Alert archive / Nebraska / Polk County

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Polk County, Nebraska

458 severe thunderstorm warnings since 1986. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of severe thunderstorm warnings reaches back to 1986.

Polk County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count since 1986. Tap one for its archive.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings
458
Busiest year
201137 severe thunderstorm warnings
Average year
11over 41 years on file

Over time

By year

Before October 2007 these were issued for whole counties, and a storm crossing three counties was often three warnings; since then one polygon follows the storm. The count changed with the practice, not only with the weather.

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

From 2008 to 2025, 82% of hail, wind and damage reports in Polk County fell inside a severe thunderstorm warning issued on average 19 minutes before, and 50% of the severe thunderstorm warnings had no report inside them.

Severe thunderstorm warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
2008331942%888%23 min
200911645%1100%12 min
201011464%3100%11 min
2011371949%1984%22 min
201211555%3100%7 min
201312375%580%8 min
201418950%1070%20 min
201512650%580%11 min
20169633%0
201714657%1385%20 min
2018161038%1173%12 min
201914471%10%
202013931%825%31 min
2021221150%14100%28 min
2022251060%10100%17 min
202315847%1292%20 min
2024241250%2100%25 min
2025191047%978%16 min

Years from 2008, the first full year of storm-based warnings. The year still running is on its own page.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The latest severe thunderstorm warnings

The most recent on file, newest first.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Aug 19, 12:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGID66 min
Aug 19, 12:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGID52 min
Aug 19, 11:57 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGID48 min
Aug 19, 11:19 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGID41 min
Aug 18, 1:25 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGID35 min
Jun 11, 2:55 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatGID40 min
Jun 11, 2:32 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGID43 min
Jun 9, 9:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGID45 min
Jun 5, 7:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGID51 min
Jun 5, 7:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGID38 min
May 17, 6:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatGID52 min
May 17, 6:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGID27 min

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.