Alert archive / Montana / Cascade County

Weather alerts in Cascade County, Montana, 2015

28 weather alerts in 2015, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Cascade County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2015. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
28
Warnings
7
Watches
6
Advisories
0
Busiest month
June10 alerts
Busiest day
June 1, 20154 alerts

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

Cascade County, 2015

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Tornado warnings00
Severe thunderstorm warnings10100%40%
Flash flood warnings00

Each office's whole area, 2015

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Great Falls, MT: tornado warnings60100%0
NWS Great Falls, MT: severe thunderstorm warnings20670%3926%23 min
NWS Great Falls, MT: flash flood warnings10100%10%

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Mountain Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Mar 30, 1:00 PM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX32 hr
May 30, 2:00 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jun 1, 1:46 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC89 min
Jun 1, 2:19 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jun 1, 4:31 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC59 min
Jun 1, 5:01 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX29 min
Jun 1, 6:45 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC60 min
Jun 2, 1:50 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX40 min
Jun 2, 4:15 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX45 min
Jun 9, 6:11 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX34 min
Jun 18, 3:57 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Jun 29, 9:18 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX42 min
Jul 4, 10:49 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX41 min
Jul 31, 3:17 AM MDTFire Weather WatchTFX25 hr
Aug 1, 4:32 AM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX16 hr
Aug 13, 3:46 AM MDTFire Weather WatchTFX11 hr
Aug 13, 2:27 PM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX55 hr
Aug 14, 1:35 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Aug 14, 2:23 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Aug 14, 4:40 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC35 min
Aug 14, 6:43 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX32 min
Aug 20, 2:46 PM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX32 hr
Aug 27, 8:59 PM MDTFire Weather WatchTFX18 hr
Aug 28, 2:42 PM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX30 hr
Sep 1, 3:16 PM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX30 hr
Sep 24, 3:31 AM MDTFire Weather WatchTFX23 hr
Nov 20, 9:48 AM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTFX87 min
Dec 9, 12:09 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTFX36 min

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20142016

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.