Alert archive / New York / Herkimer County / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Herkimer County, New York, 2019

24 severe thunderstorm warnings in 2019. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of severe thunderstorm warnings reaches back to 1986.

Herkimer County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2019. Tap one for its archive.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings
24
Busiest month
July9 severe thunderstorm warnings
Busiest day
July 20, 20195 severe thunderstorm warnings

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

11 of 24 severe thunderstorm warnings covering Herkimer County in 2019 had a qualifying storm report inside them; 29 of 34 hail, wind and damage reports fell inside a warning, on average 17 minutes after it went out.

Herkimer County, 2019

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Severe thunderstorm warnings241154%3485%17 min

Each office's whole area, 2019

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Albany, NY: severe thunderstorm warnings20113433%47687%21 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
May 19, 3:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALY50 min
May 19, 4:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALY47 min
May 19, 5:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALY27 min
May 19, 6:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALY33 min
May 23, 7:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALY59 min
May 23, 8:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALY61 min
Jun 26, 4:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALY61 min
Jul 11, 8:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALY54 min
Jul 20, 5:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALY64 min
Jul 20, 6:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALY63 min
Jul 20, 7:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALY37 min
Jul 20, 7:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALY39 min
Jul 20, 7:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALY49 min
Jul 29, 5:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALY35 min
Jul 30, 2:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALY66 min
Jul 30, 3:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALY56 min
Aug 6, 5:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALY44 min
Aug 8, 3:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALY66 min
Aug 18, 3:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALY47 min
Aug 18, 4:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALY62 min
Oct 31, 6:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALY64 min
Oct 31, 7:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALY61 min
Oct 31, 8:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALY47 min
Oct 31, 9:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALY45 min

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20182020

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.