Alert archive / New Mexico

Weather alerts in Cibola County, New Mexico

2,301 weather alerts since 1986, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Cibola County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count since 1986. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
2,301
Warnings
636
Watches
389
Advisories
1,051
Busiest year
2022261 alerts
Average year
79over 29 years on file

Over time

By year

Before late 2005 the archive holds only tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings, and from 1997 SPC's watches, so the jump that year is the archive widening, not the weather.

By month of the year

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

From 2008 to 2025, 60% of tornado reports in Cibola County fell inside a tornado warning issued on average 12 minutes before, and 75% of the tornado warnings had no report inside them.

Tornado warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
201510100%0
201720100%20%
2018110%3100%12 min

Severe thunderstorm warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
20084175%0
20092150%0
20104175%250%9 min
201120100%10%
201210100%0
20134175%333%50 min
2014010%
2015120100%10%
201630100%0
2017170100%10%
201813377%250%64 min
201940100%20%
20208275%0
20214175%0
20222150%250%0 min
202320100%0
20244175%250%9 min
2025110100%10%

Flash flood warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
20088538%667%31 min
20093233%2100%47 min
201040100%10%
201130100%10%
20123233%1100%111 min
201311191%1100%70 min
20143167%0
201510100%40%
201620100%0
20176267%3100%25 min
201860100%0
201930100%0
202140100%10%
202213285%3100%35 min
202310100%0
20245260%4100%149 min
20255180%1100%201 min

Years from 2008, the first full year of storm-based warnings. The year still running is on its own page.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The latest warnings

The most recent on file, newest first.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Sep 25, 12:35 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatABQ3 hr
Sep 25, 10:53 AM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatABQ3 hr
Sep 19, 4:47 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningABQ118 min
Sep 19, 2:59 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQ19 min
Sep 19, 1:35 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQ40 min
Sep 19, 1:21 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQ29 min
Sep 19, 1:04 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningABQ3 hr
Sep 19, 12:51 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQ30 min
Sep 19, 12:43 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQ35 min
Sep 19, 12:41 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatABQ3 hr
Sep 19, 12:34 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQ41 min
Sep 19, 12:31 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQ16 min

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.