Alert archive / New York / Sullivan County

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Sullivan County, New York

477 severe thunderstorm warnings since 1986. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of severe thunderstorm warnings reaches back to 1986.

Sullivan County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count since 1986. Tap one for its archive.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings
477
Busiest year
202332 severe thunderstorm warnings
Average year
12over 41 years on file

Over time

By year

Before October 2007 these were issued for whole counties, and a storm crossing three counties was often three warnings; since then one polygon follows the storm. The count changed with the practice, not only with the weather.

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

From 2008 to 2025, 79% of hail, wind and damage reports in Sullivan County fell inside a severe thunderstorm warning issued on average 26 minutes before, and 44% of the severe thunderstorm warnings had no report inside them.

Severe thunderstorm warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
2008281257%1681%36 min
2009281064%1788%33 min
2010211529%1182%21 min
2011251444%1979%26 min
201211827%4100%17 min
201310460%838%18 min
2014201050%1182%25 min
20157357%580%25 min
20164250%4100%24 min
201714564%3100%8 min
201811736%3476%26 min
201919953%2255%22 min
2020271930%2479%23 min
2021211433%3591%31 min
2022191142%14100%24 min
2023321844%3672%18 min
202412925%2374%28 min
20259722%1191%24 min

Years from 2008, the first full year of storm-based warnings. The year still running is on its own page.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The latest severe thunderstorm warnings

The most recent on file, newest first.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Aug 27, 6:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGM63 min
Aug 27, 5:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGM30 min
Aug 12, 6:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGM34 min
Aug 10, 3:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGM32 min
Aug 7, 3:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGM40 min
Jul 28, 1:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGM31 min
Jul 21, 3:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatBGM35 min
Jul 18, 6:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatBGM60 min
Jul 18, 5:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGM61 min
Jul 4, 7:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGM24 min
Jul 4, 6:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGM51 min
Jul 4, 6:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGM41 min

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.