Alert archive / North Carolina / Forsyth County / Flash Flood Warnings
Flash Flood Warnings in Forsyth County, North Carolina, 2010
11 flash flood warnings in 2010. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of flash flood warnings reaches back to 1986.
Forsyth County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2010. Tap one for its archive.
- Flash Flood Warnings
- 11
- Busiest month
- September3 flash flood warnings
- Busiest day
- September 30, 20103 flash flood warnings
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
8 of 11 flash flood warnings covering Forsyth County in 2010 had a flash flood report inside them; 9 of 9 flash flood reports fell inside a warning, on average 76 minutes after it went out.
Forsyth County, 2010
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flash flood warnings | 11 | 8 | 27% | 9 | 100% | 76 min |
Each office's whole area, 2010
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Raleigh, NC: flash flood warnings | 73 | 40 | 45% | 112 | 83% | 86 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 11:06 PM EST | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | 4 hr |
| May 28, 6:27 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | 2 hr |
| Jun 2, 6:46 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | 119 min |
| Jun 2, 7:10 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | 94 min |
| Aug 11, 9:31 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | 3 hr |
| Aug 12, 12:28 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | 84 min |
| Sep 30, 3:05 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | 5 hr |
| Sep 30, 7:58 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | 2 hr |
| Sep 30, 9:55 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | 3 hr |
| Oct 27, 3:21 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | 3 hr |
| Oct 27, 2:34 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | 4 hr |
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20092011
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.