Alert archive / Michigan / Mackinac County
Weather alerts in Mackinac County, Michigan, 2015
13 weather alerts in 2015, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Mackinac County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2015. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 13
- Warnings
- 1
- Watches
- 1
- Advisories
- 0
- Busiest month
- August7 alerts
- Busiest day
- July 26, 20154 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
Mackinac County, 2015
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 0 | 0 | ||||
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 1 | 0 | 100% | 0 | ||
| Flash flood warnings | 0 | 0 |
Each office's whole area, 2015
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Gaylord, MI: tornado warnings | 3 | 1 | 67% | 2 | 50% | 10 min |
| NWS Gaylord, MI: severe thunderstorm warnings | 53 | 21 | 60% | 58 | 81% | 20 min |
| NWS Gaylord, MI: flash flood warnings | 3 | 0 | 100% | 0 |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 3:26 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | 34 min |
| Jul 26, 4:15 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | 30 min |
| Jul 26, 4:48 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | 27 min |
| Jul 26, 5:18 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | 42 min |
| Aug 2, 9:51 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Aug 14, 1:02 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 58 min |
| Aug 14, 1:25 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | 50 min |
| Aug 14, 1:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | 46 min |
| Aug 17, 12:32 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | 28 min |
| Aug 19, 2:14 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Aug 23, 11:22 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | 113 min |
| Oct 15, 2:30 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | 60 min |
| Nov 23, 12:42 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | APX | 48 min |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
| Product | Alerts |
|---|---|
| Severe storms | |
| Severe Thunderstorm Warning | 1 |
| Severe Thunderstorm Watch | 1 |
| Mesoscale Discussion | 2 |
| Special Weather Statement | 9 |
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20142016
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.