Alert archive / North Carolina

Weather alerts in Vance County, North Carolina

3,219 weather alerts since 1986, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Vance County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count since 1986. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
3,219
Warnings
665
Watches
501
Advisories
663
Busiest year
2011201 alerts
Average year
83over 39 years on file

Over time

By year

Before late 2005 the archive holds only tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings, and from 1997 SPC's watches, so the jump that year is the archive widening, not the weather.

By month of the year

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

From 2008 to 2025, 100% of tornado reports in Vance County fell inside a tornado warning issued on average 42 minutes before, and 79% of the tornado warnings had no report inside them.

Tornado warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
200820100%0
2010220%2100%55 min
20116183%0
201430100%0
20165180%1100%36 min
20182150%1100%23 min
201920100%0
202010100%0
202120100%0
202220100%0
20246267%0
202510100%0
Share of tornado reports inside a tornado warning, by year.

Severe thunderstorm warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
2008221627%8100%22 min
200914750%5100%34 min
2010171135%1080%11 min
2011181139%1765%16 min
2012261927%978%21 min
20139811%580%44 min
2014171418%5100%34 min
201515940%8100%7 min
2016292321%10100%19 min
201712467%1100%19 min
201819953%1242%28 min
2019131023%540%15 min
2020990%0
20217357%0
2022231822%8100%22 min
202315150%6100%17 min
202416156%475%23 min
2025181611%989%25 min

Flash flood warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
20083233%10%
200910100%0
2010330%0
2013330%0
20142150%0
2015110%0
2016220%0
2018220%0
2019110%0
20206517%1100%164 min
202110100%0
2022110%0
20232150%0
20245340%10%
20253233%6100%54 min

Years from 2008, the first full year of storm-based warnings. The year still running is on its own page.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The latest warnings

The most recent on file, newest first.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Sep 21, 7:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAH22 min
Sep 5, 4:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAH66 min
Sep 4, 4:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAH50 min
Sep 2, 7:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAH53 min
Aug 8, 2:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAH27 min
Jul 19, 5:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAH49 min
Jul 19, 2:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAH52 min
Jul 18, 2:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAH35 min
Jul 10, 5:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAH36 min
Jul 10, 4:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAH39 min
Jul 8, 8:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAH63 min
Jul 8, 6:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAH49 min

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.