Alert archive / New York / Wayne County / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Wayne County, New York, 2012

10 severe thunderstorm warnings in 2012. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of severe thunderstorm warnings reaches back to 1986.

Wayne County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2012. Tap one for its archive.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings
10
Busiest month
May4 severe thunderstorm warnings
Busiest day
May 4, 20122 severe thunderstorm warnings

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

9 of 10 severe thunderstorm warnings covering Wayne County in 2012 had a qualifying storm report inside them; 19 of 22 hail, wind and damage reports fell inside a warning, on average 24 minutes after it went out.

Wayne County, 2012

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Severe thunderstorm warnings10910%2286%24 min

Each office's whole area, 2012

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Buffalo, NY: severe thunderstorm warnings886823%22585%25 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
May 3, 10:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF62 min
May 3, 11:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF29 min
May 29, 12:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF44 min
May 29, 1:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF58 min
Jul 31, 5:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF59 min
Aug 5, 2:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF50 min
Sep 7, 7:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF27 min
Sep 8, 10:33 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF57 min
Sep 8, 11:20 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF70 min
Sep 14, 5:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF50 min

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20112013

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.