polygon follows the storm. The count changed with the practice, not only with the weather.

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

From 2008 to 2025, 72% of hail, wind and damage reports in Ellis County fell inside a severe thunderstorm warning issued on average 22 minutes before, and 60% of the severe thunderstorm warnings had no report inside them.

Severe thunderstorm warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
2008341653%2190%22 min
2009211052%475%26 min
2010251252%989%22 min
201118761%560%42 min
2012463035%1942%16 min
2013392146%1275%12 min
201419953%757%7 min
2015271159%1050%22 min
2016472743%683%22 min
2017441566%13100%23 min
2018241250%989%19 min
2019561082%367%10 min
2020401757%771%13 min
2021341362%580%25 min
2022291066%5100%31 min
2023541769%888%26 min
2024521277%888%29 min
2025662464%3053%25 min

Years from 2008, the first full year of storm-based warnings. The year still running is on its own page.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The latest severe thunderstorm warnings

The most recent on file, newest first.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Sep 24, 3:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUN33 min
Sep 19, 9:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUN36 min
Sep 19, 4:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUN49 min
Sep 19, 3:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUN46 min
Sep 19, 2:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUN36 min
Sep 15, 7:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUN15 min
Sep 15, 7:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUN30 min
Sep 15, 6:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUN45 min
Sep 12, 4:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUN40 min
Aug 14, 5:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUN26 min
Aug 14, 4:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUN43 min
Aug 14, 4:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUN47 min

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.