Alert archive / Missouri / Buchanan County

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Buchanan County, Missouri

584 severe thunderstorm warnings since 1986. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of severe thunderstorm warnings reaches back to 1986.

Buchanan County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count since 1986. Tap one for its archive.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings
584
Busiest year
202446 severe thunderstorm warnings
Average year
15over 39 years on file

Over time

By year

Before October 2007 these were issued for whole counties, and a storm crossing three counties was often three warnings; since then one polygon follows the storm. The count changed with the practice, not only with the weather.

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

From 2008 to 2025, 80% of hail, wind and damage reports in Buchanan County fell inside a severe thunderstorm warning issued on average 21 minutes before, and 37% of the severe thunderstorm warnings had no report inside them.

Severe thunderstorm warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
2008201335%683%18 min
200916944%813%34 min
2010292417%1694%24 min
2011362822%1580%22 min
201210550%683%6 min
2013191237%1267%17 min
2014291355%7100%30 min
201516944%978%24 min
2016281546%1362%21 min
20179544%475%34 min
2018181139%786%16 min
2019301550%786%23 min
2020221245%1191%17 min
202115847%786%33 min
2022271256%1191%21 min
2023261831%1587%27 min
2024463720%3090%20 min
2025211814%3177%12 min

Years from 2008, the first full year of storm-based warnings. The year still running is on its own page.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The latest severe thunderstorm warnings

The most recent on file, newest first.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Sep 19, 8:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAX50 min
Sep 19, 8:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAX44 min
Sep 19, 7:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAX48 min
Sep 15, 5:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAX40 min
Sep 6, 8:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAX29 min
Sep 6, 7:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAX50 min
Aug 19, 5:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAX48 min
Aug 19, 4:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAX49 min
Aug 19, 4:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAX42 min
Jul 31, 2:32 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatEAX43 min
Jul 31, 2:15 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAX45 min
Jul 31, 1:50 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAX29 min

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.