Alert archive / Montana

Weather alerts in Petroleum County, Montana

3,213 weather alerts since 1986, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Petroleum County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count since 1986. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
3,213
Warnings
721
Watches
481
Advisories
1,295
Busiest year
2022210 alerts
Average year
87over 37 years on file

Over time

By year

Before late 2005 the archive holds only tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings, and from 1997 SPC's watches, so the jump that year is the archive widening, not the weather.

By month of the year

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

From 2008 to 2025, 100% of tornado reports in Petroleum County fell inside a tornado warning issued on average 0 minutes before, and 67% of the tornado warnings had no report inside them.

Tornado warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
200820100%0
2020110%1100%0 min

Severe thunderstorm warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
200815287%5100%20 min
20096183%10%
201011464%10%
201112375%650%14 min
2012220%450%9 min
201318667%540%21 min
20145180%0
20154250%0
2016131115%1681%20 min
20174175%450%11 min
20188625%367%17 min
2019191047%9100%36 min
20206517%475%29 min
202112558%4100%25 min
202218950%667%20 min
20238188%1100%24 min
20246433%10%
2025251540%2295%29 min

Flash flood warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
20113167%0
20133167%0
2023110%1100%6 min

Years from 2008, the first full year of storm-based warnings. The year still running is on its own page.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The latest warnings

The most recent on file, newest first.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Sep 9, 12:56 PM MDTRed Flag WarningGGW31 hr
Sep 7, 12:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGW65 min
Aug 23, 7:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatGGW63 min
Aug 23, 3:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGW60 min
Aug 18, 6:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGW33 min
Aug 18, 6:20 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGW55 min
Aug 18, 2:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGW62 min
Aug 18, 1:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGW62 min
Aug 7, 12:40 PM MDTRed Flag WarningGGW31 hr
Aug 5, 9:24 AM MDTRed Flag WarningGGW34 hr
Jul 31, 11:34 AM MDTRed Flag WarningGGW57 hr
Jul 31, 11:20 AM MDTExtreme Heat WarningGGW49 hr

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.