Alert archive / Michigan / Clare County

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Clare County, Michigan

165 severe thunderstorm warnings since 1986. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of severe thunderstorm warnings reaches back to 1986.

Clare County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count since 1986. Tap one for its archive.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings
165
Busiest year
199810 severe thunderstorm warnings
Average year
4over 38 years on file

Over time

By year

Before October 2007 these were issued for whole counties, and a storm crossing three counties was often three warnings; since then one polygon follows the storm. The count changed with the practice, not only with the weather.

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

From 2008 to 2025, 74% of hail, wind and damage reports in Clare County fell inside a severe thunderstorm warning issued on average 24 minutes before, and 46% of the severe thunderstorm warnings had no report inside them.

Severe thunderstorm warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
20089633%944%33 min
200910100%0
20107529%1100%37 min
20116183%3100%23 min
20126350%875%33 min
20135340%3100%26 min
20143167%1100%13 min
20154250%450%22 min
20164325%560%13 min
20173233%250%14 min
2018440%4100%12 min
201930100%10%
20205340%1100%14 min
20217443%4100%16 min
20224175%10%
20232150%1100%17 min
20246517%6100%30 min
202520100%0

Years from 2008, the first full year of storm-based warnings. The year still running is on its own page.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The latest severe thunderstorm warnings

The most recent on file, newest first.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jul 1, 1:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRR37 min
Jun 16, 6:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRR19 min
Jun 16, 5:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRR47 min
May 18, 4:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRR30 min
Apr 14, 5:08 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRR21 min
Apr 14, 12:22 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRR53 min
Mar 31, 3:03 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRR42 min
Mar 31, 12:37 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRR53 min
Mar 30, 11:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRR17 min

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.